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Traffic congestion event prediction is an important yet challenging task in intelligent transportation systems. Many existing works about traffic prediction integrate various temporal encoders and graph convolution networks (GCNs), called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Guangyin Jin , Lingbo Liu , Fuxian Li , Jincai Huang

We investigate spatio-temporal event analysis using point processes. Inferring the dynamics of event sequences spatiotemporally has many practical applications including crime prediction, social media analysis, and traffic forecasting. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPPs) provide a principled framework for modeling asynchronous event sequences by conditioning on the history of past events. However, most existing MTPP models rely on channel-mixing strategies that encode…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Wang-Tao Zhou , Zhao Kang , Ke Yan , Ling Tian

Spatiotemporal data analysis is pivotal across various domains, such as transportation, meteorology, and healthcare. The data collected in real-world scenarios are often incomplete due to device malfunctions and network errors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yakun Chen , Kaize Shi , Zhangkai Wu , Juan Chen , Xianzhi Wang , Julian McAuley , Guandong Xu , Shui Yu

Temporal point processes (TPPs) are stochastic process models used to characterize event sequences occurring in continuous time. Traditional statistical TPPs have a long-standing history, with numerous models proposed and successfully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Jie Qiao , Cheng Wan , Yixuan Zhang , Ruichu Cai

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) hold a pivotal role in modeling event sequences across diverse domains, including social networking and e-commerce, and have significantly contributed to the advancement of recommendation systems and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Maolin Wang , Yu Pan , Zenglin Xu , Ruocheng Guo , Xiangyu Zhao , Wanyu Wang , Yiqi Wang , Zitao Liu , Langming Liu

Self-exciting spatio-temporal point process models predict the rate of events as a function of space, time, and the previous history of events. These models naturally capture triggering and clustering behavior, and have been widely used in…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Alex Reinhart

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) are widely used for modeling event sequences in various medical domains, such as disease onset prediction, progression analysis, and clinical decision support. Although TPPs effectively capture temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Yunyang Cao , Juekai Lin , Hongye Wang , Wenhao Li , Bo Jin

We suggest a mechanism based on spike time dependent plasticity (STDP) of synapses to store, retrieve and predict temporal sequences. The mechanism is demonstrated in a model system of simplified integrate-and-fire type neurons densely…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 Thomas Nowotny , Misha I. Rabinovich , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Attention guides our gaze to fixate the proper location of the scene and holds it in that location for the deserved amount of time given current processing demands, before shifting to the next one. As such, gaze deployment crucially is a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Alessandro D'Amelio , Giuseppe Cartella , Vittorio Cuculo , Manuele Lucchi , Marcella Cornia , Rita Cucchiara , Giuseppe Boccignone

Spatial-temporal causal time series (STC-TS) involve region-specific temporal observations driven by causally relevant covariates and interconnected across geographic or network-based spaces. Existing methods often model spatial and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Yang Yang , Du Yin , Hao Xue , Flora Salim

We model the spatial dynamics of a forest stand by using a special class of spatio-temporal point processes, the sequential spatial point process, where the spatial dimension is parameterized and the time component is atomic. The sequential…

Accurate travel time estimation is essential for navigation and itinerary planning. While existing research employs probabilistic modeling to assess travel time uncertainty and account for correlations between multiple trips, modeling the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Chen Xu , Qiang Wang , Lijun Sun

The ability to predict future events or patterns based on previous experience is crucial for many applications such as traffic control, weather forecasting, or supply chain management. While modern supervised Machine Learning approaches…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-16 Florian Feiler , Emre Neftci , Younes Bouhadjar

Point processes model the distribution of random point sets in mathematical spaces, such as spatial and temporal domains, with applications in fields like seismology, neuroscience, and economics. Existing statistical and machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 David Lüdke , Enric Rabasseda Raventós , Marcel Kollovieh , Stephan Günnemann

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) have been widely used for modeling event sequences on the Web, such as user reviews, social media posts, and online transactions. However, traditional TPP models often struggle to effectively incorporate the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Yang Liu , Panrong Tong , Enqi Liu , Feng Zhou

Asynchronous event sequence clustering aims to group similar event sequences in an unsupervised manner. Mixture models of temporal point processes have been proposed to solve this problem, but they often suffer from overfitting, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Yiwei Dong , Shaoxin Ye , Yuwen Cao , Qiyu Han , Hongteng Xu , Hanfang Yang

Spatio-temporal graph learning is a fundamental problem in modern urban systems. Existing approaches tackle different tasks independently, tailoring their models to unique task characteristics. These methods, however, fall short of modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Junfeng Hu , Xu Liu , Zhencheng Fan , Yuxuan Liang , Roger Zimmermann

The classical temporal point process (TPP) constructs an intensity function by taking the occurrence times into account. Nevertheless, occurrence time may not be the only relevant factor, other contextual data, termed covariates, may also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Zizhuo Meng , Boyu Li , Xuhui Fan , Zhidong Li , Yang Wang , Fang Chen , Feng Zhou