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Accurate short-term state forecasting is essential for efficient and stable operation of modern power systems, especially in the context of increasing variability introduced by renewable and distributed energy resources. As these systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Raffael Theiler , Olga Fink

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

Through in-depth analysis of ultra high frequency (UHF) stock price change data, more reasonable discrete dynamic distribution models are constructed in this paper. Firstly, we classify the price changes into several categories. Then,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-02 Wei Dai , Yuan An , Wen Long

Credit default risk arises from complex interactions among borrowers, financial institutions, and transaction-level behaviors. While strong tabular models remain highly competitive in credit scoring, they may fail to explicitly capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Yvonne Yang , Eranki Vasistha

Based on the characteristics of the Chinese futures market, this paper builds a supervised learning model to predict the trend of futures prices and then designs a trading strategy based on the prediction results. The Precision, Recall and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-09 Fuquan Tang

Finance is a particularly challenging application area for deep learning models due to low noise-to-signal ratio, non-stationarity, and partial observability. Non-deliverable-forwards (NDF), a derivatives contract used in foreign exchange…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-25 Michael Poli , Jinkyoo Park , Ilija Ilievski

In financial trading, return prediction is one of the foundation for a successful trading system. By the fast development of the deep learning in various areas such as graphical processing, natural language, it has also demonstrate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Zijian Zhao , Xuming Zhang , Jiayu Wen , Mingwen Liu , Xiaoteng Ma

Financial time-series forecasting remains a challenging task due to complex temporal dependencies and market fluctuations. This study explores the potential of hybrid quantum-classical approaches to assist in financial trend prediction by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Prashant Kumar Choudhary , Nouhaila Innan , Muhammad Shafique , Rajeev Singh

Ambiguity is inherently present in many machine learning tasks, but especially for sequential models seldom accounted for, as most only output a single prediction. In this work we propose an extension of the Multiple Hypothesis Prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-24 Alessandro Berlati , Oliver Scheel , Luigi Di Stefano , Federico Tombari

Multi-view learning has progressed rapidly in recent years. Although many previous studies assume that each instance appears in all views, it is common in real-world applications for instances to be missing from some views, resulting in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Pengfei Zhu , Xinjie Yao , Yu Wang , Meng Cao , Binyuan Hui , Shuai Zhao , Qinghua Hu

Great research efforts have been devoted to exploiting deep neural networks in stock prediction. While long-range dependencies and chaotic property are still two major issues that lower the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Junran Wu , Ke Xu , Xueyuan Chen , Shangzhe Li , Jichang Zhao

With the booming growth of e-commerce, detecting financial fraud has become an urgent task to avoid transaction risks. Despite the successful applications of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) in fraud detection, the existing solutions are only…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Yujie Li , Yuxuan Yang , Xin Yang , Qiang Gao , Fan Zhou

This paper studies forward-looking stock-stock correlation forecasting for S\&P 500 constituents and evaluates whether learned correlation forecasts can improve graph-based clustering used in basket trading strategies. We cast 10-day ahead…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Jack Fanshawe , Rumi Masih , Alexander Cameron

In recent years, heterogeneous graph few-shot learning has been proposed to address the label sparsity issue in heterogeneous graphs (HGs), which contain various types of nodes and edges. The existing methods have achieved good performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Pengfei Ding , Yan Wang , Guanfeng Liu

Accurate prediction of price behavior in the foreign exchange market is crucial. This paper proposes a novel approach that leverages technical indicators and deep neural networks. The proposed architecture consists of a Long Short-Term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Sahabeh Saadati , Mohammad Manthouri

Graph neural networks (GNNs) excel in graph representation learning by integrating graph structure and node features. Existing GNNs, unfortunately, fail to account for the uncertainty of class probabilities that vary with the depth of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Qingfeng Chen , Shiyuan Li , Yixin Liu , Shirui Pan , Geoffrey I. Webb , Shichao Zhang

The Job Shop Scheduling Problem (JSSP) is commonly formulated as a disjunctive graph in which nodes represent operations and edges encode technological precedence constraints as well as machine-sharing conflicts. Most existing reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Bulent Soykan

The pre-training and fine-tuning methods have gained widespread attention in the field of heterogeneous graph neural networks due to their ability to leverage large amounts of unlabeled data during the pre-training phase, allowing the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Pengfei Jiao , Jialong Ni , Di Jin , Xuan Guo , Huan Liu , Hongjiang Chen , Yanxian Bi

We propose a novel graph-driven generative model, that unifies multiple heterogeneous learning tasks into the same framework. The proposed model is based on the fact that heterogeneous learning tasks, which correspond to different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Wenlin Wang , Hongteng Xu , Zhe Gan , Bai Li , Guoyin Wang , Liqun Chen , Qian Yang , Wenqi Wang , Lawrence Carin

This paper explores neural network-based approaches for algorithmic trading in cryptocurrency markets. Our approach combines multi-timeframe trend analysis with high-frequency direction prediction networks, achieving positive risk-adjusted…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Wěi Zhāng