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It has been said, arguably, that causality analysis should pave a promising way to interpretable deep learning and generalization. Incorporation of causality into artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms, however, is challenged with its…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-22 X. San Liang , Dake Chen , Renhe Zhang

In a warming climate with more frequent severe weather, artificial intelligence (AI) weather models have the potential to provide cheaper, faster, and more accurate forecasts of high-impact weather events. To realize this potential, there…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 Rebecca Baiman , Elizabeth A. Barnes , Ankur Mahesh

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Ground based long-range passive imaging systems often suffer from degraded image quality due to a turbulent atmosphere. While methods exist for removing such turbulent distortions, many are limited to static sequences which cannot be…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-02 Zhiyuan Mao , Nicholas Chimitt , Stanley Chan

Technological developments and the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) are omnipresent themes and concerns of the present day. Much has been written on these topics but applications of quantitative models to understand the techno-social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-04 Sabin Roman , Francesco Bertolotti

The advents of Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven models marks a paradigm shift in risk management strategies for meteorological hazards. This study specifically employs tropical cyclones (TCs) as a focal example. We engineer a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-30 Kairui Feng , Dazhi Xi , Wei Ma , Cao Wang , Yuanlong Li , Xuanhong Chen

AI weather prediction has advanced rapidly, yet no unified mathematical framework explains what determines forecast skill. Existing theory addresses specific architectural choices rather than the learning pipeline as a whole, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Piyush Garg , Diana R. Gergel , Andrew E. Shao , Galen J. Yacalis

Accurately forecasting the long-term evolution of turbulence represents a grand challenge in scientific computing and is crucial for applications ranging from climate modeling to aerospace engineering. Existing deep learning methods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Hao Wu , Yuan Gao , Fan Xu , Fan Zhang , Qingsong Wen , Kun Wang , Xiaomeng Huang , Xian Wu

Forecasting corporate financial distress increasingly requires capturing firms' adoption of transformative technologies such as artificial intelligence, yet model performance remains vulnerable to temporal distribution shifts as these…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-07 Frederik Rech , Hussam Musa , Martin Šebeňa , Siele Jean Tuo

An artificial intelligence (AI) control system is developed to maximize the mixing rate of a turbulent jet. This system comprises six independently operated unsteady minijet actuators, two hot-wire sensors placed in the jet, and genetic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-24 Yu Zhou , Dewei Fan , Bingfu Zhang , Ruiying Li , Bernd R. Noack

For applications of machine learning in critical decisions, explainability is a primary concern, and often a regulatory requirement. Local linear methods for generating explanations, such as LIME and SHAP, have been criticized for being…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Joseph L. Breeden

Climate change has become one of the biggest global problems increasingly compromising the Earth's habitability. Recent developments such as the extraordinary heat waves in California & Canada, and the devastating floods in Germany point to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Manmeet Singh , Chirag Dhara , Adarsh Kumar , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Steve Uhlig

Frequent occurrences of extreme weather events substantially impact the lives of the less privileged in our societies, particularly in agriculture-inclined economies. The unpredictability of extreme fires, floods, drought, cyclones, and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Derrick Effah , Chunguang Bai , Matthew Quayson

A promising approach to improve climate-model simulations is to replace traditional subgrid parameterizations based on simplified physical models by machine learning algorithms that are data-driven. However, neural networks (NNs) often lead…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-04-07 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman , Chris N. Hill

The rapid development of machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) applications requires the training of large numbers of models. This growing demand highlights the importance of training models without human supervision, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Alexey Boldyrev , Fedor Ratnikov , Andrey Shevelev

Accurate uncertainty information associated with essential climate variables (ECVs) is crucial for reliable climate modeling and understanding the spatiotemporal evolution of the Earth system. In recent years, geoscience and climate…

We apply two independent data analysis methodologies to locate stable climate states in an intermediate complexity climate model and analyze their interplay. First, drawing from the theory of quasipotentials, and viewing the state space as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-07-07 Georgios Margazoglou , Tobias Grafke , Alessandro Laio , Valerio Lucarini

In this study, eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) methods are applied to analyze flow fields obtained through PIV measurements of an axisymmetric turbulent jet. A convolutional neural network (U-Net) was trained to predict velocity…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-05 Enrico Amico , Lorenzo Matteucci , Gioacchino Cafiero

Predicting chaotic dynamical systems is critical in many scientific fields, such as weather forecasting, but challenging due to the characteristic sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Traditional modeling approaches require extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Christof Schötz , Alistair White , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Niklas Boers

We tackle here a specific, still not widely addressed aspect, of AI robustness, which consists of seeking invariance / insensitivity of model performance to hidden factors of variations in the data. Towards this end, we employ a two step…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-04 William Paul , Philippe Burlina