English

An age-of-infection model with both symptomatic and asymptomatic infections

Populations and Evolution 2021-11-04 v1

Abstract

We formulate a general age-of-infection epidemic model with two pathways: the symptomatic infections and the asymptomatic infections. We then calculate the basic reproduction number R0\mathcal{R}_0 and establish the final size relation. It is shown that the ratio of accumulated counts of symptomatic patients and asymptomatic patients is determined by the symptomatic ratio ff which is defined as the probability of eventually becoming symptomatic after being infected. We also formulate and study a general age-of-infection model with disease deaths and with two infection pathways. The final size relation is investigated, and the upper and lower bounds for final epidemic size are given. Several numerical simulations are performed to verify the analytical results.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2111.02343,
  title  = {An age-of-infection model with both symptomatic and asymptomatic infections},
  author = {Fan Bai},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2111.02343},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

22 pages, 10 figures