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This work proposes a novel theoretical framework of robust limit analysis i.e. the computation of limit loads of structures in presence of uncertainties using limit analysis and robust optimization theories. We first derive generic robust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-23 Jeremy Bleyer , Vincent Leclère

In recent years, two prominent paradigms have shaped distributionally robust optimization (DRO), modeling distributional ambiguity through $\phi$-divergences and Wasserstein distances, respectively. While the former focuses on ambiguity in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Jose Blanchet , Daniel Kuhn , Jiajin Li , Bahar Taskesen

A dynamical system is strongly robustly safe provided that it remains safe in the presence of a continuous and positive perturbation, named robustness margin, added to both the argument and the image of the right-hand side (the dynamics).…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-13 Mohamed Maghenem , Diana Karaki

In the present paper we investigate the predictive risk of possibly misspecified quantile regression functions. The in-sample risk is well-known to be an overly optimistic estimate of the predictive risk and we provide two relatively simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-05 Alexander Giessing , Xuming He

Currently the most popular method of providing robustness certificates is randomized smoothing where an input is smoothed via some probability distribution. We propose a novel approach to randomized smoothing over multiplicative parameters.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Nikita Muravev , Aleksandr Petiushko

We consider the problem of optimal risk sharing in a pool of cooperative agents. We analyze the asymptotic behavior of the certainty equivalents and risk premia associated with the Pareto optimal risk sharing contract as the pool expands.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-01 Thomas Knispel , Roger J. A. Laeven , Gregor Svindland

Control pulses that nominally optimize fidelity are sensitive to routine hardware drift and modeling errors. Robust quantum optimal control seeks error-insensitive control pulses that maintain fidelity thresholds and obey hardware…

We introduce a universal framework for mean-covariance robust risk measurement and portfolio optimization. We model uncertainty in terms of the Gelbrich distance on the mean-covariance space, along with prior structural information about…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-02 Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafiee , Damir Filipović , Daniel Kuhn

We introduce a framework for quantifying propagation of uncertainty arising in a dynamic setting. Specifically, we define dynamic uncertainty sets designed explicitly for discrete stochastic processes over a finite time horizon. These…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-05 Marlon Moresco , Mélina Mailhot , Silvana M. Pesenti

In safety-critical deep learning applications, robustness measures the ability of neural models that handle imperceptible perturbations in input data, which may lead to potential safety hazards. Existing pre-deployment robustness assessment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Wenchuan Mu , Kwan Hui Lim

Distribution shifts are ubiquitous in real-world machine learning applications, posing a challenge to the generalization of models trained on one data distribution to another. We focus on scenarios where data distributions vary across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Steven Wilkins-Reeves , Xu Chen , Qi Ma , Christine Agarwal , Aude Hofleitner

A policy is said to be robust if it maximizes the reward while considering a bad, or even adversarial, model. In this work we formalize two new criteria of robustness to action uncertainty. Specifically, we consider two scenarios in which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-08 Chen Tessler , Yonathan Efroni , Shie Mannor

Doubly protected estimators are widely used for estimating the population mean of an outcome Y from a sample where the response is missing in some individuals. To compensate for the missing responses, a vector X of covariates is observed at…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-07 Julieta Molina , Mariela Sued , Marina Valdora , Víctor Yohai

We investigate a data-driven approach to constructing uncertainty sets for robust optimization problems, where the uncertain problem parameters are modeled as random variables whose joint probability distribution is not known. Relying only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Polina Alexeenko , Eilyan Bitar

We address the statistical estimation of composite functionals which may be nonlinear in the probability measure. Our study is motivated by the need to estimate coherent measures of risk, which become increasingly popular in finance,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-13 Darinka Dentcheva , Spiridon Penev , Andrzej Ruszczynski

The problem of adversarial examples has highlighted the need for a theory of regularisation that is general enough to apply to exotic function classes, such as universal approximators. In response, we give a very general equality result…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Zac Cranko , Zhan Shi , Xinhua Zhang , Richard Nock , Simon Kornblith

We gain robustness on the quantification of a risk measurement by accounting for all sources of uncertainties tainting the inputs of a computer code. We evaluate the maximum quantile over a class of distributions defined only by constraints…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-03 Jerome Stenger , Fabrice Gamboa , Merlin Keller , Bertrand Iooss

Classification models are very sensitive to data uncertainty, and finding robust classifiers that are less sensitive to data uncertainty has raised great interest in the machine learning literature. This paper aims to construct robust…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-01 Vali Asimit , Ioannis Kyriakou , Simone Santoni , Salvatore Scognamiglio , Rui Zhu

Volatility forecasting is crucial to risk management and portfolio construction. One particular challenge of assessing volatility forecasts is how to construct a robust proxy for the unknown true volatility. In this work, we show that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Weichen Wang , Ran An , Ziwei Zhu

We study risk measures $\varphi:E\longrightarrow\mathbb{R}\cup\{\infty\}$, where $E$ is a vector space of random variables which a priori has no lattice structure$\unicode{x2014}$a blind spot of the existing risk measures literature. In…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-31 Vasily Melnikov
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