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It is often critical for prediction models to be robust to distributional shifts between training and testing data. From a causal perspective, the challenge is to distinguish the stable causal relationships from the unstable spurious…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Shuxi Zeng , Murat Ali Bayir , Joesph J. Pfeiffer , Denis Charles , Emre Kiciman

Capturing the evolving trends of user interest is important for both recommendation systems and advertising systems, and user behavior sequences have been successfully used in Click-Through-Rate(CTR) prediction problems. However, if the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Dike Sun , Kai Liu , ShengKai Yang

In the recommendation systems, there are multiple business domains to meet the diverse interests and needs of users, and the click-through rate(CTR) of each domain can be quite different, which leads to the demand for CTR prediction…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Wei Zhang , Pengye Zhang , Bo Zhang , Xingxing Wang , Dong Wang

With the rapid growth of user historical behavior data, user interest modeling has become a prominent aspect in Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction, focusing on learning user intent representations. However, this complexity poses…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Xin Song , Xiaochen Li , Jinxin Hu , Hong Wen , Zulong Chen , Yu Zhang , Xiaoyi Zeng , Jing Zhang

Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction is essential in online advertising, where semantic information plays a pivotal role in shaping user decisions and enhancing CTR effectiveness. Capturing and modeling deep semantic information, such as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Guoxiao Zhang , Yi Wei , Yadong Zhang , Huajian Feng , Qiang Liu

Conversational recommender systems (CRS) dynamically obtain the user preferences via multi-turn questions and answers. The existing CRS solutions are widely dominated by deep reinforcement learning algorithms. However, deep reinforcement…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-09-01 A S M Ahsan-Ul Haque , Hongning Wang

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is an important task for the companies to recommend products which better match user preferences. User behavior in digital advertising is dynamic and changes over time. It is crucial for the companies to…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Ramazan Tarık Türksoy , Beyza Türkmen , Furkan Durmuş

Accurate estimation of post-click conversion rate is critical for building recommender systems, which has long been confronted with sample selection bias and data sparsity issues. Methods in the Entire Space Multi-task Model (ESMM) family…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Hao Wang , Tai-Wei Chang , Tianqiao Liu , Jianmin Huang , Zhichao Chen , Chao Yu , Ruopeng Li , Wei Chu

Promotions are becoming more important and prevalent in e-commerce to attract customers and boost sales, leading to frequent changes of occasions, which drives users to behave differently. In such situations, most existing Click-Through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Xiaofeng Pan , Yibin Shen , Jing Zhang , Xu He , Yang Huang , Hong Wen , Chengjun Mao , Bo Cao

Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) pricing models need to be both flexible and tractable. The survival probability has to be known in closed form (for calibration purposes), the model should be able to fit any valid Credit Default Swap (CDS)…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-18 Cheikh Mbaye , Frédéric Vrins

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a critical task for many applications, as its accuracy has a direct impact on user experience and platform revenue. In recent years, CTR prediction has been widely studied in both academia and…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Jieming Zhu , Jinyang Liu , Shuai Yang , Qi Zhang , Xiuqiang He

Conversion prediction plays an important role in online advertising since Cost-Per-Action (CPA) has become one of the primary campaign performance objectives in the industry. Unlike click prediction, conversions have different types in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Junwei Pan , Yizhi Mao , Alfonso Lobos Ruiz , Yu Sun , Aaron Flores

Transfer learning has become a popular task adaptation method in the era of foundation models. However, many foundation models require large storage and computing resources, which makes off-the-shelf deployment impractical. Post-training…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Jung Hwan Heo , Seyedarmin Azizi , Arash Fayyazi , Massoud Pedram

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR) quantifies systemic financial risk by measuring the loss quantile of one asset, conditional on another asset experiencing distress. We develop a Transformer-based methodology that integrates financial news…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-16 Junyu Chen , Tom Boot , Lingwei Kong , Weining Wang

Multimodal click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a key technique in industrial recommender systems. It leverages heterogeneous modalities such as text, images, and behavioral logs to capture high-order feature interactions between users…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Honghao Li , Hanwei Li , Jing Zhang , Yi Zhang , Ziniu Yu , Lei Sang , Yiwen Zhang

Existing advertisements click-through rate (CTR) prediction models are mainly dependent on behavior ID features, which are learned based on the historical user-ad interactions. Nevertheless, behavior ID features relying on historical user…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Tan Yu , Zhipeng Jin , Jie Liu , Yi Yang , Hongliang Fei , Ping Li

Session-based Recommendation (SR) aims to predict users' next click based on their behavior within a short period, which is crucial for online platforms. However, most existing SR methods somewhat ignore the fact that user preference is not…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Kai Ouyang , Xianghong Xu , Miaoxin Chen , Zuotong Xie , Hai-Tao Zheng , Shuangyong Song , Yu Zhao

The Knowledge Tracing (KT) task plays a crucial role in personalized learning, and its purpose is to predict student responses based on their historical practice behavior sequence. However, the KT task suffers from data sparsity, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Moyu Zhang , Xinning Zhu , Chunhong Zhang , Feng Pan , Wenchen Qian , Hui Zhao

Recommendation systems have been extensively studied by many literature in the past and are ubiquitous in online advertisement, shopping industry/e-commerce, query suggestions in search engines, and friend recommendation in social networks.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Farzaneh Rajabi , Jack Siyuan He

Conformal prediction (CP) is a distribution-free framework for achieving probabilistic guarantees on black-box models. CP is generally applied to a model post-training. Recent research efforts, on the other hand, have focused on optimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Sima Noorani , Orlando Romero , Nicolo Dal Fabbro , Hamed Hassani , George J. Pappas
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