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We consider the conditional randomization test as a way to account for covariate imbalance in randomized experiments. The test accounts for covariate imbalance by comparing the observed test statistic to the null distribution of the test…

Cardiovascular simulations are increasingly used for non-invasive diagnosis of cardiovascular disease, to guide treatment decisions, and in the design of medical devices. Quantitative assessment of the variability of simulation outputs due…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-02-24 Jongmin Seo , Daniele E. Schiavazzi , Andrew M. Kahn , Alison L. Marsden

We introduce a new dependence order, termed the conditional convex order, whose minimal and maximal elements characterize independence and perfect dependence. Moreover, it characterizes conditional independence, satisfies information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Jonathan Ansari , Sebastian Fuchs

Neural networks used for multi-interaction trajectory reconstruction lack the ability to estimate the uncertainty in their outputs, which would be useful to better analyse and understand the systems they model. In this paper we extend the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Vasileios Karavias , Ben Day , Pietro Liò

We study the impact of finite-size effect on continuous variable source-independent quantum random number generation. The central-limit theorem and maximum likelihood estimation theorem are used to derive the formula which could output the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-02 Junyu Zhang , Yi-Chen Zhang , Ziyong Zheng , Ziyang Chen , Bingjie Xu , Song Yu

This study investigates the optimal strategy for a firm operating in a dynamic Keynesian market setting. The firm's objective function is optimized using the percent deviations from the symmetric equilibrium of both its own price and the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-05-05 Paramahansa Pramanik , Lambert Dong

The goal of this research is to derive an approach to assess uncertainty in an arbitrary volume conditioned by sampling data, without using geostatistical simulation. We have accomplished this goal by deriving an numerical tool suitable for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-22 Alvaro I. Riquelme , Julian M. Ortiz

We construct a time-consistent sublinear expectation in the setting of volatility uncertainty. This mapping extends Peng's G-expectation by allowing the range of the volatility uncertainty to be stochastic. Our construction is purely…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Marcel Nutz

Misperceptions about extreme dependencies between different financial assets have been an im- portant element of the recent financial crisis. This paper studies inhomogeneity in dependence structures using Markov switching regular vine…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-10 Jakob Stoeber , Claudia Czado

Graphical models are widely used in diverse application domains to model the conditional dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. In this paper, we consider settings where the graph structure is covariate-dependent, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-24 Jiahe Lin , Yikai Zhang , George Michailidis

It can be difficult to interpret a coefficient of an uncertain model. A slope coefficient of a regression model may change as covariates are added or removed from the model. In the context of high-dimensional data, there are too many model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Brian Knaeble , R. Mitchell Hughes , George Rudolph , Mark A. Abramson , Daniel Razo

We propose a test of the conditional independence of random variables $X$ and~$Y$ given~$Z$ under the additional assumption that $X$ is stochastically nondecreasing in~$Z$. The well-documented hardness of testing conditional independence…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Rohan Hore , Jake A. Soloff , Rina Foygel Barber , Richard J. Samworth

Proceeding from the concept of rational expectations, a new dynamic model of supply and demand in a single market with one supplier, one buyer, and one kind of commodity is developed. Unlike the cob-web dynamic theories with adaptive…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Granik , A. Granik

The standard Cox model in survival analysis assumes that the covariate effect is constant across the entire covariate domain. However, in many applications, there is interest in considering the possibility that the covariate of main…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-28 Sarit Agami , David M. Zucker , Donna Spiegelman

We study the effects of rounding on the moments of random variables. Specifically, given a random variable $X$ and its rounded counterpart $\operatorname{rd}(X)$, we study $|\mathbb{E}[X^k] - \mathbb{E}[\operatorname{rd}(X)^{k}]|$ for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Tyler Chen

Positive dependencies have been compared in the literature under rather strong assumptions such as equality of conditional distributions, exchangeability, or stationarity. We establish supermodular ordering results for distributions that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Jonathan Ansari , Moritz Ritter

Predicting sets of outcomes -- instead of unique outcomes -- is a promising solution to uncertainty quantification in statistical learning. Despite a rich literature on constructing prediction sets with statistical guarantees, adapting to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Hongxiang Qiu , Edgar Dobriban , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

A variety of fairness constraints have been proposed in the literature to mitigate group-level statistical bias. Their impacts have been largely evaluated for different groups of populations corresponding to a set of sensitive attributes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Jialu Wang , Xin Eric Wang , Yang Liu

We develop a new framework of uncertainty variables to model uncertainty. An uncertainty variable is characterized by an uncertainty set, in which its realization is bound to lie, while the conditional uncertainty is characterized by a set…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-10 Rajat Talak , Sertac Karaman , Eytan Modiano

The extension of bivariate measures of dependence to non-Euclidean spaces is a challenging problem. The non-linear nature of these spaces makes the generalisation of classical measures of linear dependence (such as the covariance) not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Meshal Abuqrais , Davide Pigoli