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We study statistical inference of the drift parameters for the Volterra Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process on R in the ergodic regime. For continuous-time observations, we derive the corresponding maximum likelihood estimators and show that they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Martin Friesen , Jonas Kremer

This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Wilfredo Palma , Ricardo Olea

We study a particular class of moving average processes which possess a property called localisability. This means that, at any given point, they admit a ``tangent process'', in a suitable sense. We give general conditions on the kernel g…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-25 Kenneth Falconer , Ronan Le Guével , Jacques Lévy-Véhel

We consider data-adaptive wavelet estimation of a trend function in a time series model with strongly dependent Gaussian residuals. Asymptotic expressions for the optimal mean integrated squared error and corresponding optimal smoothing and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-05 Jan Beran , Yevgen Shumeyko

We study the asymptotic theory of misspecified models for diffusion processes with noisy nonsynchronous observations. Unlike with correctly specified models, the original maximum-likelihood-type estimator has an asymptotic bias under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Teppei Ogihara

Asymptotic behavior of a class of nonlinear Schr\"odinger equations are studied. Particular cases of 1D weakly focusing and Bose-Einstein condensates are considered. A statistical approach is presented to describe the stationary probability…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Christophe Josserand

We present new results for consistency of maximum likelihood estimators with a focus on multivariate mixed models. Our theory builds on the idea of using subsets of the full data to establish consistency of estimators based on the full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of solutions to systems of strongly coupled integral equations with oscillatory coefficients. The system of equations is motivated by a peridynamic model of the deformation of heterogeneous…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Tadele Mengesha , James M. Scott

A parameter estimation problem is considered for a diagonaliazable stochastic evolution equation using a finite number of the Fourier coefficients of the solution. The equation is driven by additive noise that is white in space and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-03 Igor Cialenco , Sergey Lototsky , Jan Pospisil

We study the non-Markovian random continuous processes described by the Mori-Zwanzig equation. As a starting point, we use the Markovian Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and introduce an integral memory term depending on the past of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-04 S. S. Melnyk , V. A. Yampol'skii , O. V. Usatenko

Moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed L\'evy noise are important extensions of their Gaussian counterparts in order to capture deviations from Gaussianity, more flexible dependence structures, and sample paths with jumps.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Zhongwei Zhang , David Bolin , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

We consider regression models involving multilayer perceptrons (MLP) with one hidden layer and a Gaussian noise. The data are assumed to be generated by a true MLP model and the estimation of the parameters of the MLP is done by maximizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-01 Joseph Rynkiewicz

In this note, we propose a new approach for the proof of the consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator for nonlinear AR processes with markov-switching under the assumptions of uniform exponential forgetting of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-01 Luis-Angel Rodríguez

We study the convergence properties of the conditional (Kullback-Leibler) entropy in stochastic systems. We have proved very general results showing that asymptotic stability is a necessary and sufficient condition for the monotone…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-04-15 Michael C. Mackey , Marta Tyran-Kaminska

We develop asymptotic theory for weighted likelihood estimators (WLE) under two-phase stratified sampling without replacement. We also consider several variants of WLEs involving estimated weights and calibration. A set of empirical process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Takumi Saegusa , Jon A. Wellner

This work is an extension in Arch models of the theorem of S.Y. Hwang and I.V. Basawa Hwang and Basawa (2001) which was used before in nonlinear time series contiguous to AR(1) processes. Our results are established under some general…

Applications · Statistics 2012-06-08 Tewfik Lounis

This paper develops a rigorous asymptotic framework for likelihood-based inference in the Block Maxima (BM) method for stationary time series. While Bayesian inference under the BM approach has been widely studied in the independence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-24 David L. Carl , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE) are given for a general class of multidimensional causal processes. For particular cases already studied in the literature (for instance univariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-09 Jean-Marc Bardet , Olivier Wintenberger

A Markov-switching observation-driven model is a stochastic process $((S_t,Y_t))_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ where $(S_t)_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ is an unobserved Markov chain on a finite set and $(Y_t)_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ is an observed stochastic…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-30 Frederik Krabbe

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems. We prove consistency, asymptotic normality, and convergence of all scaled moments of an appropriately-constructed maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-16 Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos