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Several variations of hat guessing games have been popularly discussed in recreational mathematics. In a typical hat guessing game, after initially coordinating a strategy, each of $n$ players is assigned a hat from a given color set.…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2011-01-20 Tengyu Ma , Xiaoming Sun , Huacheng Yu

Relying on the optimal guessing strategy recently found for a no-feedback card guessing game with $k$-time riffle shuffles, we derive an exact, closed-form formula for the expected number of correct guesses and higher moments for a $1$-time…

The asymptotic behaviour of a closed BCMP network, with $n$ queues and $m_n$ clients, is analyzed when $n$ and $m_n$ become simultaneously large. Our method relies on Berry-Esseen type approximations coming in the Central Limit Theorem. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-16 Guy Fayolle , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes

That there exist two losing games that can be combined, either by random mixture or by nonrandom alternation, to form a winning game is known as Parrondo's paradox. We establish a strong law of large numbers and a central limit theorem for…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-04 S. N. Ethier , Jiyeon Lee

We study a variant of the chip-firing game called the diffusion game. In the diffusion game, we begin with some integer labelling of the vertices of a graph, interpreted as a number of chips on each vertex, and then for each subsequent step…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Andrew Carlotti , Rebekah Herrman

We give a central limit theorem, which has applications to Bayesian statistics and urn problems. The latter are investigated, by paying special attention to multicolor randomly reinforced generalized Polya urns.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-27 Patrizia Berti , Irene Crimaldi , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

We study games of chance (e.g., pokers, dices, horse races) in the form of agents' first-order posterior beliefs about game outcomes. We ask for any profile of agents' posterior beliefs, is there a game that can generate these beliefs? We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-07-11 Xu Lang

We consider a card guessing strategy for a stack of cards with two different types of cards, say $m_1$ cards of type red (heart or diamond) and $m_2$ cards of type black (clubs or spades). Given a deck of $M=m_1+m_2$ cards, we propose a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-03-09 Markus Kuba , Alois Panholzer

A central limit theorem is proved for the free energy of the random field Ising model with all plus or all minus boundary condition, at any temperature (including zero temperature) and any dimension. This solves a problem posed by Wehr and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-03-29 Sourav Chatterjee

We consider a variant of the traditional multi-armed bandit problem in which each arm is only able to provide one-bit feedback during each pull based on its past history of rewards. Our main result is the following: given an upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Daniel Vial , Sanjay Shakkottai , R. Srikant

We study combinatorial and algorithmic questions around minimal feedback vertex sets in tournament graphs. On the combinatorial side, we derive strong upper and lower bounds on the maximum number of minimal feedback vertex sets in an…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2011-10-20 Serge Gaspers , Matthias Mnich

In a function that takes its inputs from various players, the effect of a player measures the variation he can cause in the expectation of that function. In this paper we prove a tight upper bound on the number of players with large effect,…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-06 Ronen Gradwohl , Omer Reingold , Ariel Yadin , Amir Yehudayoff

Kuhn's Theorem shows that extensive games with perfect recall can equivalently be analyzed using mixed or behavioral strategies, as long as players are expected utility maximizers. This note constructs an example that illustrate the limits…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-25 Gaurab Aryal , Ronald Stauber

This work addresses the classic machine learning problem of online prediction with expert advice. We consider the finite-horizon version of this zero-sum, two-person game. Using verification arguments from optimal control theory, we view…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Vladimir A. Kobzar , Robert V. Kohn , Zhilei Wang

A \emph{bidding} game is played on a graph as follows. A token is placed on an initial vertex and both players are allocated budgets. In each turn, the players simultaneously submit bids that do not exceed their available budgets, the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Guy Avni , Suman Sadhukhan

A core element in decision-making under uncertainty is the feedback on the quality of the performed actions. However, in many applications, such feedback is restricted. For example, in recommendation systems, repeatedly asking the user to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Yonathan Efroni , Nadav Merlis , Aadirupa Saha , Shie Mannor

We consider a randomized algorithm for the unique games problem, using independent multinomial probabilities to assign labels to the vertices of a graph. The expected value of the solution obtained by the algorithm is expressed as a…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-08-10 Rajeev Kohli , Ramesh Krishnamurti

An urn contains balls of d colors. At each time, a ball is drawn and then replaced together with a random number of balls of the same color. Assuming that some colors are dominated by others, we prove central limit theorems. Some…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-06 Patrizia Berti , Irene Crimaldi , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

We prove that the rate of convergence for the central limit theorem in finite free convolution is of order $n^{1/2}$

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-25 Octavio Arizmendi , Daniel Perales

We will prove the Berry-Esseen theorem for the number counting function of the circular $\beta$-ensemble (C$\beta$E), which will imply the central limit theorem for the number of points in arcs of the unit circle in mesoscopic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Renjie Feng , Gang Tian , Dongyi Wei