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This paper conducts a comprehensive study of the learning curves of kernel ridge regression (KRR) under minimal assumptions. Our contributions are three-fold: 1) we analyze the role of key properties of the kernel, such as its spectral…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Tin Sum Cheng , Aurelien Lucchi , Anastasis Kratsios , David Belius

We study the statistical properties of the least squares estimator in unimodal sequence estimation. Although closely related to isotonic regression, unimodal regression has not been as extensively studied. We show that the unimodal least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-10 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , John Lafferty

Gaussian Graphical Models (GGM) are often used to describe the conditional correlations between the components of a random vector. In this article, we compare two families of GGM inference methods: nodewise edge selection and penalised…

In this paper, we propose a random projection approach to estimate variance in kernel ridge regression. Our approach leads to a consistent estimator of the true variance, while being computationally more efficient. Our variance estimator is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Meimei Liu , Jean Honorio , Guang Cheng

The generalized Ridge penalty is a powerful tool for dealing with overfitting and for high-dimensional regressions. The generalized Ridge regression can be derived as the mean of a posterior distribution with a Normal prior and a given…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-10 Said Obakrim , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet , Nicolas Raillard

In observational studies, accurately characterizing variance is critical for sample size determination, yet unaccounted-for variability from propensity score estimation and the resulting weights limit the accuracy of standard variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Taekwon Hong , Daeyoung Lim , Woojung Bae , Yong Ma

We propose a novel conditional quantile prediction method based on complete subset averaging (CSA) for quantile regressions. All models under consideration are potentially misspecified and the dimension of regressors goes to infinity as the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-11 Ji Hyung Lee , Youngki Shin

Cross validation is a central tool in evaluating the performance of machine learning and statistical models. However, despite its ubiquitous role, its theoretical properties are still not well understood. We study the asymptotic properties…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-30 Morgane Austern , Wenda Zhou

We develop a framework for function classes generated by parametric ridge kernels: one-dimensional kernels composed with affine projections and averaged over a parameter measure. The induced kernels are positive definite, and the resulting…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-26 James Tian

Random forests remain among the most popular off-the-shelf supervised learning algorithms. Despite their well-documented empirical success, however, until recently, few theoretical results were available to describe their performance and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-17 Wei Peng , Tim Coleman , Lucas Mentch

We consider the least-squares regression problem and provide a detailed asymptotic analysis of the performance of averaged constant-step-size stochastic gradient descent (a.k.a. least-mean-squares). In the strongly-convex case, we provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Alexandre Défossez , Francis Bach

We consider the estimation of a bounded regression function with nonparametric heteroscedastic noise and random design. We study the true and empirical excess risks of the least-squares estimator on finite-dimensional vector spaces. We give…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-29 Adrien Saumard

In this paper, we are interested in the problem of smoothing parameter selection in nonparametric curve estimation under dependent errors. We focus on kernel estimation and the case when the errors form a general stationary sequence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Karim Benhenni , Didier Girard , Sana Louhichi

Trajectory optimization under uncertainty underpins a wide range of applications in robotics. However, existing methods are limited in terms of reasoning about sources of epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty, space and time correlations,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Thomas Lew , Riccardo Bonalli , Marco Pavone

We study statistical properties of the optimal value and optimal solutions of the Sample Average Approximation of risk averse stochastic problems. Central Limit Theorem type results are derived for the optimal value and optimal solutions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Vincent Guigues , Volker Krätschmer , Alexander Shapiro

When randomized ensembles such as bagging or random forests are used for binary classification, the prediction error of the ensemble tends to decrease and stabilize as the number of classifiers increases. However, the precise relationship…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Miles E. Lopes

This paper offers a new approach to address the model uncertainty in (potentially) divergent-dimensional single-index models (SIMs). We propose a model-averaging estimator based on cross-validation, which allows the dimension of covariates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-14 Jiahui Zou , Wendun Wang , Xinyu Zhang , Guohua Zou

In practice, encoding invariances into models improves sample complexity. In this work, we study this phenomenon from a theoretical perspective. In particular, we provide minimax optimal rates for kernel ridge regression on compact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Behrooz Tahmasebi , Stefanie Jegelka

In many areas, practitioners need to analyze large datasets that challenge conventional single-machine computing. To scale up data analysis, distributed and parallel computing approaches are increasingly needed. Here we study a fundamental…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Edgar Dobriban , Yue Sheng

Unlike the ordinary least-squares (OLS) estimator for the linear model, a ridge regression linear model provides coefficient estimates via shrinkage, usually with improved mean-square and prediction error. This is true especially when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-25 George Karabatsos