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The paper investigates the robust distortion risk measure with linear penalty function under distribution uncertainty. The distribution uncertainties are characterized by predetermined moment conditions or constraints on the Wasserstein…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-21 Yuxin Du , Dejian Tian , Hui Zhang

This paper studies distributionally robust optimization for a rich class of risk measures with ambiguity sets defined by $\phi$-divergences. The risk measures are allowed to be non-linear in probabilities, are represented by Choquet…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Guanyu Jin , Roger J. A. Laeven , Dick den Hertog

In this paper, we investigate the robust models for $\Lambda$-quantiles with partial information regarding the loss distribution, where $\Lambda$-quantiles extend the classical quantiles by replacing the fixed probability level with a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-28 Xia Han , Peng Liu

Accounting for model uncertainty in risk management and option pricing leads to infinite dimensional optimization problems which are both analytically and numerically intractable. In this article we study when this hurdle can be overcome…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-16 Daniel Bartl , Samuel Drapeau , Ludovic Tangpi

We study statistical inference and distributionally robust solution methods for stochastic optimization problems, focusing on confidence intervals for optimal values and solutions that achieve exact coverage asymptotically. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 John Duchi , Peter Glynn , Hongseok Namkoong

This work studies the distributionally robust evaluation of expected values over temporal data. A set of alternative measures is characterized by the causal optimal transport. We prove the strong duality and recast the causality constraint…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-18 Bingyan Han

Robust and distributionally robust optimization are modeling paradigms for decision-making under uncertainty where the uncertain parameters are only known to reside in an uncertainty set or are governed by any probability distribution from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Jianzhe Zhen , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

In this paper, an optimization problem with uncertain constraint coefficients is considered. Possibility theory is used to model the uncertainty. Namely, a joint possibility distribution in constraint coefficient realizations, called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

In this paper, by proposing two new kinds of distributional uncertainty sets, we explore robustness of distortion risk measures against distributional uncertainty. To be precise, we first consider a distributional uncertainty set which is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-15 Xiangyu Han , Yijun Hu , Ran Wang , Linxiao Wei

A general many quantiles + noise model is studied in the robust formulation (allowing non-normal, non-independent observations), where the identifiability requirement for the noise is formulated in terms of quantiles rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra , Alexandra Vegelien

We develop an averaging approach to robust risk measurement under payoff uncertainty. Instead of taking a worst-case value over an uncertainty neighborhood, we weight nearby payoffs more heavily under a chosen metric and average the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Marcelo Righi , Rodrigo Targino

This paper studies Markov Decision Processes under parameter uncertainty. We adapt the distributionally robust optimization framework, and assume that the uncertain parameters are random variables following an unknown distribution, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Pengqian Yu , Huan Xu

Recent work by Mania et al. has proved that certainty equivalent control achieves nearly optimal regret for linear systems with quadratic costs. However, when parameter uncertainty is large, certainty equivalence cannot be relied upon to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Jack Umenberger , Thomas B. Schon

We study strategic interaction in data-driven games where players face uncertainty about payoff distributions inferred from finite samples. To model calibrated attitudes toward such uncertainty, we formulate distributionally robust games…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Bharat Gangwani , Arunesh Sinha

This paper expands the notion of robust profit opportunities in financial markets to incorporate distributional uncertainty using Wasserstein distance as the ambiguity measure. Financial markets with risky and risk-free assets are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-23 Derek Singh , Shuzhong Zhang

Rigorous guarantees about the performance of predictive algorithms are necessary in order to ensure their responsible use. Previous work has largely focused on bounding the expected loss of a predictor, but this is not sufficient in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Jake C. Snell , Thomas P. Zollo , Zhun Deng , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

The notion of developing statistical methods in machine learning which are robust to adversarial perturbations in the underlying data has been the subject of increasing interest in recent years. A common feature of this work is that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Dimitris Bertsimas , Martin S. Copenhaver

We discuss recently developed methods that quantify the stability and generalizability of statistical findings under distributional changes. In many practical problems, the data is not drawn i.i.d. from the target population. For example,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-05 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Peter Bühlmann

Distributionally robust control is a well-studied framework for optimal decision making under uncertainty, with the objective of minimizing an expected cost function over control actions, assuming the most adverse probability distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-12 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Lukas Fiechtner , Arec Jamgochian , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Robust estimation is primarily concerned with providing reliable parameter estimates in the presence of outliers. Numerous robust loss functions have been proposed in regression and classification, along with various computing algorithms.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-26 Zhu Wang
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