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Bayesian filtering approximates the true underlying behavior of a time-varying system by inverting an explicit generative model to convert noisy measurements into state estimates. This process typically requires either storage, inversion,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-20 Gianluca M. Bencomo , Jake C. Snell , Thomas L. Griffiths

A hybrid particle ensemble Kalman filter is developed for problems with medium non-Gaussianity, i.e. problems where the prior is very non-Gaussian but the posterior is approximately Gaussian. Such situations arise, e.g., when nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-15 Gregor Robinson , Ian Grooms

Prediction error and maximum likelihood methods are powerful tools for identifying linear dynamical systems and, in particular, enable the joint estimation of model parameters and the Kalman filter used for state estimation. A key…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Léo Simpson , Moritz Diehl

The maximum principle for optimal control problems of fully coupled forward-backward doubly stochastic differential equations (FBDSDEs in short) in the global form is obtained, under the assumptions that the diffusion coefficients do not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-28 Liangquan Zhang , Yufeng Shi

We are interested in stochastic control problems coming from mathematical finance and, in particular, related to model uncertainty, where the uncertainty affects both volatility and intensity. This kind of stochastic control problems is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-15 Sébastien Choukroun , Andrea Cosso

Conventional Bayesian estimation requires an accurate stochastic model of a system. However, this requirement is not always met in many practical cases where the system is not completely known or may differ from the assumed model. For such…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-05 Ranjeet Kumar Tiwari , Shovan Bhaumik

The literature dealing with data-driven analysis and control problems has significantly grown in the recent years. Most of the recent literature deals with linear time-invariant systems in which the uncertainty (if any) is assumed to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Daniele Alpago , Florian Dorfler , John Lygeros

This paper deals with the filtering problem for a class of discrete time stochastic volatility models in which the disturbances have rational probability density functions. This includes the Cauchy distributions and Student t-distributions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-06-25 Bernard Hanzon , Wolfgang Scherrer

We study linear-quadratic stochastic optimal control problems with bilinear state dependence for which the underlying stochastic differential equation (SDE) consists of slow and fast degrees of freedom. We show that, in the same way in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-03-21 Omar Kebiri , Lara Neureither , Carsten Hartmann

This paper presents a novel approach to numerically solve stochastic differential games for nonlinear systems. The proposed approach relies on the nonlinear Feynman-Kac theorem that establishes a connection between parabolic deterministic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Ziyi Wang , Keuntaek Lee , Marcus A. Pereira , Ioannis Exarchos , Evangelos A. Theodorou

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

This paper proposes control approaches for discrete-time linear systems subject to stochastic disturbances. It employs Kalman filter to estimate the mean and covariance of the state propagation, and the worst-case conditional value-at-risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Masako Kishida

Nonlinear filtering problems are encountered in many applications, and one solution approach is the extended Kalman filter, which is not always convergent. Therefore, it is crucial to identify conditions under which the extended Kalman…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Ibrahim Mbouandi Njiasse , Florent Ouabo Kamkumo , Ralf Wunderlich

We consider a class of stochastic optimal control problems for discrete-time stochastic linear systems which seek for control policies that will steer the probability distribution of the terminal state of the system close to a desired…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Isin M. Balci , Efstathios Bakolas

In this paper, we establish the almost sure convergence of two-timescale stochastic gradient descent algorithms in continuous time under general noise and stability conditions, extending well known results in discrete time. We analyse…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas

The optimal predictor for a linear dynamical system (with hidden state and Gaussian noise) takes the form of an autoregressive linear filter, namely the Kalman filter. However, a fundamental problem in reinforcement learning and control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-27 Holden Lee , Cyril Zhang

This article studies convex duality in stochastic optimization over finite discrete-time. The first part of the paper gives general conditions that yield explicit expressions for the dual objective in many applications in operations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-28 Sara Biagini , Teemu Pennanen , Ari-Pekka Perkkiö

This paper investigates a numerical probabilistic method for the solution of some semilinear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs in short). The numerical scheme is based on discrete time approximation for solutions of systems…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Achref Bachouch , Mohamed Anis Ben Lasmar , Anis Matoussi , Mohamed Mnif

In this paper, the optimal control for discrete-time systems driven by fractional noises is studied. A stochastic maximum principle is obtained by introducing a backward stochastic difference equation contains both fractional noises and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Yuecai Han , Yuhang Li

By analogy with the theory of Backward Stochastic Differential Equations, we define Backward Stochastic Difference Equations on spaces related to discrete time, finite state processes. This paper considers these processes as constructions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-12 Samuel N. Cohen , Robert J. Elliott
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