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We develop a mechanistic model that classifies individuals both in terms of epidemiological status (SIR) and vaccination attitude (willing or unwilling), with the goal of discovering how disease spread is influenced by changing opinions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-16 Yi Jiang , Kristin M. Kurianski , Jane HyoJin Lee , Yanping Ma , Daniel Cicala , Glenn Ledder

A key parameter in models for the spread of infectious diseases is the basic reproduction number $R_0$, which is the expected number of secondary cases a typical infected primary case infects during its infectious period in a large mostly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-05 Kristoffer Spricer , Pieter Trapman

We present an SI epidemic model whereby a continuous variable captures variability in proliferative potential and resistance to infection among susceptibles. The occurrence of heritable, spontaneous changes in these phenotype and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-30 Tommaso Lorenzi , Andrea Pugliese , Mattia Sensi , Agnese Zardini

In this paper, we are concerned with the stochastic susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model on the complete graph with $n$ vertices. This model has two parameters, which are the infection rate and the recovery rate. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Huazheng Bu , Xiaofeng Xue

We introduce a modified SIR model with memory for the dynamics of epidemic spreading in a constant population of individuals. Each individual is in one of the states susceptible (${\bf S}$), infected (${\bf I}$) or recovered (${\bf R}$). In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-03 Michael Bestehorn , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Bernard A. Collet , Alejandro P. Riascos , Andrzej F. Nowakowski

While most masks have a limited effect on personal protection, how effective are they for collective protection? How to enlighten the design of masks from the perspective of collective dynamics? In this paper, we assume three preferences in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-30 Chaoqian Wang , Hamdi Kavak

We introduce a methodology to guarantee safety against the spread of infectious diseases by viewing epidemiological models as control systems and by considering human interventions (such as quarantining or social distancing) as control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-21 Tamas G. Molnar , Andrew W. Singletary , Gabor Orosz , Aaron D. Ames

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

We present a detailed set-based analysis of the well-known SIR and SEIR epidemic models subjected to hard caps on the proportion of infective individuals, and bounds on the allowable intervention strategies, such as social distancing,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-17 Willem Esterhuizen , Jean Lévine , Stefan Streif

We review research papers which use game theory to model the decision making of individuals during an epidemic, attempting to classify the literature and identify the emerging trends in this field. We show that the literature can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-13 Sheryl L. Chang , Mahendra Piraveenan , Philippa Pattison , Mikhail Prokopenko

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

This research investigates the coupled dynamics of behavior and infectious disease using a mathematical model. We integrate a two-state q-voter opinion process with SIS-type infection dynamics, where transmission rates are influenced by the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-13 Thomas Goetz , Tyll Krueger , Karol Niedzielewski , Jan Schneider , Barbara Pabjan

In stochastic modeling of infectious diseases, it has been established that variations in infectivity affect the probability of a major outbreak, but not the shape of the curves during a major outbreak, which is predicted by deterministic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-12 F Rousse , M Carlsson , M Ogren , B Kalischer Wellander

A stochastic epidemic model accounting for the effect of contact-tracing on the spread of an infectious disease is studied. Precisely, individuals identified as infected may contribute to detecting other infectious individuals by providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Viet Chi Tran , Hector De Arazoza

We have established a novel mathematical model that considers various aspects of the spreading of the virus, including, the transmission based on being in the latent period, environment to human transmission, governmental decisions, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-31 Kamran Soltani , Ghader Rezazadeh

We formulate a general age-of-infection epidemic model with two pathways: the symptomatic infections and the asymptomatic infections. We then calculate the basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ and establish the final size relation. It…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-04 Fan Bai

We investigate a fermionic susceptible-infected-susceptible model with mobility of infected individuals on uncorrelated scale-free networks with power-law degree distributions $P (k) \sim k^{-\gamma}$ of exponents $2<\gamma<3$. Two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-12 Diogo H. Silva , Silvio C. Ferreira

Spatio-temporal extensions of familiar compartment models for disease transmission incorporating diffusive behavior, or interactions between individuals at separate locations, are explored. The models considered have the character of…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-06-28 Joseph Rudnick , David Jasnow , Jorge Vinals

We present a unified mathematical approach to epidemiological models with parametric heterogeneity, i.e., to the models that describe individuals in the population as having specific parameter (trait) values that vary from one individuals…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-14 Artem S. Novozhilov

We develop a general modelling framework for compartmental epidemiological systems structured by continuous variables which are linked to the levels of expression of compartment-specific traits. We start by formulating an individual-based…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-14 Emanuele Bernardi , Tommaso Lorenzi , Mattia Sensi , Andrea Tosin
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