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We conduct modeling of the price dynamics following order flow imbalance in market microstructure and apply the model to the analysis of Chinese CSI 300 Index Futures. There are three findings. The first is that the order flow imbalance is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-26 Chen Hu , Kouxiao Zhang

In this paper we formulate a regression problem to predict realized volatility by using option price data and enhance VIX-styled volatility indices' predictability and liquidity. We test algorithms including regularized regression and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Peter Carr , Liuren Wu , Zhibai Zhang

Intra-day price variations in financial markets are driven by the sequence of orders, called the order flow, that is submitted at high frequency by traders. This paper introduces a novel application of the Sequence Generative Adversarial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-29 Ye-Sheen Lim , Denise Gorse

Optical flow is typically estimated by minimizing a "data cost" and an optional regularizer. While there has been much work on different regularizers many modern algorithms still use a data cost that is not very different from the ones used…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-04-12 Dan Rosenbaum , Yair Weiss

Recently, convolutional networks (convnets) have proven useful for predicting optical flow. Much of this success is predicated on the availability of large datasets that require expensive and involved data acquisition and laborious la-…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-08-23 Jason J. Yu , Adam W. Harley , Konstantinos G. Derpanis

Cryptocurrency markets are experiencing rapid growth, but this expansion comes with significant challenges, particularly in predicting cryptocurrency prices for traders in the U.S. In this study, we explore how deep learning and machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Md Zahidul Islam , Md Shafiqur Rahman , Md Sumsuzoha , Babul Sarker , Md Rafiqul Islam , Mahfuz Alam , Sanjib Kumar Shil

This study presents an innovative approach for predicting cryptocurrency time series, specifically focusing on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin. The methodology integrates the use of technical indicators, a Performer neural network, and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-07 Mohammad Ali Labbaf Khaniki , Mohammad Manthouri

Forecasting the movements of stock prices is one the most challenging problems in financial markets analysis. In this paper, we use Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of future price movements using limit order book data.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Paraskevi Nousi , Avraam Tsantekidis , Nikolaos Passalis , Adamantios Ntakaris , Juho Kanniainen , Anastasios Tefas , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

In this paper we apply neural networks and Artificial Intelligence (AI) to historical records of high-risk cryptocurrency coins to train a prediction model that guesses their price. This paper's code contains Jupyter notebooks, one of which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Jacques Fleischer , Gregor von Laszewski , Carlos Theran , Yohn Jairo Parra Bautista

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are types of artificial neural networks (ANNs) that are well suited to forecasting and sequence classification. They have been applied extensively to forecasting univariate financial time series, however…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-19 Matthew F Dixon

In recent years, there have been a surge in applications of neural networks (NNs) in physical sciences. Although various algorithmic advances have been proposed, there are, thus far, limited number of studies that assess the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-17 Kai Fukami , Romit Maulik , Nesar Ramachandra , Koji Fukagata , Kunihiko Taira

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have recently been very successful in a variety of computer vision tasks, especially on those linked to recognition. Optical flow estimation has not been among the tasks where CNNs were successful. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-06-18 Philipp Fischer , Alexey Dosovitskiy , Eddy Ilg , Philip Häusser , Caner Hazırbaş , Vladimir Golkov , Patrick van der Smagt , Daniel Cremers , Thomas Brox

This paper conducts an extensive analysis of Bitcoin return series, with a primary focus on three volatility metrics: historical volatility (calculated as the sample standard deviation), forecasted volatility (derived from GARCH-type…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-05 Cristina Chinazzo , Vahidin Jeleskovic

Understanding the emergence of universal features such as the stylized facts in markets is a long-standing challenge that has drawn much attention from economists and physicists. Most existing models, such as stochastic volatility models,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Fabin Shi , Nathan Aden , Shengda Huang , Neil Johnson , Xiaoqian Sun , Jinhua Gao , Li Xu , Huawei Shen , Xueqi Cheng , Chaoming Song

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

Optical flow estimation can be formulated as an end-to-end supervised learning problem, which yields estimates with a superior accuracy-runtime tradeoff compared to alternative methodology. In this paper, we make such networks estimate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-21 Eddy Ilg , Özgün Çiçek , Silvio Galesso , Aaron Klein , Osama Makansi , Frank Hutter , Thomas Brox

This paper studies how to forecast daily closing price series of Bitcoin, using data on prices and volumes of prior days. Bitcoin price behaviour is still largely unexplored, presenting new opportunities. We compared our results with two…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-07 Nicola Uras , Lodovica Marchesi , Michele Marchesi , Roberto Tonelli

This paper addresses the challenges faced in large-volume trading, where executing substantial orders can result in significant market impact and slippage. To mitigate these effects, this study proposes a volatility-volume-based order…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Ritwika Chattopadhyay , Abhishek Malichkar , Zhixuan Ren , Xinyue Zhang

Artificial intelligence-based three-dimensional(3D) fluid modeling has gained significant attention in recent years. However, the accuracy of such models is often limited by the processing of irregular flow data. In order to bolster the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-17 Xin Li , Zhiwen Deng , Rui Feng , Ziyang Liu , Renkun Han , Hongsheng Liu , Gang Chen