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Bayesian optimization (BO) is a promising approach for hyperparameter optimization of deep neural networks (DNNs), where each model training can take minutes to hours. In BO, a computationally cheap surrogate model is employed to learn the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-27 Romain Egele , Isabelle Guyon , Venkatram Vishwanath , Prasanna Balaprakash

Prior-Data Fitted Networks (PFNs) enable amortized Bayesian inference in a single forward pass, yet their internal representations remain opaque. It is unknown whether PFNs encode identifiable Bayesian structure or merely memorize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Kaustubh Sharma , Srijan Tiwari , Ojasva Nema , Parikshit Pareek

Prior-Fitted Networks (PFNs) amortize Bayesian prediction by meta-learning over a synthetic task prior, but their standard output is a posterior predictive distribution over noisy observations. For sequential decision-making, such as active…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Richard Bergna , Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Bayesian decision theory provides an elegant framework for acting optimally under uncertainty when tractable posterior distributions are available. Modern Bayesian models, however, typically involve intractable posteriors that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Meet P. Vadera , Soumya Ghosh , Kenney Ng , Benjamin M. Marlin

Transfer learning for Bayesian optimisation has generally assumed a strong similarity between optimisation tasks, with at least a subset having similar optimal inputs. This assumption can reduce computational costs, but it is violated in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Sigrid Passano Hellan , Christopher G. Lucas , Nigel H. Goddard

Scaling has been a major driver of recent advancements in deep learning. Numerous empirical studies have found that scaling laws often follow the power-law and proposed several variants of power-law functions to predict the scaling behavior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Dongwoo Lee , Dong Bok Lee , Steven Adriaensen , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang , Frank Hutter , Seon Joo Kim , Hae Beom Lee

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an effective method of finding the global optima of black-box functions. Recently BO has been applied to neural architecture search and shows better performance than pure evolutionary strategies. All these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Lizheng Ma , Jiaxu Cui , Bo Yang

Bayesian optimization (BO) has become a popular strategy for global optimization of many expensive real-world functions. Contrary to a common belief that BO is suited to optimizing black-box functions, it actually requires domain knowledge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Zi Wang , George E. Dahl , Kevin Swersky , Chansoo Lee , Zelda Mariet , Zachary Nado , Justin Gilmer , Jasper Snoek , Zoubin Ghahramani

We develop a new Bayesian framework based on deep neural networks to be able to extrapolate in space-time using historical data and to quantify uncertainties arising from both noisy and gappy data in physical problems. Specifically, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Xuhui Meng , Liu Yang , Zhiping Mao , Jose del Aguila Ferrandis , George Em Karniadakis

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular black-box function optimization method, which makes sequential decisions based on a Bayesian model, typically a Gaussian process (GP), of the function. To ensure the quality of the model, transfer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Zhou Fan , Xinran Han , Zi Wang

interpretable, and well understood models that are routinely employed even though, as is revealed through prior and posterior predictive checks, these can poorly characterise the spatial heterogeneity in the underlying process of interest.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-08 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Michael D. Kaminski , Ba-Hien Tran , Maurizio Filippone , Noel Cressie

Gaussian Processes (GPs) provide a convenient framework for specifying function-space priors, making them a natural choice for modeling uncertainty. In contrast, Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer greater scalability and extendability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Marcin Sendera , Amin Sorkhei , Tomasz Kuśmierczyk

We present a new family of exchangeable stochastic processes, the Functional Neural Processes (FNPs). FNPs model distributions over functions by learning a graph of dependencies on top of latent representations of the points in the given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Christos Louizos , Xiahan Shi , Klamer Schutte , Max Welling

Preferential Bayesian Optimization (PBO) is a sample-efficient method to learn latent user utilities from preferential feedback over a pair of designs. It relies on a statistical surrogate model for the latent function, usually a Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-04 Xinyu Zhang , Daolang Huang , Samuel Kaski , Julien Martinelli

Simulation-based inference (SBI) offers a flexible and general approach to performing Bayesian inference: In SBI, a neural network is trained on synthetic data simulated from a model and used to rapidly infer posterior distributions for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Julius Vetter , Manuel Gloeckler , Daniel Gedon , Jakob H. Macke

Bayesian clustering accounts for uncertainty but is computationally demanding at scale. Furthermore, real-world datasets often contain missing values, and simple imputation ignores the associated uncertainty, resulting in suboptimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Prajit Bhaskaran , Tom Viering

Bayesian optimization (BO) primarily uses Gaussian processes (GP) as the key surrogate model, mostly with a simple stationary and separable kernel function such as the squared-exponential kernel with automatic relevance determination…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-29 Mengying Lei , Lijun Sun

We present approximation theories and efficient training methods for derivative-informed Fourier neural operators (DIFNOs) with applications to PDE-constrained optimization. A DIFNO is an FNO trained by minimizing its prediction error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Boyuan Yao , Dingcheng Luo , Lianghao Cao , Nikola Kovachki , Thomas O'Leary-Roseberry , Omar Ghattas

Deep feedforward neural networks (DFNNs) are a powerful tool for functional approximation. We describe flexible versions of generalized linear and generalized linear mixed models incorporating basis functions formed by a DFNN. The…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-28 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Nghia Nguyen , David Nott , Robert Kohn

Resided at the intersection of multi-fidelity optimization (MFO) and Bayesian optimization (BO), MF BO has found a niche in solving expensive engineering design optimization problems, thanks to its advantages in incorporating physical and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Bach Do , Ruda Zhang