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The uptake of behind-the-meter distributed energy resources in low-voltage distribution networks has reached a level where network issues have started to emerge, which requires new tools for operation and planning. In this paper, we propose…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-19 Thomas Power , Gregor Verbič , Archie C. Chapman

Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Yuheng Zhang , Vivian Cheng , Dharik S. Mallapragada , Jie Song , Guannan He

Probabilistic load forecasts provide comprehensive information about future load uncertainties. In recent years, many methodologies and techniques have been proposed for probabilistic load forecasting. Forecast combination, a widely…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-20 Yi Wang , Ning Zhang , Yushi Tan , Tao Hong , Daniel Kirschen , Chongqing Kang

In recent decades, new methods and approaches have been developed for forecasting intermittent demand series. However, the majority of research has focused on point forecasting, with little exploration into probabilistic intermittent demand…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-16 Shengjie Wang , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos

Future electricity distribution grids will host a considerable share of the renewable energy sources needed for enforcing the energy transition. Demand side management mechanisms play a key role in the integration of such renewable energy…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-16 José Horta , Eitan Altman , Mathieu Caujolle , Daniel Kofman , David Menga

This paper addresses the problem of optimal scheduling of an aggregated power profile (during a coordinated discharging or charging operation) by means of a heterogeneous fleet of storage devices subject to availability constraints. Devices…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-22 David Angeli , Zihang Dong , Goran Strbac

With the continuous increase in the penetration of renewable energy in the emerging power systems, the pressure on system peak regulation has been significantly intensified. Against this backdrop, demand side resources particularly air…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-15 Jinhua He , Tingzhe Pan , Chao Li , Xin Jin , Zijie Meng , Wei Zhou

Electricity demand and generation have become increasingly unpredictable with the growing share of variable renewable energy sources in the power system. Forecasting electricity supply by fuel mix is crucial for market operation, ensuring…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-30 Han Lin Shang , Lin Han , Stefan Trück

Electric energy is difficult to store, requiring stricter control over its generation, transmission, and distribution. A persistent challenge in power systems is maintaining real-time equilibrium between electricity demand and supply.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Aurausp Maneshni

Using hourly energy consumption data recorded by smart meters, retailers can estimate the day-ahead energy consumption of their customer portfolio. Deep neural networks are especially suited for this task as a huge amount of historical…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-06 Oliver Mey , André Schneider , Olaf Enge-Rosenblatt , Yesnier Bravo , Pit Stenzel

Scheduling the power exchange between a population of heterogeneous distributed energy resources and the corresponding upper-level system is an important control problem in power systems. A key challenge is the large number of (partially…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-23 Riccardo Remo Appino , Veit Hagenmeyer , Timm Faulwasser

Contemporary industrial parks are challenged by the growing concerns about high cost and low efficiency of energy supply. Moreover, in the case of uncertain supply/demand, how to mobilize delay-tolerant elastic loads and compensate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-11 Dafeng Zhu , Bo Yang , Chengbin Ma , Zhaojian Wang , Shanying Zhu , Kai Ma , Xinping Guan

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change proposes different mitigation strategies to achieve the net emissions reductions that would be required to follow a pathway that limits global warming to 1.5{\deg}C with no or limited overshoot.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-10 Jonathan Dumas

Load points are one of the most vital parts of power systems. Due to the new load forms and programs introduced in the demand side, the load-serving entities (LSEs) no longer deal with lump loads, but rather with more dynamic, rational and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-13 Ahmed S. Alahmed , Muhammed M. Almuhaini

Distribution system end users are transforming from passive to active participants, marked by the push towards widespread adoption of edge-level Distributed Energy Resources (DERs). This paper addresses the challenges in distribution system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Arun Kumar Karngala , Chanan Singh , Le Xie

This work derives an approximate analytical single period solution of the portfolio choice problem for the power utility function. It is possible to do so if we consider that the asset returns follow a multivariate normal distribution. It…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-13 Dmytro Ivasiuk

Power systems operate under uncertainty originating from multiple factors that are impossible to account for deterministically. Distributional forecasting is used to control and mitigate risks associated with this uncertainty. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Slawek Smyl , Boris N. Oreshkin , Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

Production forecasting is a key step to design the future development of a reservoir. A classical way to generate such forecasts consists in simulating future production for numerical models representative of the reservoir. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Raphaël Deswarte , Véronique Gervais , Gilles Stoltz , Sébastien da Veiga

This paper addresses a central challenge of jointly considering shorter-term (e.g. hourly) and longer-term (e.g. yearly) uncertainties in power system planning with increasing penetration of renewable and storage resources. In conventional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-13 Chao Yan , Xinbo Geng , Zhaohong Bie , Le Xie

Buildings are essential components of power grids, and their energy performance directly affects overall power system operation. This paper presents a novel stochastic optimization framework for building energy management systems, aiming to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-12 Hossein Nourollahi Hokmabad , Tala Hemmati Shahsavar , Pedro P. Vergara , Oleksandr Husev , Juri Belikov