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High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

Deep learning has been actively applied to time series forecasting, leading to a deluge of new methods, belonging to the class of historical-value models. Yet, despite the attractive properties of time-index models, such as being able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

We consider the online sparse linear regression problem, which is the problem of sequentially making predictions observing only a limited number of features in each round, to minimize regret with respect to the best sparse linear regressor,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-08 Dean Foster , Satyen Kale , Howard Karloff

Deep Learning (DL) models can be used to tackle time series analysis tasks with great success. However, the performance of DL models can degenerate rapidly if the data are not appropriately normalized. This issue is even more apparent when…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Nikolaos Passalis , Anastasios Tefas , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Time series forecasting is an important task that involves analyzing temporal dependencies and underlying patterns (such as trends, cyclicality, and seasonality) in historical data to predict future values or trends. Current deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Jieting Wang , Huimei Shi , Feijiang Li , Xiaolei Shang

The order-preserving pattern mining can be regarded as discovering frequent trends in time series, since the same order-preserving pattern has the same relative order which can represent a trend. However, in the case where data noise is…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Yan Li , Jin Liu , Yingchun Guo , Jing Liu , Youxi Wu

Time Series Extrinsic Regression (TSER) involves using a set of training time series to form a predictive model of a continuous response variable that is not directly related to the regressor series. The TSER archive for comparing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 David Guijo-Rubio , Matthew Middlehurst , Guilherme Arcencio , Diego Furtado Silva , Anthony Bagnall

Follow-the-Regularized-Leader (FTRL) algorithms are a popular class of learning algorithms for online linear optimization (OLO) that guarantee sub-linear regret, but the choice of regularizer can significantly impact dimension-dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Khashayar Gatmiry , Jon Schneider , Stefanie Jegelka

Precipitation nowcasting, which predicts rainfall up to a few hours ahead, is a critical tool for vulnerable communities in the Global South frequently exposed to intense, rapidly developing storms. Timely forecasts provide a crucial window…

Data normalization is one of the most important preprocessing steps when building a machine learning model, especially when the model of interest is a deep neural network. This is because deep neural network optimized with stochastic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-03 Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

The stable periodic patterns present in time series data serve as the foundation for conducting long-horizon forecasts. In this paper, we pioneer the exploration of explicitly modeling this periodicity to enhance the performance of models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Xinyi Hu , Wentai Wu , Ruichao Mo , Haocheng Zhong

In the framework of Model Predictive Control (MPC), the control input is typically computed by solving optimization problems repeatedly online. For general nonlinear systems, the online optimization problems are non-convex and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Zheming Wang , Raphaël M. Jungers

Probabilistic time series forecasting is crucial in many application domains such as retail, ecommerce, finance, or biology. With the increasing availability of large volumes of data, a number of neural architectures have been proposed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

We provide a new online learning algorithm which utilizes online passive-aggressive learning (PA) and total-error-rate minimization (TER) for binary classification. The PA learning establishes not only large margin training but also the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-06 Se-In Jang

This paper proposes a novel diffusion-index model for forecasting when predictors are high-dimensional matrix-valued time series. We apply an $\alpha$-PCA method to extract low-dimensional matrix factors and build a bilinear regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-07 Zhiren Ma , Qian Zhao , Riquan Zhang , Zhaoxing Gao

Spatio-temporal forecasting has numerous applications in analyzing wireless, traffic, and financial networks. Many classical statistical models often fall short in handling the complexity and high non-linearity present in time-series data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-14 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

We propose a novel algorithm for offline reinforcement learning called Value Iteration with Perturbed Rewards (VIPeR), which amalgamates the pessimism principle with random perturbations of the value function. Most current offline RL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Thanh Nguyen-Tang , Raman Arora

Serving ML prediction pipelines spanning multiple models and hardware accelerators is a key challenge in production machine learning. Optimally configuring these pipelines to meet tight end-to-end latency goals is complicated by the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Daniel Crankshaw , Gur-Eyal Sela , Corey Zumar , Xiangxi Mo , Joseph E. Gonzalez , Ion Stoica , Alexey Tumanov

Inverse optimization is a powerful paradigm for learning preferences and restrictions that explain the behavior of a decision maker, based on a set of external signal and the corresponding decision pairs. However, most inverse optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-05 Chaosheng Dong , Yiran Chen , Bo Zeng