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We introduce a general semiparametric clusterwise elliptical distribution to assess how latent cluster structure shapes continuous outcomes. Using a subjectwise representation, we first estimate cluster-specific mean vectors and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Jen-Chieh Teng , Sheng-Hsin Fan , Chin-Tsang Chiang , Ming-Yueh Huang , Alvin Lim

We prove uniform consistency of Random Survival Forests (RSF), a newly introduced forest ensemble learner for analysis of right-censored survival data. Consistency is proven under general splitting rules, bootstrapping, and random selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-19 Hemant Ishwaran , Udaya B. Kogalur

In this work, we study the $\lambda$-regularized $A$-optimal design problem and introduce the $\lambda$-regularized proportional volume sampling algorithm, generalized from [Nikolov, Singh, and Tantipongpipat, 2019], for this problem with…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Uthaipon Tantipongpipat

Classic ensembles generalize better than any single component model. In contrast, recent empirical studies find that modern ensembles of (overparameterized) neural networks may not provide any inherent generalization advantage over single…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-10 Niclas Dern , John P. Cunningham , Geoff Pleiss

Existing theory suggests that for linear regression problems categorized by capacity and source conditions, gradient descent (GD) is always minimax optimal, while both ridge regression and online stochastic gradient descent (SGD) are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Jingfeng Wu , Peter L. Bartlett , Jason D. Lee , Sham M. Kakade , Bin Yu

We study the asymptotic properties of Lasso+mLS and Lasso+Ridge under the sparse high-dimensional linear regression model: Lasso selecting predictors and then modified Least Squares (mLS) or Ridge estimating their coefficients. First, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-14 Hanzhong Liu , Bin Yu

We introduce and study the Group Square-Root Lasso (GSRL) method for estimation in high dimensional sparse regression models with group structure. The new estimator minimizes the square root of the residual sum of squares plus a penalty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-01 Florentina Bunea , Johannes Lederer , Yiyuan She

We present a framework for the theoretical analysis of ensembles of low-complexity empirical risk minimisers trained on independent random compressions of high-dimensional data. First we introduce a general distribution-dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Henry W. J. Reeve , Ata Kaban

Risk estimation is at the core of many learning systems. The importance of this problem has motivated researchers to propose different schemes, such as cross validation, generalized cross validation, and Bootstrap. The theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Ji Xu , Arian Maleki , Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Daniel Hsu

In this paper we study the asymptotics of linear regression in settings with non-Gaussian covariates where the covariates exhibit a linear dependency structure, departing from the standard assumption of independence. We model the covariates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Behrad Moniri , Hamed Hassani

The paper offers a novel unified approach to studying the accuracy of parameter estimation by the quasi likelihood method. Important features of the approach are: (1) The underlying model {is not assumed to be parametric}. (2) No conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-11 V. Spokoiny

We introduce the concept of coverage risk as an error measure for density ridge estimation. The coverage risk generalizes the mean integrated square error to set estimation. We propose two risk estimators for the coverage risk and we show…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-09 Yen-Chi Chen , Christopher R. Genovese , Shirley Ho , Larry Wasserman

We construct uniform and point-wise asymptotic confidence sets for the single edge in an otherwise smooth image function which are based on rotated differences of two one-sided kernel estimators. Using methods from M-estimation, we show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Viktor Bengs , Matthias Eulert , Hajo Holzmann

Feature bagging is a well-established ensembling method which aims to reduce prediction variance by combining predictions of many estimators trained on subsets or projections of features. Here, we develop a theory of feature-bagging in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-11 Benjamin S. Ruben , Cengiz Pehlevan

From benign overfitting in overparameterized models to rich power-law scalings in performance, simple ridge regression displays surprising behaviors sometimes thought to be limited to deep neural networks. This balance of phenomenological…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Alexander Atanasov , Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan

Many modern datasets, such as those in ecology and geology, are composed of samples with spatial structure and dependence. With such data violating the usual independent and identically distributed (IID) assumption in machine learning and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-18 Kevin Fry , Jonathan E. Taylor

When the regressors of a econometric linear model are nonorthogonal, it is well known that their estimation by ordinary least squares can present various problems that discourage the use of this model. The ridge regression is the most…

Fair scores reward ensemble forecast members that behave like samples from the same distribution as the verifying observations. They are therefore an attractive choice as loss functions to train data-driven ensemble forecasts or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-18 Christopher David Roberts

We prove a non-asymptotic distribution-independent lower bound for the expected mean squared generalization error caused by label noise in ridgeless linear regression. Our lower bound generalizes a similar known result to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-02 David Holzmüller

An important question in constructing Cross Validation (CV) estimators of the generalization error is whether rules can be established that allow "optimal" selection of the size of the training set, for fixed sample size $n$. We define the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-11 Georgios Afendras , Marianthi Markatou
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