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Epidemiology aims at identifying subpopulations of cohort participants that share common characteristics (e.g. alcohol consumption) to explain risk factors of diseases in cohort study data. These data contain information about the…

The customary perspective to reason about epidemic mitigation in temporal networks hinges on the identification of nodes with specific features or network roles. The ensuing individual-based control strategies, however, are difficult to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-13 Laetitia Gauvin , André Panisson , Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto

It is well recognised that animal and plant pathogens form complex ecological communities of interacting organisms within their hosts. Although community ecology approaches have been applied to determine pathogen interactions at the…

Effective epidemic modeling is essential for managing public health crises, requiring robust methods to predict disease spread and optimize resource allocation. This study introduces a novel deep learning framework that advances time series…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-19 Mousa Alizadeh , Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Azam Seilsepour , Alireza Monavarian , Mohammad TH Beheshti

Coronavirus COVID-19 spreads through the population mostly based on social contact. To gauge the potential for widespread contagion, to cope with associated uncertainty and to inform its mitigation, more accurate and robust modelling is…

The recent coronavirus disease (Covid-19) has become a pandemic and has affected the entire globe. During the pandemic, we have observed a spike in cases related to mental health, such as anxiety, stress, and depression. Depression…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Ashutosh Anshul , Gumpili Sai Pranav , Mohammad Zia Ur Rehman , Nagendra Kumar

Stochastic epidemic models which incorporate interactions between space and human mobility are a key tool to inform prioritisation of outbreak control to appropriate locations. However, methods for fitting such models to national-level…

As the COVID-19 pandemic evolves, reliable prediction plays an important role for policy making. The classical infectious disease model SEIR (susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered) is a compact yet simplistic temporal model. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Yunling Zheng , Zhijian Li , Jack Xin , Guofa Zhou

Over the past two decades there has been a number of global outbreaks of viral diseases. This has accelerated the efforts to model and forecast the disease spreading, in order to find ways to confine the spreading regionally and between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-22 Rafael A. Barrio , Kimmo K. Kaski , Gudmundur G. Haraldsson , Thor Aspelund , Tzipe Govezensky

We study how international flights can facilitate the spread of an epidemic to a worldwide scale. We combine an infrastructure network of flight connections with a population density dataset to derive the mobility network, and then we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-26 Hugo Dolan , Riccardo Rastelli

In this work we propose a novel space-dependent multiscale model for the spread of infectious diseases in a two-dimensional spatial context on realistic geographical scenarios. The model couples a system of kinetic transport equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

Understanding the spatio-temporal patterns of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is essential to construct public health interventions. Spatially referenced data can provide richer opportunities to understand the mechanism of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-15 Jaewoo Park , Seorim Yi , Won Chang , Jorge Mateu

Objective: COVID-19 has spread worldwide and made a huge influence across the world. Modeling the infectious spread situation of COVID-19 is essential to understand the current condition and to formulate intervention measurements.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Ruhan Liu , Jiajia Li , Yang Wen , Huating Li , Ping Zhang , Bin Sheng , David Dagan Feng

Modelling epidemic events such as COVID-19 cases in both time and space dimensions is an important but challenging task. Building on in-depth review and assessment of two popular graph neural network (GNN)-based regional epidemic…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-20 Xiangxin Kong , Hang Wang , Yutong Li , Yanghao Chen , Zudi Lu

This paper is concerned with nonlinear modeling and analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic currently ravaging the planet. There are two objectives: to arrive at an appropriate model that captures the collected data faithfully, and to use that as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-15 C. A. K. Kwuimy , Foad Nazari , Xun Jiao , Pejman Rohani , C. Nataraj

The present paper introduces a data-driven framework for describing the time-varying nature of an SIRD model in the context of COVID-19. By embedding a rolling regression in a mixed integer bilevel nonlinear programming problem, our aim is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-04 Javier Rubio-Herrero , Yuchen Wang

Since the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in December 2019, studies have been addressing diverse aspects in relation to COVID-19 and Variant of Concern 202012/01 (VOC 202012/01) such as potential symptoms and predictive tools.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Wasiq Khan , Abir Hussain , Sohail Ahmed Khan , Mohammed Al-Jumailey , Raheel Nawaz , Panos Liatsis

We apply topological data analysis, specifically the Mapper algorithm, to the U.S. COVID-19 data. The resulting Mapper graphs provide visualizations of the pandemic that are more complete than those supplied by other, more standard methods.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-15 Yiran Chen , Ismar Volic

This paper introduces an interactive visualization interface with a machine learning consensus analysis that enables the researchers to explore the impact of atmospheric and socioeconomic factors on COVID-19 clinical severity by employing…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Abdullah-Al-Raihan Nayeem , Ignacio Segovia-Dominguez , Huikyo Lee , Dongyun Han , Yuzhou Chen , Zhiwei Zhen , Yulia Gel , Isaac Cho

Because of the rapid spread of COVID-19 to almost every part of the globe, huge volumes of data and case studies have been made available, providing researchers with a unique opportunity to find trends and make discoveries like never…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Sarwan Ali , Yijing Zhou , Murray Patterson