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Conventional forecasting methods rely on unimodal time series data, limiting their ability to exploit rich textual information. Recently, large language models (LLMs) and time series foundation models (TSFMs) have demonstrated powerful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Jingyu Wang , Jianxin Liao

Time series forecasting often demands a trade-off between accuracy and efficiency. While recent Transformer models have improved forecasting capabilities, they come with high computational costs. Linear-based models have shown better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Ahmad Mohammadshirazi , Pinaki Prasad Guha Neogi , Rajiv Ramnath

Diffusion Transformers (DiTs) have demonstrated remarkable performance in visual generation tasks. However, their low inference speed limits their deployment in low-resource applications. Recent training-free approaches exploit the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Xiaoliu Guan , Lielin Jiang , Hanqi Chen , Xu Zhang , Jiaxing Yan , Guanzhong Wang , Yi Liu , Zetao Zhang , Yu Wu

Time series forecasting is crucial in many fields, yet current deep learning models struggle with noise, data sparsity, and capturing complex multi-scale patterns. This paper presents MFF-FTNet, a novel framework addressing these challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Yangyang Shi , Qianqian Ren , Yong Liu , Jianguo Sun

Transformer-based models have emerged as powerful tools for multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). However, existing Transformer models often fall short of capturing both intricate dependencies across variate and temporal dimensions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Juncheng Liu , Chenghao Liu , Gerald Woo , Yiwei Wang , Bryan Hooi , Caiming Xiong , Doyen Sahoo

Recently, Transformer-base models have made significant progress in the field of time series prediction which have achieved good results and become baseline models beyond Dlinear. The paper proposes an U-Net time series prediction model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Li Chu , Xiao Bingjia , Yuan Qiping

Recently, multivariate time series forecasting tasks have garnered increasing attention due to their significant practical applications, leading to the emergence of various deep forecasting models. However, real-world time series exhibit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Jiaxi Hu , Qingsong Wen , Sijie Ruan , Li Liu , Yuxuan Liang

The stable periodic patterns present in time series data serve as the foundation for conducting long-horizon forecasts. In this paper, we pioneer the exploration of explicitly modeling this periodicity to enhance the performance of models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Xinyi Hu , Wentai Wu , Ruichao Mo , Haocheng Zhong

Diffusion models achieve remarkable success in processing images and text, and have been extended to special domains such as time series forecasting (TSF). Existing diffusion-based approaches for TSF primarily focus on modeling…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Chen Su , Yuanhe Tian , Yan Song

In this paper, we present \textbf{vLinear}, an effective yet efficient \textbf{linear}-based multivariate time series forecaster featuring two components: the \textbf{v}ecTrans module and the WFMLoss objective. Many state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Wenzhen Yue , Ruohao Guo , Ji Shi , Zihan Hao , Shiyu Hu , Xianghua Ying

Many methods for time-series forecasting are known in classical statistics, such as autoregression, moving averages, and exponential smoothing. The DeepAR framework is a novel, recent approach for time-series forecasting based on deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Ayla Jungbluth , Johannes Lederer

Most machine learning methods assume fixed probability distributions, limiting their applicability in nonstationary real-world scenarios. While continual learning methods address this issue, current approaches often rely on black-box models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Yan V. G. Ferreira , Igor B. Lima , Pedro H. G. Mapa S. , Felipe V. Campos , Antonio P. Braga

Real-world time series are influenced by numerous factors and exhibit complex non-stationary characteristics. Non-stationarity can lead to distribution shifts, where the statistical properties of time series change over time, negatively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Zipo Jibao , Yingyi Fu , Xinyang Chen , Guoting Chen

Masked time series modeling has recently gained much attention as a self-supervised representation learning strategy for time series. Inspired by masked image modeling in computer vision, recent works first patchify and partially mask out…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Seunghan Lee , Taeyoung Park , Kibok Lee

Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) is crucial across various domains, but complex deep models like Transformers are often prone to overfitting on extended sequences. Linear Fully Connected models have emerged as a powerful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Yuang Zhao , Tianyu Li , Jiadong Chen , Shenrong Ye , Fuxin Jiang , Xiaofeng Gao

Mixture model-based clustering, usually applied to multidimensional data, has become a popular approach in many data analysis problems, both for its good statistical properties and for the simplicity of implementation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Allou Samé , Faicel Chamroukhi , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Luca-Andrei Fechete , Mohamed Sana , Fadhel Ayed , Nicola Piovesan , Wenjie Li , Antonio De Domenico , Tareq Si Salem

We propose an efficient fine-tuning method for time series foundation models, termed TRACE: Time Series Parameter Efficient Fine-tuning. While pretrained time series foundation models are gaining popularity, they face the following…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Yuze Li , Wei Zhu

Multivariate time series forecasting has been widely used in various practical scenarios. Recently, Transformer-based models have shown significant potential in forecasting tasks due to the capture of long-range dependencies. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Zenglin Xu

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is crucial in many real-world applications. To achieve accurate MTS forecasting, it is essential to simultaneously consider both intra- and inter-series relationships among time series data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Hui He , Kaize Shi , Liang Hu , Ning An , Zhendong Niu
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