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Recent advances in Bayesian models for random partitions have led to the formulation and exploration of Exchangeable Sequences of Clusters (ESC) models. Under ESC models, it is the cluster sizes that are exchangeable, rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Keith Levin , Brenda Betancourt

We study averaging for Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) and Poisson equations. We succeed in obtaining a uniform in time (UiT) averaging result, with a rate, for fully coupled SDE models with super-linearly growing coefficients.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Dan Crisan , Paul Dobson , Ben Goddard , Michela Ottobre , Iain Souttar

In this paper, we study a very general stochastic variational inequality(SVI) having jumps, random coefficients, delay, and path dependence, in infinite dimensions. Well-posedness in terms of the existence and uniqueness of a solution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-16 Ning Ning , Jing Wu , Xiaoyan Xu

We describe a novel approach to explainable prediction of a continuous variable based on learning fuzzy weighted rules. Our model trains a set of weighted rules to maximise prediction accuracy and minimise an ontology-based 'semantic loss'…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Martin Glauer , Robert West , Susan Michie , Janna Hastings

We present new PAC-Bayesian generalisation bounds for learning problems with unbounded loss functions. This extends the relevance and applicability of the PAC-Bayes learning framework, where most of the existing literature focuses on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-16 Maxime Haddouche , Benjamin Guedj , Omar Rivasplata , John Shawe-Taylor

In this paper, we propose a new approach for deriving probabilistic inequalities. Our main idea is to exploit the information of underlying distributions by virtue of the monotone likelihood ratio property and Berry-Essen inequality.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Xinjia Chen

Psi-calculi are a parametric framework for nominal calculi, where standard calculi are found as instances, like the pi-calculus, or the cryptographic spi-calculus and applied-pi. Psi-calculi have an interleaving operational semantics, with…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-10-29 Håkon Normann , Cristian Prisacariu , Thomas Hildebrandt

Early-exiting neural networks enable adaptive inference by allowing inputs to exit at intermediate classifiers, reducing computation for easy samples while maintaining high accuracy. In practice, exits can be trained sequentially by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Alaa Zniber , Ouassim Karrakchou , Mounir Ghogho

We investigate the problem of approximate Bayesian inference for a general class of observation models by means of the expectation propagation (EP) framework for large systems under some statistical assumptions. Our approach tries to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-08-24 Burak Çakmak , Manfred Opper , Bernard H. Fleury , Ole Winther

Stochastic approximation is a powerful class of algorithms with celebrated success. However, a large body of previous analysis focuses on stochastic approximations driven by contractive operators, which is not applicable in some important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Ethan Blaser , Shangtong Zhang

We propose a novel method for closed-form predictive distribution modeling with neural nets. In quantifying prediction uncertainty, we build on Evidential Deep Learning, which has been impactful as being both simple to implement and giving…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-22 Manuel Haussmann , Sebastian Gerwinn , Melih Kandemir

Supervised deep-embedding methods project inputs of a domain to a representational space in which same-class instances lie near one another and different-class instances lie far apart. We propose a probabilistic method that treats…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-27 Tyler R. Scott , Karl Ridgeway , Michael C. Mozer

Extracting meaning from uncertain, noisy data is a fundamental problem across time series analysis, pattern recognition, and language modeling. This survey presents a unified mathematical framework that connects classical estimation theory,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Mohammed Elmusrati

We introduce the E-measure: a measure-like generalization of the E-value to a class of hypotheses. Unlike classical measures, E-measures are closed under infimums instead of addition. They arise from a compatibility axiom with logical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Nick W. Koning

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a stochastic maximal inequality derived by using It\^o's formula and on a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Yoichi Nishiyama

In Generalised Bayesian Inference (GBI), the learning rate and hyperparameters of the loss must be estimated. These inference-hyperparameters can't be estimated jointly with the other parameters, from the data, by giving them a prior.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Jeong Eun Lee , Sitong Liu , Geoff K. Nicholls

In this paper, we discuss exponential mixing property for Markovian semigroups generated by segment processes associated with several class of retarded Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) which cover SDEs with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-18 Jianhai Bao , George Yin , Leyi Wang , Chenggui Yuan

We consider parabolic PDEs with randomly switching boundary conditions. In order to analyze these random PDEs, we consider more general stochastic hybrid systems and prove convergence to, and properties of, a stationary distribution.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Sean D. Lawley , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Michael C. Reed

It is shown that a consistent application of Bayesian updating from a prior probability density to a posterior using evidence in the form of expectation constraints leads to exactly the same results as the application of the maximum entropy…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-02 Sergio Davis

Constrained Bayesian optimization (CBO) methods have seen significant success in black-box optimization with constraints. One of the most commonly used CBO methods is the constrained expected improvement (CEI) algorithm. CEI is a natural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Haowei Wang , Jingyi Wang , Zhongxiang Dai , Nai-Yuan Chiang , Szu Hui Ng , Cosmin G. Petra