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We analyse various perturbations and projections of Kalman-Bucy semigroups and Riccati equations. For example, covariance inflation-type perturbations and localisation methods (projections) are common in the ensemble Kalman filtering…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral , Sahani D. Pathiraja

In this paper, state and noise covariance estimation problems for linear system with unknown multiplicative noise are considered. The measurement likelihood is modelled as a mixture of two Gaussian distributions and a Student's t…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-29 Xingkai Yu , Ziyang Meng

We obtain the first probabilistic proof of continuous differentiability of time-dependent optimal boundaries in optimal stopping problems. The underlying stochastic dynamics is a one-dimensional, time-inhomogeneous diffusion. The gain…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Tiziano De Angelis , Damien Lamberton

We analyze the Ensemble and Polynomial Chaos Kalman filters applied to nonlinear stationary Bayesian inverse problems. In a sequential data assimilation setting such stationary problems arise in each step of either filter. We give a new…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Oliver G. Ernst , Björn Sprungk , Hans-Jörg Starkloff

A stochastic filter uses a series of measurements over time to produce estimates of unknown variables based on a dynamic model. For a quantum system, such an algorithm is provided by a quantum filter, which is also known as a stochastic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-25 Muhammad F. Emzir , Matthew J. Woolley , Ian R. Petersen

We consider a long-term optimal investment problem where an investor tries to minimize the probability of falling below a target growth rate. From a mathematical viewpoint, this is a large deviation control problem. This problem will be…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Hiroaki Hata , Hideo Nagai , Shuenn-Jyi Sheu

In this work, we highlight a connection between the incremental proximal method and stochastic filters. We begin by showing that the proximal operators coincide, and hence can be realized with, Bayes updates. We give the explicit form of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-13 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Victor Elvira , Joaquin Miguez

Standard battery management systems treat the control and state estimation problems as decoupled objectives, relying on certainty equivalence controllers that are blind to the varying observability induced by nonlinear open-circuit voltage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-17 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Marfred Barrera , Mihai Anitescu , Sylvia Herbert

This paper focuses on inverse problems to identify parameters by incorporating information from measurements. These generally ill-posed problems are formulated here in a probabilistic setting based on Bayes's theorem because it leads to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Jaroslav Vondřejc , Hermann G. Matthies

We study the time-inconsistent linear quadratic optimal control problem for forward-backward stochastic differential equations with potentially indefinite cost weighting matrices for both the state and the control variables. Our research…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Qi Lü , Bowen Ma

We consider some certain nonlinear perturbations of the stochastic linear-quadratic optimization problems and study the connections between their solutions and the corresponding Markovian backward stochastic diferential equations (BSDEs).…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Coskun Cetin

State estimation is a fundamental problem in control and signal processing, for which the Kalman Filter provides an optimal solution under linear dynamics, Gaussian noise, and known noise covariances. However, these assumptions often fail…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Vasileios Saketos , Ming Xiao

We investigate the convergence rates of variational posterior distributions for statistical inverse problems involving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). Departing from exact Bayesian inference, variational inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Shaokang Zu , Junxiong Jia , Deyu Meng

Most inverse problems from physical sciences are formulated as PDE-constrained optimization problems. This involves identifying unknown parameters in equations by optimizing the model to generate PDE solutions that closely match measured…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Qin Li , Li Wang , Yunan Yang

This work proposes ensemble Kalman randomized maximum likelihood estimation, a new derivative-free method for performing randomized maximum likelihood estimation, which is a method that can be used to generate approximate samples from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Pavlos Stavrinides , Elizabeth Qian

Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) has been a very popular algorithm used in Bayesian inverse problems. It samples particles from a prior distribution, and introduces a motion to move the particles around in pseudo-time. As the pseudo-time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li

Linear-quadratic optimal control problem for systems governed by forward-backward stochastic differential equations has been extensively studied over the past three decades. Recent research has revealed that for forward-backward control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Qi Lü , Bowen Ma , Hanxiao Wang

We propose a numerical recipe for risk evaluation defined by a backward stochastic differential equation. Using dual representation of the risk measure, we convert the risk valuation to a stochastic control problem where the control is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Andrzej Ruszczynski , Jianing Yao

We study non-linear Bayesian inverse problems arising from semilinear partial differential equations (PDEs) that can be transformed into linear Bayesian inverse problems. We are then able to extend the early stopping for Ensemble…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Maia Tienstra , Gottfried Hastermann

The paper is devoted to the optimal control of a system with two time-scales, in a regime when the limit equation is not of averaging type but, in the spirit of Wong-Zakai principle, it is a stochastic differential equation for the slow…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Franco Flandoli , Giuseppina Guatteri , Umberto Pappalettera , Gianmario Tessitore