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Model inference for dynamical systems aims to estimate the future behaviour of a system from observations. Purely model-free statistical methods, such as Artificial Neural Networks, tend to perform poorly for such tasks. They are therefore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-07 David K. E. Green , Filip Rindler

In this paper, we derive a novel procedure for set-membership estimation of dynamical systems affected by stochastic noise with unbounded support. Employing a bound on the sample covariance matrix, we are able to provide a finite- sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-20 Felix Brändle , Nicolas Chatzikiriakos , Andrea Iannelli , Frank Allgöwer

Any applied mathematical model contains parameters. The paper proposes to use kernel learning for the parametric analysis of the model. The approach consists in setting a distribution on the parameter space, obtaining a finite training…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Vladimir Norkin , Alois Pichler

We consider the problem of identifying a pattern of faults from a set of noisy linear measurements. Unfortunately, maximum a posteriori probability estimation of the fault pattern is computationally intractable. To solve the fault…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Danny Bickson , Dror Baron , Alex T. Ihler , Harel Avissar , Danny Dolev

Kernel methods give powerful, flexible, and theoretically grounded approaches to solving many problems in machine learning. The standard approach, however, requires pairwise evaluations of a kernel function, which can lead to scalability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Danica J. Sutherland , Jeff Schneider

Bayesian optimisation has gained great popularity as a tool for optimising the parameters of machine learning algorithms and models. Somewhat ironically, setting up the hyper-parameters of Bayesian optimisation methods is notoriously hard.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-07-01 Ziyu Wang , Nando de Freitas

This paper introduces a novel approach to system identification for nonlinear input-output models that minimizes the simulation error and frames the problem as a constrained optimization task. The proposed method addresses vanishing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Vito Cerone , Sophie M. Fosson , Simone Pirrera , Diego Regruto

We develop a practical and novel method for inference on intersection bounds, namely bounds defined by either the infimum or supremum of a parametric or nonparametric function, or equivalently, the value of a linear programming problem with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-06 Victor Chernozhukov , Sokbae Lee , Adam M. Rosen

The paper investigates nonlinear system identification using system output data at various linearized operating points. A feed-forward multi-layer Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based approach is used for this purpose and tested for two…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Sayan Saha , Saptarshi Das , Anish Acharya , Abhishek Kumar , Sumit Mukherjee , Indranil Pan , Amitava Gupta

Modern deep learning reconstruction algorithms generate impressively realistic scans from sparse inputs, but can often produce significant inaccuracies. This makes it difficult to provide statistically guaranteed claims about the true state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Matt Y Cheung , Tucker J Netherton , Laurence E Court , Ashok Veeraraghavan , Guha Balakrishnan

A different route to identification of time-invariant linear systems has been recently proposed which does not require committing to a specific parametric model structure. Impulse responses are described in a nonparametric Bayesian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-15 Gianluigi Pillonetto , Alessandro Chiuso , Giuseppe De Nicolao

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

Kernel-phase is a data analysis method based on a generalization of the notion of closure-phase invented in the context of interferometry, but that applies to well corrected diffraction dominated images produced by an arbitrary aperture.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-22 Frantz Martinache , Alban Ceau , Romain Laugier , Jens Kammerer , Mamadou N'Diaye , David Mary , Nick Cvetojevic , Coline Lopez

Depth measures have gained popularity in the statistical literature for defining level sets in complex data structures like multivariate data, functional data, and graphs. Despite their versatility, integrating depth measures into…

We introduce a data-based approach to estimating key quantities which arise in the study of nonlinear control systems and random nonlinear dynamical systems. Our approach hinges on the observation that much of the existing linear theory may…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-04-04 Jake Bouvrie , Boumediene Hamzi

Existing statistical learning guarantees for general kernel regressors often yield loose bounds when used with finite-rank kernels. Yet, finite-rank kernels naturally appear in several machine learning problems, e.g.\ when fine-tuning a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Tin Sum Cheng , Aurelien Lucchi , Ivan Dokmanić , Anastasis Kratsios , David Belius

Quantum error mitigation is a promising route to achieving quantum utility, and potentially quantum advantage in the near-term. Many state-of-the-art error mitigation schemes use knowledge of the errors in the quantum processor, which opens…

An imprecise Bayesian nonparametric approach to system reliability with multiple types of components is developed. This allows modelling partial or imperfect prior knowledge on component failure distributions in a flexible way through…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-19 Gero Walter , Louis J. M. Aslett , Frank P. A. Coolen

In Hezaveh et al. 2017 we showed that deep learning can be used for model parameter estimation and trained convolutional neural networks to determine the parameters of strong gravitational lensing systems. Here we demonstrate a method for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-29 Laurence Perreault Levasseur , Yashar D. Hezaveh , Risa H. Wechsler

Safety-critical navigation applications require that estimation errors be reliably quantified and bounded. This can be challenging for linear dynamic systems if the process noise or measurement errors have uncertain time correlation. In…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-22 Omar Garcia Crespillo , Mathieu Joerger , Steve Langel