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Designing provably safe control is a core problem in trustworthy autonomy. However, most prior work in this regard assumes either that the system dynamics are known or deterministic, or that the state and action space are finite,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Xinhang Ma , Junlin Wu , Yiannis Kantaros , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Motion planning in environments with multiple agents is critical to many important autonomous applications such as autonomous vehicles and assistive robots. This paper considers the problem of motion planning, where the controlled agent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Yuxiao Chen , Ugo Rosolia , Chuchu Fan , Aaron D. Ames , Richard Murray

This paper proposes an algorithm for motion planning among dynamic agents using adaptive conformal prediction. We consider a deterministic control system and use trajectory predictors to predict the dynamic agents' future motion, which is…

We propose a framework for planning in unknown dynamic environments with probabilistic safety guarantees using conformal prediction. Particularly, we design a model predictive controller (MPC) that uses i) trajectory predictions of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Lars Lindemann , Matthew Cleaveland , Gihyun Shim , George J. Pappas

Uncertainty-aware prediction is essential for safe motion planning, especially when using learned models to forecast the behavior of surrounding agents. Conformal prediction is a statistical tool often used to produce uncertainty-aware…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Allen Emmanuel Binny , Anushri Dixit

This work in progress considers reachability-based safety analysis in the domain of autonomous driving in multi-agent systems. We formulate the safety problem for a car following scenario as a differential game and study how different…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-30 Gilbert Bahati , Marsalis Gibson , Alexandre Bayen

To safely and efficiently solve motion planning problems in multi-agent settings, most approaches attempt to solve a joint optimization that explicitly accounts for the responses triggered in other agents. This often results in solutions…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Roman Chiva Gil , Daniel Jarne Ornia , Khaled A. Mustafa , Javier Alonso Mora

We introduce Conformal Decision Theory, a framework for producing safe autonomous decisions despite imperfect machine learning predictions. Examples of such decisions are ubiquitous, from robot planning algorithms that rely on pedestrian…

Multi-agent systems are prevalent in a wide range of domains including power systems, vehicular networks, and robotics. Two important problems to solve in these types of systems are how the intentions of non-coordinating agents can be…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Benjamin Alcorn , Eman Hammad

Safety is an important topic in autonomous driving since any collision may cause serious injury to people and damage to property. Hamilton-Jacobi (HJ) Reachability is a formal method that verifies safety in multi-agent interaction and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Anjian Li , Liting Sun , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Mo Chen

Before taking actions in an environment with more than one intelligent agent, an autonomous agent may benefit from reasoning about the other agents and utilizing a notion of a guarantee or confidence about the behavior of the system. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Nikunj Gupta , Somjit Nath , Samira Ebrahimi Kahou

This paper presents a new conformal method for generating simultaneous forecasting bands guaranteed to cover the entire path of a new random trajectory with sufficiently high probability. Prompted by the need for dependable uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-16 Yanfei Zhou , Lars Lindemann , Matteo Sesia

Action anticipation, intent prediction, and proactive behavior are all desirable characteristics for autonomous driving policies in interactive scenarios. Paramount, however, is ensuring safety on the road --- a key challenge in doing so is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-01-01 Karen Leung , Edward Schmerling , Mo Chen , John Talbot , J. Christian Gerdes , Marco Pavone

Real-world autonomous systems often employ probabilistic predictive models of human behavior during planning to reason about their future motion. Since accurately modeling human behavior a priori is challenging, such models are often…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Somil Bansal , Andrea Bajcsy , Ellis Ratner , Anca D. Dragan , Claire J. Tomlin

Typically, machine learning models are trained and evaluated without making any distinction between users (e.g, using traditional hold-out and cross-validation). However, this produces inaccurate performance metrics estimates in multi-user…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Enrique Garcia-Ceja , Luciano Garcia-Banuelos , Nicolas Jourdan

We describe a robust planning method for autonomous driving that mixes normal and adversarial agent predictions output by a diffusion model trained for motion prediction. We first train a diffusion model to learn an unbiased distribution of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Albert Zhao , Stefano Soatto

Reachability computations that rely on learned or estimated models require calibration in order to uphold confidence about their guarantees. Calibration generally involves sampling scenarios inside the reachable set. However, producing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-27 Sampada Deglurkar , Ebonye Smith , Jingqi Li , Claire J. Tomlin

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Online planning for partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) provides efficient techniques for robot decision-making under uncertainty. However, existing methods fall short of preventing safety violations in dynamic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Shili Sheng , Pian Yu , David Parker , Marta Kwiatkowska , Lu Feng

We address the challenge of safe control in decentralized multi-agent robotic settings, where agents use uncertain black-box models to predict other agents' trajectories. We use the recently proposed conformal decision theory to adapt the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-10 Sacha Huriot , Hussein Sibai
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