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Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…
The necessity to deal with uncertain data is a major challenge in decision making. Robust optimization emerged as one of the predominant paradigms to produce solutions that hedge against uncertainty. In order to obtain an even more…
We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous and multi-dimensional decision spaces in problems in which we are only provided with observational data. We propose a novel algorithmic framework that is tractable,…
A standard quadratic program is an optimization problem that consists of minimizing a (nonconvex) quadratic form over the unit simplex. We focus on reformulating a standard quadratic program as a mixed integer linear programming problem. We…
Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization models are useful for solving a diverse range of optimization problems. Constraints can be added by incorporating quadratic penalty terms into the objective, often with the introduction of slack…
The Sparse Grids Matlab Kit provides a Matlab implementation of sparse grids, and can be used for approximating high-dimensional functions and, in particular, for surrogate-model-based uncertainty quantification. It is lightweight,…
The radius of robust feasibility provides a numerical value for the largest possible uncertainty set that guarantees robust feasibility of an uncertain linear conic program. This determines when the robust feasible set is non-empty.…
Explainability of black-box machine learning models is crucial, in particular when deployed in critical applications such as medicine or autonomous cars. Existing approaches produce explanations for the predictions of models, however, how…
When a machine learning model is deployed, its predictions can alter its environment, as better informed agents strategize to suit their own interests. With such alterations in mind, existing approaches to uncertainty quantification break.…
Robust optimization safeguards decisions against uncertainty by optimizing against worst-case scenarios, yet their effectiveness hinges on a prespecified robustness level that is often chosen ad hoc, leading to either insufficient…
Given subsets of uncertain values, we study the problem of identifying the subset of minimum total value (sum of the uncertain values) by querying as few values as possible. This set selection problem falls into the field of explorable…
A variety of approaches has been developed to deal with uncertain optimization problems. Often, they start with a given set of uncertainties and then try to minimize the influence of these uncertainties. Depending on the approach used, the…
The most important ingredient for solving mixed-integer nonlinear programs (MINLPs) to global epsilon-optimality with spatial branch and bound is a tight, computationally tractable relaxation. Due to both theoretical and practical…
This paper proposes a unified framework for designing robustness in optimization under uncertainty using gauge sets, convex sets that generalize distance and capture how distributions may deviate from a nominal reference. Representing…
Portfolio optimization has been a major topic of research in finance, as it has a significant impact on investment profit. In this paper, we investigate the problem of data uncertainty in convex multi-objective portfolio optimization. We…
Robust optimization (RO) provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, but its performance critically depends on the choice of the uncertainty set. While large sets ensure reliability, they often lead to overly…
This paper is concerned with personalized pricing models aimed at maximizing the expected revenues or profits for a single item. While it is essential for personalized pricing to predict the purchase probabilities for each consumer, these…
This paper presents a novel robust trajectory optimization method for constrained nonlinear dynamical systems subject to unknown bounded disturbances. In particular, we seek optimal control policies that remain robustly feasible with…
We have previously reported a Bayesian algorithm for determining the coordinates of points in three-dimensional space from uncertain constraints. This method is useful in the determination of biological molecular structure. It is limited,…
Identifying cause-effect relations among variables is a key step in the decision-making process. While causal inference requires randomized experiments, researchers and policymakers are increasingly using observational studies to test…