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Two-sample inference for the difference of population means typically relies upon a Central Limit Theorem approximation. When data are drawn from a Negative Binomial distribution, previous work of Shilane et al. (2010) showed that a Normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-06 David Shilane , Derek Bean

The massive amount of text data on the web has facilitated research on the quantitative analysis of public opinion, which could not be visualized earlier. In this paper, we propose a new opinion dynamics theory. This theory that is intended…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-01 Akira Ishii , Yasuko Kawahata

A simple model for simulating tug of war game as varying the player number in a team is discussed to identify the slow pace of fast change. This model shows that a large number of information sources leads slow change for the system. Also,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-07-29 Woo-Sung Jung , Hie-Tae Moon , H. Eugene Stanley

In this paper, we consider a cluster model of weighted Euclidean random balls generated by a shot-noise Cox process. It is an example of cluster point process. We perform a scaling on the model by shrinking the radii of the balls and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Adrien Clarenne

Bayesian model comparison is often based on the posterior distribution over the set of compared models. This distribution is often observed to concentrate on a single model even when other measures of model fit or forecasting ability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Oscar Oelrich , Shutong Ding , Måns Magnusson , Aki Vehtari , Mattias Villani

We develop a multi-state model to estimate the size of a closed population from ecological capture-recapture studies. We consider the case where capture-recapture data are not of a simple binary form, but where the state of an individual is…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-02 Hannah Worthington , Rachel S. McCrea , Ruth King , Richard A. Griffiths

Despite its popularity, it is widely recognized that the investigation of some theoretical aspects of clustering has been relatively sparse. One of the main reasons for this lack of theoretical results is surely the fact that, whereas for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-11 José E. Chacón

The Bayesian approach to inference stands out for naturally allowing borrowing information across heterogeneous populations, with different samples possibly sharing the same distribution. A popular Bayesian nonparametric model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Giovanni Rebaudo

We describe and analyze a broad class of mixture models for real-valued multivariate data in which the probability density of observations within each component of the model is represented as an arbitrary combination of basis functions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 M. E. J. Newman

In some contexts, mixture models can fit certain variables well at the expense of others in ways beyond the analyst's control. For example, when the data include some variables with non-trivial amounts of missing values, the mixture model…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-06 Maria DeYoreo , Jerome P. Reiter , D. Sunshine Hillygus

We propose a new model of cluster growth according to which the probability that a new unit is placed in a point at a distance $r$ from the city center is a Gaussian with mean equal to the cluster radius and variance proportional to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Pica Ciamarra , A. Coniglio

The original Deffuant model consists of a finite number of agents whose opinion is a number in $[0,1]$. Two socially connected agents are uniformly randomly selected at each time step and approach each other at a rate $\mu\in [0,1/2]$ if…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Hsin-Lun Li

In this paper we study collective decision making on a multi-population, represented by a regular network of groups of individuals. Each group consists of a collection of players and every player can choose between two options. A group is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Wouter Baar , Dario Bauso

We study an opinion dynamics model in which agents reach compromise via pairwise interactions. When the opinions of two agents are sufficiently close, they both acquire the average of their initial opinions; otherwise, they do not interact.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

We study a nonlinear bounded-confidence model (BCM) of continuous-time opinion dynamics on networks with both persuadable individuals and zealots. The model is parameterized by a scalar $\gamma$, which controls the steepness of a smooth…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Heather Z. Brooks , Philip S. Chodrow , Mason A. Porter

We consider stochastic growth models for populations organized in colonies and subject to uniform catastrophes. To assess population viability, we analyze scenarios in which individuals adopt dispersion strategies after catastrophic events.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Joan Amaya , Valdivino V. Junior , Fábio P. Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

We propose an opinion model based on agents located at the vertices of a regular lattice. Each agent has an independent opinion (among an arbitrary, but fixed, number of choices) and its own degree of conviction. The latter changes every…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-29 S. R. Souza , S. Goncalves

For measuring the strength of visually-observed subpopulation differences, the Population Difference Criterion is proposed to assess the statistical significance of visually observed subpopulation differences. It addresses the following…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-21 Xi Yang , Jan Hannig , Katherine A. Hoadley , Iain Carmichael , J. S. Marron

Wide, fragile binary stellar systems are found in the galactic field, and have recently been noted in the outskirts of expanding star clusters in numerical simulations. Energetically soft, with semi-major axes exceeding the initial size of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 Nickolas Moeckel , Cathie J. Clarke
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