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Spatiotemporal point processes (STPPs) are probabilistic models for events occurring in continuous space and time. Real-world event data often exhibit intricate dependencies and heterogeneous dynamics. By incorporating modern deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Sumantrak Mukherjee , Mouad Elhamdi , George Mohler , David A. Selby , Yao Xie , Sebastian Vollmer , Gerrit Grossmann

Neural Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) have emerged as the primary framework for predicting sequences of events that occur at irregular time intervals, but their sequential nature can hamper performance for long-horizon forecasts. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Mai Zeng , Florence Regol , Mark Coates

Learning the dynamics of spatiotemporal events is a fundamental problem. Neural point processes enhance the expressivity of point process models with deep neural networks. However, most existing methods only consider temporal dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Zihao Zhou , Xingyi Yang , Ryan Rossi , Handong Zhao , Rose Yu

Temporal Point Processes (TPP) are probabilistic generative frameworks. They model discrete event sequences localized in continuous time. Generally, real-life events reveal descriptive information, known as marks. Marked TPPs model time and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Govind Waghmare , Ankur Debnath , Siddhartha Asthana , Aakarsh Malhotra

A temporal point process (TPP) is a stochastic process where its realization is a sequence of discrete events in time. Recent work in TPPs model the process using a neural network in a supervised learning framework, where a training set is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Wonho Bae , Mohamed Osama Ahmed , Frederick Tung , Gabriel L. Oliveira

Spatio-temporal point processes (STPPs) model discrete events distributed in time and space, with important applications in areas such as criminology, seismology, epidemiology, and social networks. Traditional models often rely on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Xiuyuan Cheng , Zheng Dong , Yao Xie

The stochastic self-propagating star-formation (SSPSF) model is an important theoretical framework for explaining how localised star-formation events trigger subsequent activity across galactic discs. While widely used to interpret spiral…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2025-08-19 Qihan Zou

We study the spatio-temporal prediction problem and introduce a novel point-process-based prediction algorithm. Spatio-temporal prediction is extensively studied in Machine Learning literature due to its critical real-life applications such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Suleyman S. Kozat

A Marked Temporal Point Process (MTPP) is a stochastic process whose realization is a set of event-time data. MTPP is often used to understand complex dynamics of asynchronous temporal events such as money transaction, social media,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Yujee Song , Donghyun Lee , Rui Meng , Won Hwa Kim

Event sequences can be modeled by temporal point processes (TPPs) to capture their asynchronous and probabilistic nature. We propose an intensity-free framework that directly models the point process distribution by utilizing normalizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Nazanin Mehrasa , Ruizhi Deng , Mohamed Osama Ahmed , Bo Chang , Jiawei He , Thibaut Durand , Marcus Brubaker , Greg Mori

This paper proposes a physical-statistical modeling approach for spatio-temporal data arising from a class of stochastic convection-diffusion processes. Such processes are widely found in scientific and engineering applications where…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-07 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Siyuan Lu

Marked event data captures events by recording their continuous-valued occurrence timestamps along with their corresponding discrete-valued types. They have appeared in various real-world scenarios such as social media, financial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Hui Chen , Xuhui Fan , Hengyu Liu , Longbing Cao

Event prediction tasks often handle spatio-temporal data distributed in a large spatial area. Different regions in the area exhibit different characteristics while having latent correlations. This spatial heterogeneity and correlations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Wang-Tao Zhou , Zhao Kang , Sicong Liu , Lizong Zhang , Ling Tian

Spatiotemporal dynamics models are fundamental for various domains, from heat propagation in materials to oceanic and atmospheric flows. However, currently available neural network-based spatiotemporal modeling approaches fall short when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Valerii Iakovlev , Harri Lähdesmäki

We propose a new class of parameterizations for spatio-temporal point processes which leverage Neural ODEs as a computational method and enable flexible, high-fidelity models of discrete events that are localized in continuous time and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Ricky T. Q. Chen , Brandon Amos , Maximilian Nickel

Spatio-temporal Hawkes point processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic point processes for modeling self-exciting behavior, in which the occurrence of one event increases the probability of other events occurring. These…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-19 Alba Bernabeu , Jorge Mateu

Temporal Point Processes (TPP) play an important role in predicting or forecasting events. Although these problems have been studied extensively, predicting multiple simultaneously occurring events can be challenging. For instance, more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Parag Dutta , Kawin Mayilvaghanan , Pratyaksha Sinha , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) model sequences of events occurring at irregular time intervals, with wide-ranging applications in fields such as healthcare, finance and social networks. We propose the state-space point process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-24 Yuxin Chang , Alex Boyd , Cao Xiao , Taha Kass-Hout , Parminder Bhatia , Padhraic Smyth , Andrew Warrington

Temporal point process (TPP) models combined with recurrent neural networks provide a powerful framework for modeling continuous-time event data. While such models are flexible, they are inherently sequential and therefore cannot benefit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Oleksandr Shchur , Nicholas Gao , Marin Biloš , Stephan Günnemann

Event prediction in the continuous-time domain is a crucial but rather difficult task. Temporal point process (TPP) learning models have shown great advantages in this area. Existing models mainly focus on encoding global contexts of events…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Wang-Tao Zhou , Zhao Kang , Ling Tian , Yi Su
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