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The research paper addresses linear decomposition of time series of non-additive metrics that allows for the identification and interpretation of contributing factors (input features) of variance. Non-additive metrics, such as ratios, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Alex Glushkovsky

Existing monitoring tools for multivariate data are often asymptotically distribution-free, computationally intensive, or require a large stretch of stable data. Many of these methods are not applicable to 'high dimension, low sample size'…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-12 Niladri Chakraborty , Chun Fai Lui , Ahmed Maged

Spatio-temporal covariances are important for describing the spatio-temporal variability of underlying random processes in geostatistical data. For second-order stationary processes, there exist subclasses of covariance functions that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-05 Huang Huang , Ying Sun

Modeling functions that are sequentially observed as functional time series is becoming increasingly common. In such models, it is often crucial to ensure data homogeneity. We investigate the sensitivity of graph-based change point…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Jeremy VanderDoes , Shojaeddin Chenouri

Time series, as frequently the case in neuroscience, are rarely stationary, but often exhibit abrupt changes due to attractor transitions or bifurcations in the dynamical systems producing them. A plethora of methods for detecting such…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-05 Hazem Toutounji , Daniel Durstewitz

This paper proposes a new method for determining similarity and anomalies between time series, most practically effective in large collections of (likely related) time series, by measuring distances between structural breaks within such a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Nick James , Max Menzies , Lamiae Azizi , Jennifer Chan

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Mathias Vetter

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

Dimension reduction techniques for multivariate time series decompose the observed series into a few useful independent/orthogonal univariate components. We develop a spectral domain method for multivariate second-order stationary time…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-12 Raanju R. Sundararajan

We describe a novel method for modeling non-stationary multivariate time series, with time-varying conditional dependencies represented through dynamic networks. Our proposed approach combines traditional multi-scale modeling and network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Xinyu Kang , Apratim Ganguly , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Time series analysis has proven to be a powerful method to characterize several phenomena in biology, neuroscience and economics, and to understand some of their underlying dynamical features. Despite a plethora of methods have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-01 Andrea Santoro , Federico Battiston , Giovanni Petri , Enrico Amico

Large volumes of spatiotemporal data, characterized by high spatial and temporal variability, may experience structural changes over time. Unlike traditional change-point problems, each sequence in this context consists of function-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-12 Fengyi Song , Decai Liang , Changliang Zou

Dynamic networks exhibit temporal patterns that vary across different time scales, all of which can potentially affect processes that take place on the network. However, most data-driven approaches used to model time-varying networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-27 Tiago P. Peixoto , Laetitia Gauvin

Motivated by two distinct types of biomedical time series data, digital health monitoring and neuroimaging, we develop a novel approach for changepoint analysis that uses a generalised linear mixed model framework. The generalised linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-02 Mark B. Fiecas , Kathryn R. Cullen , Rebecca Killick

This paper proposes a new minimum description length procedure to detect multiple changepoints in time series data when some times are a priori thought more likely to be changepoints. This scenario arises with temperature time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Yingbo Li , Robert Lund , Anuradha Hewaarachchi

Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

Motivated by an example from remote sensing of gas emission sources, we derive two novel change point procedures for multivariate time series where, in contrast to classical change point literature, the changes are not required to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Idris Eckley , Claudia Kirch , Silke Weber

We propose NonStGM, a general nonparametric graphical modeling framework for studying dynamic associations among the components of a nonstationary multivariate time series. It builds on the framework of Gaussian Graphical Models (GGM) and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Sumanta Basu , Suhasini Subba Rao

A class of tests for change-point detection designed to be particularly sensitive to changes in the cross-sectional rank correlation of multivariate time series is proposed. The derived procedures are based on several multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Jean-François Quessy , Tom Rohmer

Change point detection in time series has attracted substantial interest, but most of the existing results have been focused on detecting change points in the time domain. This paper considers the situation where nonlinear time series have…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-22 Yan Cui , Jun Yang , Zhou Zhou
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