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In assessing prediction accuracy of multivariable prediction models, optimism corrections are essential for preventing biased results. However, in most published papers of clinical prediction models, the point estimates of the prediction…

Weak-identification-robust tests for instrumental variable (IV) regressions are typically developed separately depending on whether the number of IVs is treated as fixed or increasing with the sample size, forcing researchers to make a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-01 Dennis Lim , Wenjie Wang , Yichong Zhang

We develop new methods for approximating conformal blocks as positive functions times polynomials, with applications to the numerical bootstrap. We argue that to obtain accurate bootstrap bounds, conformal block approximations should…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2026-05-27 Cyuan-Han Chang , Vasiliy Dommes , Petr Kravchuk , David Poland , David Simmons-Duffin

Recent results concerning asymptotic Bayes-optimality under sparsity (ABOS) of multiple testing procedures are extended to fairly generally distributed effect sizes under the alternative. An asymptotic framework is considered where both the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-13 Florian Frommlet , Arijit Chakrabarti , Magdalena Murawska , Malgorzata Bogdan

We consider the high-dimensional heteroscedastic regression model, where the mean and the log variance are modeled as a linear combination of input variables. Existing literature on high-dimensional linear regres- sion models has largely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-05-23 Mladen Kolar , James Sharpnack

In this article we study the asymptotic predictive optimality of a model selection criterion based on the cross-validatory predictive density, already available in the literature. For a dependent variable and associated explanatory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Arijit Chakrabarti , Tapas Samanta

In this paper, we investigate the (in)-consistency of different bootstrap methods for constructing confidence intervals in the class of estimators that converge at rate $n^{1/3}$. The Grenander estimator, the nonparametric maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Bodhisattva Sen , Moulinath Banerjee , Michael Woodroofe

While an important topic in practice, the estimation of the number of non-noise components in blind source separation has received little attention in the literature. Recently, two bootstrap-based techniques for estimating the dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-12 Joni Virta , Klaus Nordhausen

This work introduces the causal bootstrap, a framework for bounding smeared spectral observables from finite non-perturbative Euclidean data. The method optimizes over the convex set of positive spectral densities compatible with the data…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2026-05-21 Ryan Abbott , Sarah Fields , William I. Jay , Patrick Oare , Matteo Saccardi

In this paper we discuss an application of Stochastic Approximation to statistical estimation of high-dimensional sparse parameters. The proposed solution reduces to resolving a penalized stochastic optimization problem on each stage of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Sasila Ilandarideva , Yannis Bekri , Anatoli Juditsky , Vianney Perchet

Popular regularizers with non-differentiable penalties, such as Lasso, Elastic Net, Generalized Lasso, or SLOPE, reduce the dimension of the parameter space by inducing sparsity or clustering in the estimators' coordinates. In this paper,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Ivan Hejný , Jonas Wallin , Małgorzata Bogdan , Michał Kos

Despite decades of research and recent progress in adaptive control and reinforcement learning, there remains a fundamental lack of understanding in designing controllers that provide robustness to inherent non-asymptotic uncertainties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Benjamin Gravell , Tyler Summers

We study the problem of estimating the coefficients in linear ordinary differential equations (ODE's) with a diverging number of variables when the solutions are observed with noise. The solution trajectories are first smoothed with local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-29 Heng Lian

In this paper we propose a new test of heteroscedasticity for parametric regression models and partial linear regression models in high dimensional settings. When the dimension of covariates is large, existing tests of heteroscedasticity…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-09 Falong Tan , Xuejun Jiang , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

We propose a new adequacy test and a graphical evaluation tool for nonlinear dynamic models. The proposed techniques can be applied in any setup where parametric conditional distribution of the data is specified, in particular to models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Igor L. Kheifets

Bootstrap smoothed (bagged) parameter estimators have been proposed as an improvement on estimators found after preliminary data-based model selection. The key result of Efron (2014) is a very convenient and widely applicable formula for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-29 Paul Kabaila , Christeen Wijethunga

Randomized clinical trials are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. Nevertheless, in studies that are aimed at examining adverse effects of interventions, such trials are often impractical because of ethical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Anthony D. Scotina , Andrew R. Zullo , Robert J. Smith , Roee Gutman

Multiple systems estimation using a Poisson loglinear model is a standard approach to quantifying hidden populations where data sources are based on lists of known cases. Information criteria are often used for selecting between the large…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-23 Bernard W. Silverman , Lax Chan , Kyle Vincent

Recently, Tibshirani et al. (2016) proposed a method for making inferences about parameters defined by model selection, in a typical regression setting with normally distributed errors. Here, we study the large sample properties of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-10 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Alessandro Rinaldo , Robert Tibshirani , Larry Wasserman

In the recent paper [5], a Bayesian approach for constructing confidence intervals in monotone regression problems is proposed, based on credible intervals. We view this method from a frequentist point of view, and show that it corresponds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed