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Numerically computing global policies to optimal control problems for complex dynamical systems is mostly intractable. In consequence, a number of approximation methods have been developed. However, none of the current methods can quantify…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Ashwin Khadke , Hartmut Geyer

Safe policy improvement (SPI) offers theoretical control over policy updates, yet existing guarantees largely concern offline, tabular reinforcement learning (RL). We study SPI in general online settings, when combined with world model and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Florent Delgrange , Raphael Avalos , Willem Röpke

Predictive models are often introduced to decision-making tasks under the rationale that they improve performance over an existing decision-making policy. However, it is challenging to compare predictive performance against an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Luke Guerdan , Amanda Coston , Kenneth Holstein , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Digital Behavior Change Interventions (DBCIs) are supporting development of new health behaviors. Evaluating their effectiveness is crucial for their improvement and understanding of success factors. However, comprehensive guidance for…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Aneta Lisowska , Szymon Wilk , Laura Locati , Mimma Rizzo , Lucia Sacchi , Silvana Quaglini , Matteo Terzaghi , Valentina Tibollo , Mor Peleg

We present a memory-bounded optimization approach for solving infinite-horizon decentralized POMDPs. Policies for each agent are represented by stochastic finite state controllers. We formulate the problem of optimizing these policies as a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Christopher Amato , Daniel S Bernstein , Shlomo Zilberstein

Bayesian optimal experiments that maximize the information gained from collected data are critical to efficiently identify behavioral models. We extend a seminal method for designing Bayesian optimal experiments by introducing two…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-19 Stefano Balietti , Brennan Klein , Christoph Riedl

This paper proposes modifications to the data-enabled policy optimization (DeePO) algorithm to mitigate state perturbations. DeePO is an adaptive, data-driven approach designed to iteratively compute a feedback gain equivalent to the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-29 Mojtaba Kaheni , Niklas Persson , Vittorio De Iuliis , Costanzo Manes , Alessandro V. Papadopoulos

Mental health disorders remain a significant challenge in modern healthcare, with diagnosis and treatment often relying on subjective patient descriptions and past medical history. To address this issue, we propose a personalized mental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Manan Shukla , Oshani Seneviratne

The utilization of digital health has increased recently, and these services provide extensive guidance to encourage users to exercise frequently by setting daily exercise goals to promote a healthy lifestyle. These comprehensive guides…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Ji Fang , Vincent CS Lee , Hao Ji , Haiyan Wang

The opioid epidemic remains a major public health challenge in the United States, requiring a multi-pronged intervention approach to mitigate harms to communities. Given the heterogeneity of the epidemic across the country, it is crucial…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-13 Abdulrahman A. Ahmed , M. Amin Rahimian , Qiushi Chen , Praveen Kumar

We develop a simulation tool to support policy-decisions about healthcare for chronic diseases in defined populations. Incident disease-cases are generated in-silico from an age-sex characterised general population using standard…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-03 Nathan Green , Duncan Smith , Matthew Sperrin , Iain Buchan

In an offline reinforcement learning setting, the safe policy improvement (SPI) problem aims to improve the performance of a behavior policy according to which sample data has been generated. State-of-the-art approaches to SPI require a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Patrick Wienhöft , Marnix Suilen , Thiago D. Simão , Clemens Dubslaff , Christel Baier , Nils Jansen

This paper studies the problem of optimally allocating treatments in the presence of spillover effects, using information from a (quasi-)experiment. I introduce a method that maximizes the sample analog of average social welfare when…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-09 Davide Viviano

AI tools increasingly guide targeted interventions in healthcare, education, and recruiting. Algorithms score individuals, trigger outreach to those above a threshold (e.g., high-risk or high-value), and encourage them to request service;…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Carri W. Chan , Yi Han , Hannah Li , Benjamin L. Ranard

Recent progress in state-only imitation learning extends the scope of applicability of imitation learning to real-world settings by relieving the need for observing expert actions. However, existing solutions only learn to extract a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Minghuan Liu , Zhengbang Zhu , Yuzheng Zhuang , Weinan Zhang , Jianye Hao , Yong Yu , Jun Wang

It is not clear how to target patients who are most likely to benefit from digital care management programs ex-ante, a shortcoming of current risk score based approaches. This study focuses on defining impactability by identifying those…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-16 Heather Mattie , Patrick Reidy , Patrik Bachtiger , Emily Lindemer , Mohammad Jouni , Trishan Panch

Motivated by the poor performance of cross-validation in settings where data are scarce, we propose a novel estimator of the out-of-sample performance of a policy in data-driven optimization.Our approach exploits the optimization problem's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Vishal Gupta , Michael Huang , Paat Rusmevichientong

In many mobile health interventions, treatments should only be delivered in a particular context, for example when a user is currently stressed, walking or sedentary. Even in an optimal context, concerns about user burden can restrict which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Sabina Tomkins , Predrag Klasnja , Susan Murphy

Suppose an online platform wants to compare a treatment and control policy, e.g., two different matching algorithms in a ridesharing system, or two different inventory management algorithms in an online retail site. Standard randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-27 Peter Glynn , Ramesh Johari , Mohammad Rasouli

Several behavioral, social, and public health interventions, such as suicide/HIV prevention or community preparedness against natural disasters, leverage social network information to maximize outreach. Algorithmic influence maximization…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Aida Rahmattalabi , Shahin Jabbari , Himabindu Lakkaraju , Phebe Vayanos , Max Izenberg , Ryan Brown , Eric Rice , Milind Tambe