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Motivated by applications in movement ecology, in this paper I propose a new class of integrated continuous-time hidden Markov models in which each observation depends on the underlying state of the process over the whole interval since the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-01 Paul G Blackwell

New types of high-resolution animal movement data allow for increasingly comprehensive biological inference, but method development to meet the statistical challenges associated with such data is lagging behind. In this contribution, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Ferdinand V. Stoye , Annika Hoyer , Roland Langrock

Recent developments in automated tracking allow uninterrupted, high-resolution recording of animal trajectories, sometimes coupled with the identification of stereotyped changes of body pose or other behaviors of interest. Analysis and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-04 Katarina Bodova , Gabriel J. Mitchell , Roy Harpaz , Elad Schneidman , Gasper Tkacik

Ecological Momentary Assessments (EMA) capture real-time thoughts and behaviors in natural settings, producing rich longitudinal data for statistical and physiological analyses. However, the robustness of these analyses can be compromised…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Yiheng Wei , Donald Hedeker

A framework for tightly integrated motion mode classification and state estimation in motion-constrained inertial navigation systems is presented. The framework uses a jump Markov model to describe the navigation system's motion mode and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-23 Isaac Skog , Gustaf Hendeby , Manon Kok

Multi-state models are commonly used for intermittent observations of a state over time, but these are generally based on the Markov assumption, that transition rates are independent of the time spent in current and previous states. In a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Christopher Jackson

With the influx of complex and detailed tracking data gathered from electronic tracking devices, the analysis of animal movement data has recently emerged as a cottage industry amongst biostatisticians. New approaches of ever greater…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-31 Toby A Patterson , Alison Parton , Roland Langrock , Paul G Blackwell , Len Thomas , Ruth King

Penalized regression methods, such as lasso and elastic net, are used in many biomedical applications when simultaneous regression coefficient estimation and variable selection is desired. However, missing data complicates the…

To investigate interactions between parasite species in a host, a population of field voles was studied longitudinally, with presence or absence of six different parasites measured repeatedly. Although trapping sessions were regular, a…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-29 Chris Sherlock , Tatiana Xifara , Sandra Telfer , Mike Begon

Markov-switching models are a powerful tool for modelling time series data that are driven by underlying latent states. As such, they are widely used in behavioural ecology, where discrete states can serve as proxies for behavioural modes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Jan-Ole Koslik

Improved communication systems, shrinking battery sizes and the price drop of tracking devices have led to an increasing availability of trajectory tracking data. These data are often analyzed to understand animal behavior. In this work, we…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-12 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Clara Grazian , Sara Mancinelli , Enrico Bibbona

The use of accelerometers in wildlife tracking provides a fine-scale data source for understanding animal behavior and decision-making. Current methods in movement ecology focus on behavior as a driver of movement mechanisms. Our Markov…

Markov state models (MSMs) are widely employed to analyze the kinetics of complex systems. But despite their effectiveness in many applications, MSMs are prone to systematic or statistical errors, often exacerbated by suboptimal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-08-12 Yehor Tuchkov , Luke Evans , Sonya M. Hanson , Erik H. Thiede

Cooperative behavior is prevalent in both human society and nature. Understanding the emergence and maintenance of cooperation among self-interested individuals remains a significant challenge in evolutionary biology and social sciences.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Lanyu Yang , Dongchun Jiang , Fuqiang Guo , Mingjian Fu

Theoretical analyses of evolution strategies are indispensable for gaining a deep understanding of their inner workings. For constrained problems, rather simple problems are of interest in the current research. This work presents a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-08-12 Patrick Spettel , Hans-Georg Beyer

State-space models (SSMs) are increasingly used in ecology to model time-series such as animal movement paths and population dynamics. This type of hierarchical model is often structured to account for two levels of variability: biological…

Hidden Markov Models with an underlying Mixture of Gaussian structure have proven effective in learning Human-Robot Interactions from demonstrations for various interactive tasks via Gaussian Mixture Regression. However, a mismatch occurs…

1. Predicting space use patterns of animals from their interactions with the environment is fundamental for understanding the effect of habitat changes on ecosystem functioning. Recent attempts to address this problem have sought to unify…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-23 Jonathan R. Potts , Guillaume Bastille-Rousseau , Dennis L. Murray , James A. Schaefer , Mark A. Lewis

An important statistical task in disease mapping problems is to identify divergent regions with unusually high or low risk of disease. Leave-one-out cross-validatory (LOOCV) model assessment is the gold standard for estimating predictive…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-24 Longhai Li , Cindy X. Feng , Shi Qiu

Species distribution modeling is a highly versatile tool for understanding the intricate relationship between environmental conditions and species occurrences. However, the available data often lacks information on confirmed species absence…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-18 Robin Zbinden , Nina van Tiel , Benjamin Kellenberger , Lloyd Hughes , Devis Tuia