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Motivated by estimating the lead-lag relationships in high-frequency financial data, we propose noisy bivariate Neyman-Scott point processes with gamma kernels (NBNSP-G). NBNSP-G tolerates noises that are not necessarily Poissonian and has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Takaaki Shiotani , Nakahiro Yoshida

This paper revisits the problem of estimating the fractional Ornstein - Uhlenbeck process observed in a linear channel with white noise of small intensity. We drive the exact asymptotic formulas for the mean square errors of the filtering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-20 M. Kleptsyna , D. Marushkevych , P. Chigansky

We consider the asymptotic consistency of maximum likelihood parameter estimation for dynamical systems observed with noise. Under suitable conditions on the dynamical systems and the observations, we show that maximum likelihood parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Kevin McGoff , Sayan Mukherjee , Andrew Nobel , Natesh Pillai

In this article we perform an asymptotic analysis of parallel Bayesian logspline density estimators. Such estimators are useful for the analysis of datasets that are partitioned into subsets and stored in separate databases without the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Konstandinos Kotsiopoulos , Alexey Miroshnikov , Erin Conlon

The paper concerns the asymptotic distribution of the mixture density estimator, proposed by Oppenheim et al 2006, in the aggregation/disaggregation problem of random parameter AR(1) process. We prove that, under mild conditions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-07 Dmitrij Celov , Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe

When we use the normal mixture model, the optimal number of the components describing the data should be determined. Testing homogeneity is good for this purpose; however, to construct its theory is challenging, since the test statistic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Natsuki Kariya , Sumio Watanabe

We consider the analysis of continuous repeated measurement outcomes that are collected through time, also known as longitudinal data. A standard framework for analysing data of this kind is a linear Gaussian mixed-effects model within…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Özgür Asar , David Bolin , Peter J. Diggle , Jonas Wallin

We propose a new asymptotic test to assess the stationarity of a time series' mean that is applicable in the presence of both heteroscedasticity and short-range dependence. Our test statistic is composed of Gini's mean difference of local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Sara Kristin Schmidt

We study the local asymptotic normality (LAN) property for the likelihood function associated with discretely observed $d$-dimensional McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations over a fixed time interval. The model involves a joint…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Akram Heidari , Mark Podolskij

We obtain results on both weak and almost sure asymptotic behaviour of power variations of a linear combination of independent Wiener process and fractional Brownian motion. These results are used to construct strongly consistent parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-20 Marco Dozzi , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Javier Hualde , Peter M. Robinson

In this note, we give a short information-theoretic proof of the consistency of the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator in linear auto-regressive models. Our proof yields nearly optimal non-asymptotic rates for parameter recovery and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Ingvar Ziemann

We study the continuous-time version of the empirical correlation coefficient between the paths of two possibly correlated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, known as Yule's nonsense correlation for these paths. Using sharp tools from the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Soukaina Douissi , Philip Ernst , Frederi Viens

A general method is presented for deriving the limiting behavior of estimators that are defined as the values of parameters optimizing an empirical criterion function. The asymptotic behavior of such estimators is typically deduced from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Peter Radchenko

Among all generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes which sample the same invariant measure and for which the same amount of randomness (a $N$-dimensional Brownian motion) is injected in the system, we prove that the asymptotic rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché

A variety of estimators for the parameters of the Generalized Pareto distribution, the approximating distribution for excesses over a high threshold, have been proposed, always assuming the underlying data to be independent. We recently…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-26 Lukas Martig , Jürg Hüsler

In this article we study the asymptotic behaviour of the realized quadratic variation of a process $\int_{0}^{t}u_{s}dG^{H}_{s}$, where $u$ is a $\beta$-H\"older continuous process with $\beta >1-H$ and $G^H$ is a self-similar Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Salwa Bajja , Qian Yu

This paper consider the LAN property for the mixed O-U process under high-frequency observation when H>3/4. As considered in mixed fractional Brownian motion, we will also use the projection step to get the non-diagonal rate matrix.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Chunhao Cai , Yiwu Shang , Cong Zhang

We study asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of drift parameters for a jump-type Heston model based on continuous time observations, where the jump process can be any purely non-Gaussian L\'evy process of not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

We present an analytical study of a nonlinear oscillator subject to an additive Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noise. Known results are mainly perturbative and are restricted to the large dissipation limit (obtained by neglecting the inertial term) or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Kirone Mallick , Philippe Marcq
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