Related papers: Comparison of Stochastic Parametrization Schemes u…
We present a numerical investigation into the stochastic parameterisations of the Primitive Equations (PE) using the Stochastic Advection by Lie Transport (SALT) and Stochastic Forcing by Lie Transport (SFLT) frameworks. These frameworks…
In this work, we combine a stochastic model reduction with a particle filter augmented with tempering and jittering, and apply the combined algorithm to a damped and forced incompressible 2D Euler dynamics defined on a simply connected…
Stochastic parametrisations of the interactions among disparate scales of motion in fluid convection are often used for estimating prediction uncertainty, which can arise due to inadequate model resolution, or incomplete observations,…
We present the first application of the stochastic advection by Lie transport (SALT) framework to an idealized coupled ocean-atmosphere system. SALT derives stochastic fluid equations from Hamilton's variational principle under a stochastic…
A generic approach to stochastic climate modelling is developed for the example of an idealized Atmosphere-Ocean model that rests upon Hasselmann's paradigm for stochastic climate models. Namely, stochasticity is incorporated into the fast…
In analogy with similar effects in adiabatic compressible fluid dynamics, the effects of buoyancy gradients on incompressible stratified flows are said to be `thermal'. The thermal rotating shallow water (TRSW) model equations contain three…
The stochastic variational approach for geophysical fluid dynamics was introduced by Holm (Proc Roy Soc A, 2015) as a framework for deriving stochastic parameterisations for unresolved scales. This paper applies the variational stochastic…
In this paper, we propose and assess several stochastic parametrizations for data-driven modelling of the two-dimensional Euler equations using coarse-grid SPDEs. The framework of Stochastic Advection by Lie Transport (SALT) [Cotter et al.,…
We introduce a physically relevant stochastic representation of the rotating shallow water equations. The derivation relies mainly on a stochastic transport principle and on a decomposition of the fluid flow into a large-scale component and…
We develop a stochastic parametrization, based on a `simple' deterministic model for the dynamics of steady longshore currents, that produces ensembles that are statistically consistent with field observations of these currents. Unlike…
This paper investigates the mathematical properties of a stochastic version of the balanced 2D thermal quasigeostrophic (TQG) model of potential vorticity dynamics. This stochastic TQG model is intended as a basis for parametrisation of the…
This paper contains the latest installment of the authors' project on developing ensemble based data assimilation methodology for high dimensional fluid dynamics models. The algorithm presented here is a particle filter that combines model…
A deterministic multiscale toy model is studied in which a chaotic fast subsystem triggers rare transitions between slow regimes, akin to weather or climate regimes. Using homogenization techniques, a reduced stochastic parametrization…
In this paper, we study the well-posedness properties of a stochastic rotating shallow water system in which the noise is chosen according to the Stochastic Advection by Lie Transport (SALT) theory. The system is perturbed by noise…
We derive stochastically-constrained Koiter shell models in line with the SALT (Stochastic Advection by Lie Transport) approach introduced by Holm [Proc. A. 471 (2015)]. First, we deduce the stochastic partial differential equations for the…
Stochastic parametrisations are used in weather and climate models to improve the representation of unpredictable unresolved processes. When compared to a deterministic model, a stochastic model represents `model uncertainty', i.e., sources…
In recent years, machine learning (ML) has been proposed to devise data-driven parametrisations of unresolved processes in dynamical numerical models. In most cases, the ML training leverages high-resolution simulations to provide a dense,…
The rotating shallow water model is a simplification of oceanic and atmospheric general circulation models that are used in many applications such as surge prediction, tsunami tracking and ocean modelling. In this paper we introduce a class…
A stochastic subgrid-scale parameterization based on the Ruelle's response theory and proposed in Wouters and Lucarini [2012] is tested in the context of a low-order coupled ocean-atmosphere model for which a part of the atmospheric modes…
Stochastic parameterizations are increasingly being used to represent the uncertainty associated with model errors in ensemble forecasting and data assimilation. One of the challenges associated with the use of these parameterizations is…