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In this paper we address the problem of uncertainty management for robust design, and verification of large dynamic networks whose performance is affected by an equally large number of uncertain parameters. Many such networks (e.g. power,…

Computation · Statistics 2011-10-12 Amit Surana , Tuhin Sahai , Andrzej Banaszuk

This paper studies optimal control problems of unknown linear systems subject to stochastic disturbances of uncertain distribution. Uncertainty about the stochastic disturbances is usually described via ambiguity sets of probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-30 Guanru Pan , Timm Faulwasser

The calibration of complex computer codes using uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods is a rich area of statistical methodological development. When applying these techniques to simulators with spatial output, it is now standard to use…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-25 James M Salter , Daniel B Williamson , John Scinocca , Viatcheslav Kharin

Real-life problems are governed by equations which are nonlinear in nature. Nonlinear equations occur in modeling problems, such as minimizing costs in industries and minimizing risks in businesses. A technique which does not involve the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Mathew O. Aibinu , Surendra C. Thakur , Sibusiso Moyo

Deep neural networks have shown great success in prediction quality while reliable and robust uncertainty estimation remains a challenge. Predictive uncertainty supplements model predictions and enables improved functionality of downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Johanna Rock , Tiago Azevedo , René de Jong , Daniel Ruiz-Muñoz , Partha Maji

Latent factor models are widely used to discover and adjust for hidden variation in modern applications. However, most methods do not fully account for uncertainty in the latent factors, which can lead to miscalibrated inferences such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Jeffrey W. Miller , Scott L. Carter

In this paper, we consider the situation in which the observations follow an isotonic generalized partly linear model. Under this model, the mean of the responses is modelled, through a link function, linearly on some covariates and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-30 Graciela Boente , Daniela Rodriguez , Pablo Vena

Decision-making in manufacturing often involves optimizing key process parameters using data collected from simulation experiments. Gaussian processes are widely used to surrogate the underlying system and guide optimization. Uncertainty…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-30 Yezhuo Li , Qiong Zhang , Madhura Limaye , Gang Li

Robust model predictive control algorithms are essential for addressing unavoidable errors due to the uncertainty in predicting real-world systems. However, the formulation of such algorithms typically results in a trade-off between…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-25 Moritz Heinlein , Sankaranarayanan Subramanian , Sergio Lucia

We consider robust control synthesis for linear systems with complex specifications that are affected by uncertain disturbances. This work is motivated by autonomous systems interacting with partially known, time-varying environments. Given…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-27 Damian Frick , Tony A. Wood , Gian Ulli , Maryam Kamgarpour

This work proposes a framework for multistage adjustable robust optimization that unifies the treatment of three different types of endogenous uncertainty, where decisions, respectively, (i) alter the uncertainty set, (ii) affect the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-31 Qi Zhang , Wei Feng

We deliver a call to arms for probabilistic numerical methods: algorithms for numerical tasks, including linear algebra, integration, optimization and solving differential equations, that return uncertainties in their calculations. Such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Philipp Hennig , Michael A Osborne , Mark Girolami

This article is devoted to investigate a nonsmooth/nonconvex uncertain multiobjective optimization problem with composition fields (CUP) for brevity) over arbitrary Asplund spaces. Employing some advanced techniques of variational analysis…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Maryam Saadati , Morteza Oveisiha

In this paper, we study robust distributed sub-optimal coordination of linear agents subject to input nonlinearities. Inspired by the robust agreement literature, we formulate a bounded distributed sub-optimal coordination problem, in which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Takumi Namba

Bilevel optimization is a powerful tool for modeling hierarchical decision making processes. However, the resulting problems are challenging to solve - both in theory and practice. Fortunately, there have been significant algorithmic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Yasmine Beck , Ivana Ljubić , Martin Schmidt

Many statistical estimation procedures lead to nonconvex optimization problems. Algorithms to solve these are often guaranteed to output a stationary point of the optimization problem. Oracle inequalities are an important theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-28 Andreas Elsener , Sara van de Geer

Inverse optimization has been increasingly used to estimate unknown parameters in an optimization model based on decision data. We show that such a point estimation is insufficient in a prescriptive setting where the estimated parameters…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Bo Lin , Erick Delage , Timothy C. Y. Chan

The pooling problem has applications, e.g., in petrochemical refining, water networks, and supply chains and is widely studied in global optimization. To date, it has largely been treated deterministically, neglecting the influence of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Johannes Wiebe , Inês Cecílio , Ruth Misener

A multifidelity method for the nonlinear propagation of uncertainties in the presence of stochastic accelerations is presented. The proposed algorithm treats the uncertainty propagation (UP) problem by separating the propagation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alberto Fossà , Roberto Armellin , Emmanuel Delande , Francesco Sanfedino

Gaussian processes (GPs) enable principled computation of model uncertainty, making them attractive for safety-critical applications. Such scenarios demand that GP decisions are not only accurate, but also robust to perturbations. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Andrea Patane , Arno Blaas , Luca Laurenti , Luca Cardelli , Stephen Roberts , Marta Kwiatkowska
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