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Many decision-facing stochastic systems are observed through aggregate distributions rather than scalar trajectories: queue occupancies, mobility shares, public-health mixtures, generation-source shares, ecological compositions, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Jiecheng Lu , Jieqi Di , Runhua Wu , Yuwei Zhou

Shallow water equations are extensively considered in the domains of oceans, atmospheric modelling, and engineering research (Franca et al., 2022), which play significant roles in floods and tsunami governance. Nonetheless, the accurate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-09-22 Ruijia Yu

Eigenvalue analysis is a well-established tool for stability analysis of dynamical systems. However, there are situations where eigenvalues miss some important features of physical models. For example, in models of incompressible fluid…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-23 Howard C. Elman , David J. Silvester

Stochastic dominance is an important concept in probability theory, econometrics and social choice theory for robustly modeling agents' preferences between random outcomes. While many works have been dedicated to the univariate case, little…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-11 Gabriel Rioux , Apoorva Nitsure , Mattia Rigotti , Kristjan Greenewald , Youssef Mroueh

Data assimilation (DA) provides a general framework for estimation in dynamical systems based on the concepts of Bayesian inference. This constitutes a common basis for the different linear and nonlinear filtering and smoothing techniques…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Tarek Diaa-Eldeen , Marcus Krogh Nielsen , Carl Fredrik Berg , Morten Hovd , John Bagterp Jørgensen

We consider the problem of data-driven stochastic optimal control of an unknown LTI dynamical system. Assuming the process noise is normally distributed, we pose the problem of steering the state's mean and covariance to a target normal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-09 Joshua Pilipovsky , Panagiotis Tsiotras

The dynamics of molecules are governed by rare event transitions between long-lived (metastable) states. To explore these transitions efficiently, many enhanced sampling protocols have been introduced that involve using simulations with…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-09-30 Maaike M. Galama , Hao Wu , Andreas Krämer , Mohsen Sadeghi , Frank Noé

Optimal transport is widely used to learn distributions, enforce distributional constraints, and model uncertainty. In applications, transport losses are often computed from samples through tractable representations, such as one-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Tam Le

This paper details how to parameterize the posterior distribution of state-space systems to generate improved optimization problems for system identification using variational inference. Three different parameterizations of the assumed…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

Stochastic nested optimization, including stochastic compositional, min-max and bilevel optimization, is gaining popularity in many machine learning applications. While the three problems share the nested structure, existing works often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-28 Tianyi Chen , Yuejiao Sun , Wotao Yin

Simultaneous localization and tracking (SLAT) in sensor networks aims to determine the positions of sensor nodes and a moving target in a network, given incomplete and inaccurate range measurements between the target and each of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Pınar Oğuz-Ekim , João Gomes , João Xavier , Paulo Oliveira

In stochastic optimal control, change of measure arguments have been crucial for stochastic analysis. Such an approach is often called static reduction in dynamic team theory (or decentralized stochastic control) and has been an effective…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Sina Sanjari , Tamer Başar , Serdar Yüksel

Despite an extensive body of literature on deep learning optimization, our current understanding of what makes an optimization algorithm effective is fragmented. In particular, we do not understand well whether enhanced optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Toki Tahmid Inan , Mingrui Liu , Amarda Shehu

We introduce the Smoothed Online Optimization for Target Tracking (SOOTT) problem, a new framework that integrates three key objectives in online decision-making under uncertainty: (1) tracking cost for following a dynamically moving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Ali Zeynali , Mahsa Sahebdel , Qingsong Liu , Mohammad Hajiesmaili , Ramesh K. Sitaraman

Molecular design requires systematic and broadly applicable methods to extract structure-property relationships. The focus of this study is on learning thermodynamic properties from molecular-liquid simulations. The methodology relies on an…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-07-04 Bernadette Mohr , Diego van der Mast , Tristan Bereau

Reduced-order models based on level-set methods are widely used tools to qualitatively capture and track the nonlinear dynamics of an interface. The aim of this paper is to develop a physics-informed, data-driven, statistically rigorous…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-20 Hans Yu , Matthew P. Juniper , Luca Magri

Standardization has been a widely adopted practice in multiple testing, for it takes into account the variability in sampling and makes the test statistics comparable across different study units. However, despite conventional wisdom to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-09 Luella Fu , Bowen Gang , Gareth M. James , Wenguang Sun

A novel strategy is proposed to improve the accuracy of state estimation and reconstruction from low-fidelity models and sparse data from sensors. This strategy combines ensemble Data Assimilation (DA) and Machine Learning (ML) tools,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-31 Miguel M. Valero , Marcello Meldi

Continuous data assimilation methods, such as the nudging algorithm introduced by Azouani, Olson, and Titi (AOT) [2], are known to be highly effective in deterministic settings for asymptotically synchronizing approximate solutions with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Hakima Bessaih , Benedetta Ferrario , Oussama Landoulsi , Margherita Zanella

Inverse problems in physical or biological sciences often involve recovering an unknown parameter that is random. The sought-after quantity is a probability distribution of the unknown parameter, that produces data that aligns with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-02 Qin Li , Maria Oprea , Li Wang , Yunan Yang