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Decision making under uncertainty is challenging since the data-generating process (DGP) is often unknown. Bayesian inference proceeds by estimating the DGP through posterior beliefs about the model's parameters. However, minimising the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-06 Charita Dellaporta , Patrick O'Hara , Theodoros Damoulas

Recent clinical trials have shown that the adaptive drug therapy can be more efficient than a standard MTD-based policy in treatment of cancer patients. The adaptive therapy paradigm is not based on a preset schedule; instead, the doses are…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-06 Mark Gluzman , Jacob G. Scott , Alexander Vladimirsky

Accurate identification of synergistic treatment combinations and their underlying biological mechanisms is critical across many disease domains, especially cancer. In translational oncology research, preclinical systems such as…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-31 Tsung-Hung Yao , Zhenke Wu , Karthik Bharath , Jinju Li , Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapan

Distributed inference/estimation in Bayesian framework in the context of sensor networks has recently received much attention due to its broad applicability. The variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm is a technique for approximating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-30 Junhao Hua , Chunguang Li

A major goal in genomics is to properly capture the complex dynamical behaviors of gene regulatory networks (GRNs). This includes inferring the complex interactions between genes, which can be used for a wide range of genomics analyses,…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-18 Mohammad Alali , Mahdi Imani

The issue of determining not only an adequate dose but also a dosing frequency of a drug arises frequently in Phase II clinical trials. This results in the comparison of models which have some parameters in common. Planning such studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-16 Kirsten Schorning , Maria Konstantinou

A key question in causal inference analyses is how to find subgroups with elevated treatment effects. This paper takes a machine learning approach and introduces a generative model, Causal Rule Sets (CRS), for interpretable subgroup…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Tong Wang , Cynthia Rudin

Training machine learning and statistical models often involves optimizing a data-driven risk criterion. The risk is usually computed with respect to the empirical data distribution, but this may result in poor and unstable out-of-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Nicola Bariletto , Nhat Ho

Dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs) are increasingly used in healthcare due to their ability to model complex temporal relationships in patient data while maintaining interpretability, an essential feature for clinical decision-making.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Federico Pirola , Fabio Stella , Marco Grzegorczyk

Given an (optimal) dynamic treatment rule, it may be of interest to evaluate that rule -- that is, to ask the causal question: what is the expected outcome had every subject received treatment according to that rule? In this paper, we study…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-27 Lina Montoya , Jennifer Skeem , Mark van der Laan , Maya Petersen

Background: Clinical diagnosis is typically reached by following a series of steps recommended by guidelines authored by colleges of experts. Accordingly, guidelines play a crucial role in rationalizing clinical decisions but suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Lillian Muyama , Antoine Neuraz , Adrien Coulet

The optimal strategy for deploying a treatment in a population may recommend giving all in the population that treatment. Such a strategy may not be feasible, especially in resource-limited settings. One approach for determining how to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-21 Lina M. Montoya , Elvin H. Geng , Harriet F. Adhiambo , Maya L. Petersen

We develop an analytical synthesis that bridges data-driven Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) and Economic Decision Theory under Ambiguity (DTA). By reinterpreting standard regularization and DRO techniques as data-driven…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-27 Nicola Bariletto , Khai Nguyen , Nhat Ho

Interpretability is crucial for machine learning in many scenarios such as quantitative finance, banking, healthcare, etc. Symbolic regression (SR) is a classic interpretable machine learning method by bridging X and Y using mathematical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-17 Ying Jin , Weilin Fu , Jian Kang , Jiadong Guo , Jian Guo

Systems with both quantitative and qualitative responses are widely encountered in many applications. Design of experiment methods are needed when experiments are conducted to study such systems. Classic experimental design methods are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-24 Lulu Kang , Xinwei Deng , Ran Jin

Dose-finding clinical trials in oncology aim to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of a new drug, generally defined by the proportion of patients with short-term dose-limiting toxicities (DLTs). Model-based approaches for such phase…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Moreno Ursino , Lucie Biard , Sylvie Chevret

Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithms try to optimize an unknown function that is expensive to evaluate using minimum number of evaluations/experiments. Most of the proposed algorithms in BO are sequential, where only one experiment is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-10-18 Javad Azimi , Ali Jalali , Xiaoli Fern

This study investigates the problem of individualizing treatment allocations using stated preferences for treatments. If individuals know in advance how the assignment will be individualized based on their stated preferences, they may state…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-16 Daido Kido

Precision medicine has led to a paradigm shift allowing the development of targeted drugs that are agnostic to the tumor location. In this context, basket trials aim to identify which tumor types - or baskets - would benefit from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Marcio A. Diniz , Hulya Kocyigit , Erin Moshier , Madhu Mazumdar , Deukwoo Kwon

We consider optimal regimes for algorithm-assisted human decision-making. Such regimes are decision functions of measured pre-treatment variables and, by leveraging natural treatment values, enjoy a "superoptimality" property whereby they…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-23 Mats J. Stensrud , Julien Laurendeau , Aaron L. Sarvet