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Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a foundational strategy in the field of engineering design optimization for efficiently handling black-box functions with many constraints and expensive evaluations. This paper introduces a fast and accurate BO…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Rosen , Yu , Cyril Picard , Faez Ahmed

Currently, it is hard to reap the benefits of deep learning for Bayesian methods, which allow the explicit specification of prior knowledge and accurately capture model uncertainty. We present Prior-Data Fitted Networks (PFNs). PFNs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Samuel Müller , Noah Hollmann , Sebastian Pineda Arango , Josif Grabocka , Frank Hutter

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have recently emerged as a powerful approach for Bayesian prediction tasks, approximating the posterior predictive distribution (PPD) through in-context learning. Despite their strong empirical performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-27 Gyeonghun Kang , Changwoo J. Lee , Xiang Cheng

Training neural networks on randomly generated artificial datasets yields Bayesian models that capture the prior defined by the dataset-generating distribution. Prior-data Fitted Networks (PFNs) are a class of methods designed to leverage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Samuel Müller , Arik Reuter , Noah Hollmann , David Rügamer , Frank Hutter

With the increasing computational costs associated with deep learning, automated hyperparameter optimization methods, strongly relying on black-box Bayesian optimization (BO), face limitations. Freeze-thaw BO offers a promising grey-box…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Herilalaina Rakotoarison , Steven Adriaensen , Neeratyoy Mallik , Samir Garibov , Edward Bergman , Frank Hutter

A body of work has been done to automate machine learning algorithm to highlight the importance of model choice. Automating the process of choosing the best forecasting model and its corresponding parameters can result to improve a wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-02 Nadhir Hassen , Irina Rish

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely used method for data-driven optimization that generally relies on zeroth-order data of objective function to construct probabilistic surrogate models. These surrogates guide the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Georgios Makrygiorgos , Joshua Hang Sai Ip , Ali Mesbah

For Bayesian optimization (BO) on high-dimensional data with complex structure, neural network-based kernels for Gaussian processes (GPs) have been used to learn flexible surrogate functions by the high representation power of deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Tomoharu Iwata

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) were recently proposed as a new paradigm for machine learning. Instead of training the network to an observed training set, a fixed model is pre-trained offline on small, simulated training sets from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-19 Thomas Nagler

Learning curve extrapolation aims to predict model performance in later epochs of training, based on the performance in earlier epochs. In this work, we argue that, while the inherent uncertainty in the extrapolation of learning curves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Steven Adriaensen , Herilalaina Rakotoarison , Samuel Müller , Frank Hutter

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular paradigm for global optimization of expensive black-box functions, but there are many domains where the function is not completely a black-box. The data may have some known structure (e.g. symmetries)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Samuel Kim , Peter Y. Lu , Charlotte Loh , Jamie Smith , Jasper Snoek , Marin Soljačić

Faced with problems of increasing complexity, recent research in Bayesian Optimisation (BO) has focused on adapting deep probabilistic models as flexible alternatives to Gaussian Processes (GPs). In a similar vein, this paper investigates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Alexandre Maraval , Matthieu Zimmer , Antoine Grosnit , Rasul Tutunov , Jun Wang , Haitham Bou Ammar

Prior-Fitted Networks (PFNs) have recently been proposed to efficiently perform tabular classification tasks. Although they achieve good performance on small datasets, they encounter limitations with larger datasets. These limitations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yuxin Wang , Botian Jiang , Yiran Guo , Quan Gan , David Wipf , Xuanjing Huang , Xipeng Qiu

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have emerged as promising foundation models for prediction from tabular datasets, achieving state-of-the-art performance on small to moderate data sizes without tuning. While PFNs are motivated by Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Thomas Nagler , David Rügamer

Bayesian optimization is a highly efficient approach to optimizing objective functions which are expensive to query. These objectives are typically represented by Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models which are easy to optimize and support…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Yucen Lily Li , Tim G. J. Rudner , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely seen as the state-of-the-art surrogate models for Bayesian optimization (BO) due to their ability to model uncertainty and their performance on tasks where correlations are easily captured (such as those…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Paul Brunzema , Mikkel Jordahn , John Willes , Sebastian Trimpe , Jasper Snoek , James Harrison

This study investigates the application of Bayesian Optimization (BO) for the hyperparameter tuning of neural networks, specifically targeting the enhancement of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) for image classification tasks. Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Gabriele Onorato

Bayesian optimization (BO) has demonstrated potential for optimizing control performance in data-limited settings, especially for systems with unknown dynamics or unmodeled performance objectives. The BO algorithm efficiently trades-off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Ankush Chakrabarty

Bayesian optimization (BO) has become a popular strategy for global optimization of expensive real-world functions. Contrary to a common expectation that BO is suited to optimizing black-box functions, it actually requires domain knowledge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Zi Wang , George E. Dahl , Kevin Swersky , Chansoo Lee , Zachary Nado , Justin Gilmer , Jasper Snoek , Zoubin Ghahramani

Bayesian optimization (BO) is widely adopted in black-box optimization problems and it relies on a surrogate model to approximate the black-box response function. With the increasing number of black-box optimization tasks solved and even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Wenlong Lyu , Shoubo Hu , Jie Chuai , Zhitang Chen
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