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This paper develops a general asymptotic theory of series estimators for spatial data collected at irregularly spaced locations within a sampling region $R_n \subset \mathbb{R}^d$. We employ a stochastic sampling design that can flexibly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Daisuke Kurisu , Yasumasa Matsuda

The asymptotic optimality (a.o.) of various hyper-parameter estimators with different optimality criteria has been studied in the literature for regularized least squares regression problems. The estimators include e.g., the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen , Lennart Ljung

We consider the overfitting behavior of minimum norm interpolating solutions of Gaussian kernel ridge regression (i.e. kernel ridgeless regression), when the bandwidth or input dimension varies with the sample size. For fixed dimensions, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Marko Medvedev , Gal Vardi , Nathan Srebro

We present a novel method for tuning the regularization hyper-parameter, $\lambda$, of a ridge regression that is faster to compute than leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) while yielding estimates of the regression parameters of equal,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-06 Shu Yu Tew , Mario Boley , Daniel F. Schmidt

We study ridge estimation of the precision matrix in the high-dimensional setting where the number of variables is large relative to the sample size. We first review two archetypal ridge estimators and note that their utilized penalties do…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-17 Wessel N. van Wieringen , Carel F. W. Peeters

We study high-dimensional convex empirical risk minimization (ERM) under general non-Gaussian data designs. By heuristically extending the Convex Gaussian Min-Max Theorem (CGMT) to non-Gaussian settings, we derive an asymptotic min-max…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-06 Chiheb Yaakoubi , Cosme Louart , Malik Tiomoko , Zhenyu Liao

In this work we investigate the generalization performance of random feature ridge regression (RFRR). Our main contribution is a general deterministic equivalent for the test error of RFRR. Specifically, under a certain concentration…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-06 Leonardo Defilippis , Bruno Loureiro , Theodor Misiakiewicz

Ridge regression with random coefficients provides an important alternative to fixed coefficients regression in high dimensional setting when the effects are expected to be small but not zeros. This paper considers estimation and prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-29 Hongzhe Zhang , Hongzhe Li

In this paper, we consider nonparametric estimation over general Dirichlet metric measure spaces. Unlike the more commonly studied reproducing kernel Hilbert space, whose elements may be defined pointwise, a Dirichlet space typically only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Prem Talwai , David Simchi-Levi

The goal of ensemble forecasting is to maximise sharpness subject to reliability. Marginal reliability means that, over all cases, the ensemble is statistically consistent with reality: the ensemble mean is unbiased, the expected ensemble…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Jonas Spaeth , Christopher D. Roberts

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

Random Fourier features is a widely used, simple, and effective technique for scaling up kernel methods. The existing theoretical analysis of the approach, however, remains focused on specific learning tasks and typically gives pessimistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-08 Zhu Li , Jean-Francois Ton , Dino Oglic , Dino Sejdinovic

Convex regression is a promising area for bridging statistical estimation and deterministic convex optimization. New piecewise linear convex regression methods are fast and scalable, but can have instability when used to approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Lauren Hannah , David Dunson

The linear regression model cannot be fitted to high-dimensional data, as the high-dimensionality brings about empirical non-identifiability. Penalized regression overcomes this non-identifiability by augmentation of the loss function by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 Wessel N. van Wieringen

In this paper, I show that classic two-stage least squares (2SLS) estimates are highly unstable with weak instruments. I propose a ridge estimator (ridge IV) and show that it is asymptotically normal even with weak instruments, whereas 2SLS…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-04-19 Karthik Rajkumar

Random forests have proven to be reliable predictive algorithms in many application areas. Not much is known, however, about the statistical properties of random forests. Several authors have established conditions under which their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Stefan Wager

This paper studies the asymptotics of resampling without replacement in the proportional regime where dimension $p$ and sample size $n$ are of the same order. For a given dataset $(X,y)\in \mathbb{R}^{n\times p}\times \mathbb{R}^n$ and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Pierre C. Bellec , Takuya Koriyama

Maximum likelihood estimation in nonlinear models can exhibit substantial instability in finite samples when the data provide limited information about certain parameters. Such instability is driven by rare but extreme realizations of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Masamune Iwasawa

This paper carries out a large dimensional analysis of a variation of kernel ridge regression that we call \emph{centered kernel ridge regression} (CKRR), also known in the literature as kernel ridge regression with offset. This modified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-22 Khalil Elkhalil , Abla Kammoun , Xiangliang Zhang , Mohamed-Slim Alouini , Tareq Al-Naffouri

This paper studies the asymptotic properties of the penalized least squares estimator using an adaptive group Lasso penalty for the reduced rank regression. The group Lasso penalty is defined in the way that the regression coefficients…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Kejun He , Jianhua Z. Huang