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The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang

High-frequency trading (HFT) represents a pivotal and intensely competitive domain within the financial markets. The velocity and accuracy of data processing exert a direct influence on profitability, underscoring the significance of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Yuxin Fan , Zhuohuan Hu , Lei Fu , Yu Cheng , Liyang Wang , Yuxiang Wang

Heterogeneous data are commonly adopted as the inputs for some models that predict the future trends of some observations. Existing predictive models typically ignore the inconsistencies and imperfections in heterogeneous data while also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Zhengjing Ma , Gang Mei , Salvatore Cuomo , Francesco Piccialli

Predictions of short-term directional movement of the futures contract can be challenging as its pricing is often based on multiple complex dynamic conditions. This work presents a method for predicting the short-term directional movement…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-24 Yiyang Zheng

Heterogeneous temporal graphs (HTGs) are ubiquitous data structures in the real world. Recently, to enhance representation learning on HTGs, numerous attention-based neural networks have been proposed. Despite these successes, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Yili Wang , Tairan Huang , Changlong He , Qiutong Li , Jianliang Gao

Multivariate time series forecasting, which analyzes historical time series to predict future trends, can effectively help decision-making. Complex relations among variables in MTS, including static, dynamic, predictable, and latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Yueyang Wang , Ziheng Duan , Yida Huang , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren

This study proposes a credit card fraud detection method based on Heterogeneous Graph Neural Network (HGNN) to address fraud in complex transaction networks. Unlike traditional machine learning methods that rely solely on numerical features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-14 Qiuwu Sha , Tengda Tang , Xinyu Du , Jie Liu , Yixian Wang , Yuan Sheng

Accurately predicting stock market movements remains a formidable challenge due to the inherent volatility and complex interdependencies among stocks. Although multi-scale Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) hold potential for modeling these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Xiaosha Xue , Peibo Duan , Zhipeng Liu , Qi Chu , Changsheng Zhang , Bin zhang

In the complex landscape of traditional futures trading, where vast data and variables like real-time Limit Order Books (LOB) complicate price predictions, we introduce the FutureQuant Transformer model, leveraging attention mechanisms to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-12 Wenhao Guo , Yuda Wang , Zeqiao Huang , Changjiang Zhang , Shumin ma

Nowadays, with the availability of massive amount of trade data collected, the dynamics of the financial markets pose both a challenge and an opportunity for high frequency traders. In order to take advantage of the rapid, subtle movement…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

In recent years, high-frequency trading has emerged as a crucial strategy in stock trading. This study aims to develop an advanced high-frequency trading algorithm and compare the performance of three different mathematical models: the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Jiahao Chen , Xiaofei Li

In traditional quantitative trading practice, navigating the complicated and dynamic financial market presents a persistent challenge. Fully capturing various market variables, including long-term information, as well as essential signals…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-24 Zhaofeng Zhang , Banghao Chen , Shengxin Zhu , Nicolas Langrené

This paper proposes a new algorithm -- Trading Graph Neural Network (TGNN) that can structurally estimate the impact of asset features, dealer features and relationship features on asset prices in trading networks. It combines the strength…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-11 Xian Wu

Lifetime value (LTV) prediction is crucial for news feed advertising, enabling platforms to optimize bidding and budget allocation for long-term revenue growth. However, it faces two major challenges: (1) demographic-based targeting creates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Xiaohui Zhao , Xinjian Zhao , Jiahui Zhang , Guoyu Liu , Houzhi Wang , Shu Wu

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have been broadly studied on dynamic graphs for their representation learning, majority of which focus on graphs with homogeneous structures in the spatial domain. However, many real-world graphs - i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Yujie Fan , Mingxuan Ju , Chuxu Zhang , Liang Zhao , Yanfang Ye

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is an essential problem in many fields. Accurate forecasting results can effectively help decision-making. To date, many MTS forecasting methods have been proposed and widely applied. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Yida Huang , Jie Feng , Yueyang Wang

This study presents an autonomous experimental machine learning protocol for high-frequency trading (HFT) stock price forecasting that involves a dual competitive feature importance mechanism and clustering via shallow neural network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-30 Adamantios Ntakaris , Gbenga Ibikunle

Heterogeneous Graph Neural Networks (HGNNs) are a class of deep learning models designed specifically for heterogeneous graphs, which are graphs that contain different types of nodes and edges. This paper investigates the application of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-13 Zhen Hao Wong , Hansi Yang , Xiaoyi Fu , Quanming Yao

Predicting the future price trends of stocks is a challenging yet intriguing problem given its critical role to help investors make profitable decisions. In this paper, we present a collaborative temporal-relational modeling framework for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-08 Chaoran Cui , Xiaojie Li , Juan Du , Chunyun Zhang , Xiushan Nie , Meng Wang , Yilong Yin

Quantifying and predicting the long-term impact of scientific writings or individual scholars has important implications for many policy decisions, such as funding proposal evaluation and identifying emerging research fields. In this work,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-03-27 Fan Zhou , Xovee Xu , Ce Li , Goce Trajcevski , Ting Zhong , Kunpeng Zhang
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