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Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporate state-dependent uncertainty quantification based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Manuel Pulido , Juan J. Ruiz , Pierre Tandeo

This work examines the challenges and opportunities of Machine Learning (ML) for Monitoring and Operational Data Analytics (MODA) in the context of Quantitative Codesign of Supercomputers (QCS). MODA is employed to gain insights into the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Thomas Jakobsche , Nicolas Lachiche , Florina M. Ciorba

Data Assimilation (DA) is a computational tool that uses value from the model and the real measurement to arrive to an optimally acceptable value. Rather, this technique relies on the idea of Kalman gain. We point out that DA has two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Mohammad N. Murshed , Zarin Subah , M. Monir Uddin

The hybrid neural differentiable models mark a significant advancement in the field of scientific machine learning. These models, integrating numerical representations of known physics into deep neural networks, offer enhanced predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Deepak Akhare , Tengfei Luo , Jian-Xun Wang

Real-Time Auction (RTA) Interception aims to filter out invalid or irrelevant traffic to enhance the integrity and reliability of downstream data. However, two key challenges remain: (i) the need for accurate estimation of traffic quality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Gaoxiang Zhao , Ruinan Qiu , Pengpeng Zhao , Rongjin Wang , Xiaoting Wang , Zhangang Lin , Xiaoqiang Wang

Chaos is ubiquitous in physical systems. The associated sensitivity to initial conditions is a significant obstacle in forecasting the weather and other geophysical fluid flows. Data assimilation is the process whereby the uncertainty in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-03 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Jonathan Demaeyer , Colin Grudzien , Patrick Raanes , Stephane Vannitsem

It is critical that machine learning (ML) model predictions be trustworthy for high-throughput catalyst discovery approaches. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods allow estimation of the trustworthiness of an ML model, but these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Cameron Gruich , Varun Madhavan , Yixin Wang , Bryan Goldsmith

We explore the potential of Data-Assimilation (DA) within the multi-scale framework of a shell model of turbulence, with a focus on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). The central objective is to understand how measuring mesoscales (i.e.,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-15 Francesco Fossella , Luca Biferale , Alberto Carrassi , Massimo Cencini , Vikrant Gupta

Most uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches provide a single scalar value as a measure of model reliability. However, different uncertainty measures could provide complementary information on the prediction confidence. Even measures…

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods play an important role in reducing errors in weather forecasting. Conventional approaches in UQ for weather forecasting rely on generating an ensemble of forecasts from physics-based simulations to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Ayush Khot , Xihaier Luo , Ai Kagawa , Shinjae Yoo

Faithful uncertainty quantification (UQ) is paramount in high stakes climate prediction. Deep ensembles, or ensembles of probabilistic neural networks, are state of the art for UQ in machine learning (ML) and are growing increasingly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Devin M. McAfee , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Data assimilation combines forecasts from a numerical model with observations. Most of the current data assimilation algorithms consider the model and observation error terms as additive Gaussian noise, specified by their covariance…

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a booming discipline for complex computational models based on the analysis of robustness, reliability and credibility. UQ analysis for nonlinear crash models with high dimensional outputs presents…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Marc Rocas , Alberto García-González , Xabier Larrayoz , Pedro Díez

Dynamic quantization emerged as a practical approach to increase the utilization and efficiency of the machine learning serving flow. Unlike static quantization, which applies quantization offline, dynamic quantization operates on tensors…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Hanna Foerster , Ilia Shumailov , Cheng Zhang , Yiren Zhao , Jamie Hayes , Robert Mullins

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for deploying deep learning models in safety critical applications, yet no consensus exists on which UQ method performs best across different data modalities and distribution shifts. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Rahul D Ray , Utkarsh Srivastava

Data assimilation (DA) estimates a dynamical system's state from noisy observations. Recent generative models like the ensemble score filter (EnSF) improve DA in high-dimensional nonlinear settings but are computationally expensive. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Taos Transue , Bohan Chen , So Takao , Bao Wang

Estimating statistical uncertainties allows autonomous agents to communicate their confidence during task execution and is important for applications in safety-critical domains such as autonomous driving. In this work, we present the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-09 Yuchen Cui , David Isele , Scott Niekum , Kikuo Fujimura

Molecular Dynamics (MD) simulation is widely used to analyze the properties of molecules and materials. Most practical applications, such as comparison with experimental measurements, designing drug molecules, or optimizing materials, rely…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-12-20 Frank Noé

Machine Learning (ML) models are trained using historical data to classify new, unseen data. However, traditional computing resources often struggle to handle the immense amount of data, commonly known as Big Data, within a reasonable time…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-01 Minati Rath , Hema Date

With the rise of large language models, neural text summarization has advanced significantly in recent years. However, even state-of-the-art models continue to rely heavily on high-quality human-annotated data for training and evaluation.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Petros Stylianos Giouroukis , Alexios Gidiotis , Grigorios Tsoumakas