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Storm-scale convection-allowing models (CAMs) are an important tool for predicting the evolution of thunderstorms and mesoscale convective systems that result in damaging extreme weather. By explicitly resolving convective dynamics within…

A generative diffusion model is used to produce probabilistic ensembles of precipitation intensity maps at the 1-hour 5-km resolution. The generation is conditioned on infrared and microwave radiometric measurements from the GOES and DMSP…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-26 Clement Guilloteau , Gavin Kerrigan , Kai Nelson , Giosue Migliorini , Padhraic Smyth , Runze Li , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

Climate change necessitates rapid expansion of renewable energy, with wind energy offering a scalable and low-impact solution. However, accurate prediction of wind loads and power generation remains challenging due to uncertainties in wind…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-30 Omar Sallam , Mirjam Fürth

Effective hydrological modeling and extreme weather analysis demand precipitation data at a kilometer-scale resolution, which is significantly finer than the 10 km scale offered by standard global products like IMERG. To address this, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Chugang Yi , Minghan Yu , Weikang Qian , Yixin Wen , Haizhao Yang

Numerical models used in weather and climate prediction take into account a comprehensive set of atmospheric processes such as the resolved and unresolved fluid dynamics, radiative transfer, cloud and aerosol life cycles, and mass or energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-10-11 Hui Wan , Kai Zhang , Philip J. Rasch , Vincent E. Larson , Xubin Zeng , Shixuan Zhang , Ross Dixon

Diffusion models have shown promising capabilities in trajectory generation for planning in offline reinforcement learning (RL). However, conventional diffusion-based planning methods often fail to account for the fact that generating…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Hanping Zhang , Yuhong Guo

Many climate processes are characterized using large systems of nonlinear differential equations; this, along with the immense amount of data required to parameterize complex interactions, means that Earth-System Model (ESM) simulations may…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-20 Kevin Potter , Carianne Martinez , Reina Pradhan , Samantha Brozak , Steven Sleder , Lauren Wheeler

Large computer models are ubiquitous in the earth sciences. These models often have tens or hundreds of tuneable parameters and can take thousands of core-hours to run to completion while generating terabytes of output. It is becoming…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-21 Duncan Watson-Parris , Andrew Williams , Lucia Deaconu , Philip Stier

Estimating and disentangling epistemic uncertainty, uncertainty that is reducible with more training data, and aleatoric uncertainty, uncertainty that is inherent to the task at hand, is critically important when applying machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Matthew A. Chan , Maria J. Molina , Christopher A. Metzler

Owing to the remarkable development of deep learning technology, there have been a series of efforts to build deep learning-based climate models. Whereas most of them utilize recurrent neural networks and/or graph neural networks, we design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-12 Jeehyun Hwang , Jeongwhan Choi , Hwangyong Choi , Kookjin Lee , Dongeun Lee , Noseong Park

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Despite major advances in climate science over the last 30 years, persistent uncertainties in projections of future climate change remain. Climate projections are produced with increasingly complex models which attempt to represent key…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-05-26 Mark S. Williamson , Chad W. Thackeray , Peter M. Cox , Alex Hall , Chris Huntingford , Femke J. M. M. Nijsse

Diffusion models, a family of generative models based on deep learning, have become increasingly prominent in cutting-edge machine learning research. With a distinguished performance in generating samples that resemble the observed data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Lequan Lin , Zhengkun Li , Ruikun Li , Xuliang Li , Junbin Gao

Downscaling techniques are one of the most prominent applications of Deep Learning (DL) in Earth System Modeling. A robust DL downscaling model can generate high-resolution fields from coarse-scale numerical model simulations, saving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Elena Tomasi , Gabriele Franch , Marco Cristoforetti

Heat waves are projected to increase in frequency and severity with global warming. Improved warning systems would help reduce the associated loss of lives, wildfires, power disruptions, and reduction in crop yields. In this work, we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-13 Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Amy McGovern , Shreya Agrawal , Jason Hickey

Accurate weather forecasting is critical for science and society. Yet, existing methods have not managed to simultaneously have the properties of high accuracy, low uncertainty, and high computational efficiency. On one hand, to quantify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Jimeng Shi , Bowen Jin , Jiawei Han , Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan , Giri Narasimhan

Accurate acquisition of surface meteorological conditions at arbitrary locations holds significant importance for weather forecasting and climate simulation. Due to the fact that meteorological states derived from satellite observations are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Siwei Tu , Ben Fei , Weidong Yang , Fenghua Ling , Hao Chen , Zili Liu , Kun Chen , Hang Fan , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Seismic data processing involves techniques to deal with undesired effects that occur during acquisition and pre-processing. These effects mainly comprise coherent artefacts such as multiples, non-coherent signals such as electrical noise,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-14 Ricard Durall , Ammar Ghanim , Mario Fernandez , Norman Ettrich , Janis Keuper

Clouds play a key role in regulating climate change but are difficult to simulate within Earth system models (ESMs). Improving the representation of clouds is one of the key tasks towards more robust climate change projections. This study…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-28 A. Kaps , A. Lauer , G. Camps-Valls , P. Gentine , L. Gómez-Chova , V. Eyring

Heatwaves pose a significant threat to public health, especially as global warming intensifies. However, current routing systems (e.g., online maps) fail to incorporate shade information due to the difficulty of estimating shades directly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Longchao Da , Xiangrui Liu , Mithun Shivakoti , Thirulogasankar Pranav Kutralingam , Yezhou Yang , Hua Wei