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We employ random matrix theory to establish consistency of generalized cross validation (GCV) for estimating prediction risks of sketched ridge regression ensembles, enabling efficient and consistent tuning of regularization and sketching…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Pratik Patil , Daniel LeJeune

Generalized cross-validation (GCV) is a widely-used method for estimating the squared out-of-sample prediction risk that employs a scalar degrees of freedom adjustment (in a multiplicative sense) to the squared training error. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Pierre C. Bellec , Jin-Hong Du , Takuya Koriyama , Pratik Patil , Kai Tan

We establish precise structural and risk equivalences between subsampling and ridge regularization for ensemble ridge estimators. Specifically, we prove that linear and quadratic functionals of subsample ridge estimators, when fitted with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du

Ensemble methods that average over a collection of independent predictors that are each limited to a subsampling of both the examples and features of the training data command a significant presence in machine learning, such as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-26 Daniel LeJeune , Hamid Javadi , Richard G. Baraniuk

Recent years have seen substantial advances in our understanding of high-dimensional ridge regression, but existing theories assume that training examples are independent. By leveraging techniques from random matrix theory and free…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-06 Alexander Atanasov , Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan

Features in predictive models are not exchangeable, yet common supervised models treat them as such. Here we study ridge regression when the analyst can partition the features into $K$ groups based on external side-information. For example,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Panagiotis Lolas

Ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are ubiquitous in various fields, from finance to genomics. Despite their prevalence, the question of the efficient tuning of ensemble parameters has received relatively little attention.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Jin-Hong Du , Pratik Patil , Kathryn Roeder , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We characterize the squared prediction risk of ensemble estimators obtained through subagging (subsample bootstrap aggregating) regularized M-estimators and construct a consistent estimator for the risk. Specifically, we consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Takuya Koriyama , Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Kai Tan , Pierre C. Bellec

This study examines generalized cross-validation for the tuning parameter selection for ridge regression in high-dimensional misspecified linear models. The set of candidates for the tuning parameter includes not only positive values but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Akira Shinkyu

Given a fixed budget for total model size, one must choose between training a single large model or combining the predictions of multiple smaller models. We investigate this trade-off for ensembles of random-feature ridge regression models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Benjamin S. Ruben , William L. Tong , Hamza Tahir Chaudhry , Cengiz Pehlevan

We study the flexible piecewise exponential model in a high dimensional setting where the number of covariates $p$ grows proportionally to the number of observations $n$ and under the hypothesis of random uncorrelated Gaussian designs. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Emanuele Massa

Subsampling is a popular approach to alleviating the computational burden for analyzing massive datasets. Recent efforts have been devoted to various statistical models without explicit regularization. In this paper, we develop an efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Yunlu Chen , Nan Zhang

Bagging is a commonly used ensemble technique in statistics and machine learning to improve the performance of prediction procedures. In this paper, we study the prediction risk of variants of bagged predictors under the proportional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-26 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Meta-learning involves training models on a variety of training tasks in a way that enables them to generalize well on new, unseen test tasks. In this work, we consider meta-learning within the framework of high-dimensional multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-01 Yanhao Jin , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Debashis Paul

Overparametrization often helps improve the generalization performance. This paper presents a dual view of overparametrization suggesting that downsampling may also help generalize. Focusing on the proportional regime $m\asymp n \asymp p$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Xin Chen , Yicheng Zeng , Siyue Yang , Qiang Sun

We propose new model selection criteria based on generalized ridge estimators dominating the maximum likelihood estimator under the squared risk and the Kullback-Leibler risk in multivariate linear regression. Our model selection criteria…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Yuichi Mori , Taiji Suzuki

We analyze the prediction error of ridge regression in an asymptotic regime where the sample size and dimension go to infinity at a proportional rate. In particular, we consider the role played by the structure of the true regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Dominic Richards , Jaouad Mourtada , Lorenzo Rosasco

In recent years, there has been a significant growth in research focusing on minimum $\ell_2$ norm (ridgeless) interpolation least squares estimators. However, the majority of these analyses have been limited to an unrealistic regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Sungyoon Lee , Sokbae Lee

Random matrix theory has become a widely useful tool in high-dimensional statistics and theoretical machine learning. However, random matrix theory is largely focused on the proportional asymptotics in which the number of columns grows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Chen Cheng , Andrea Montanari

We provide a unified analysis of the predictive risk of ridge regression and regularized discriminant analysis in a dense random effects model. We work in a high-dimensional asymptotic regime where $p, n \to \infty$ and $p/n \to \gamma \in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-05 Edgar Dobriban , Stefan Wager
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