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We derive a large deviation principle for families of random variables in the basin of attraction of spectrally positive stable distributions by proving a uniform version of the Tauberian theorem for Laplace-Stieltjes transforms. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Giampaolo Cristadoro , Gaia Pozzoli

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of a continuous-time perpetuity and the underlying factors which govern the cash flow rate, in an ergodic Markov model. Two approaches are used to obtain the distribution. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Constantinos Kardaras , Scott Robertson

In this article, we consider McKean stochastic differential equations, as well as their corresponding McKean-Vlasov partial differential equations, which admit a unique stationary state, and we study the linearized It\^o diffusion process…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

By an extension of the Bethe ansatz method used by Gwa and Spohn, we obtain an exact expression for the large deviation function of the time averaged current for the fully asymmetric exclusion process in a ring containing $N$ sites and $p$…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 B. Derrida , J. L. Lebowitz

This paper provides a general and abstract approach to approximate ergodic regimes of Markov and Feller processes. More precisely, we show that the recursive algorithm presented in Lamberton & Pages (2002) and based on simulation algorithms…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Gilles Pagès , Clément Rey

By using the coupling technique, we present sufficient conditions for the exponential ergodicity of general continuous-state nonlinear branching processes in both the $L^1$-Wasserstein distance and the total variation norm, where the drift…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Pei-Sen Li , Jian Wang

Graph generative models have broad applications in biology, chemistry and social science. However, modelling and understanding the generative process of graphs is challenging due to the discrete and high-dimensional nature of graphs, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Han Huang , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Yanjie Fu , Weifeng Lv

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a fully-coupled slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic system. Using the non-linear Poisson equation on Wasserstein space, we first establish the strong convergence in the averaging principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Yun Li , Longjie Xie

We study high temperature spin transport in a disordered Heisenberg chain in the ergodic regime. By employing a density matrix renormalization group technique for the study of the stationary states of the boundary-driven Lindblad equation…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-07-27 Marko Znidaric , Antonello Scardicchio , Vipin Kerala Varma

In this paper, we study the long-time behavior of a fluid particle immersed in a turbulent fluid driven by a diffusion with jumps, that is, a Feller process associated with a non-local operator. We derive the law of large numbers and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-17 Guodong Pang , Nikola Sandrić

The large deviations at various levels that are explicit for Markov jump processes satisfying detailed-balance are revisited in terms of the supersymmetric quantum Hamiltonian $H$ that can be obtained from the Markov generator via a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-15 Cecile Monthus

We compute exact values respectively bounds of "distances" - in the sense of (transforms of) power divergences and relative entropy - between two discrete-time Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration GWI for which the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Niels B. Kammerer , Wolfgang Stummer

We consider statistical inference in factor analysis for ergodic and non-ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations. Factor model based on high frequency time series data has been mainly discussed in the field of high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

Let $\alpha\in(0,2)$ and $d\in\mathbb{N}$. Consider the following stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by $\alpha$-stable process in $\mathbb{R}^d$: $$ dX_t=b(X_t)dt+\sigma(X_{t-})d L^{\alpha}_t, \quad X_0=x\in\mathbb{R}^d, $$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Xiaolong Zhang , Xicheng Zhang

Exponential family random graph models (ERGMs) can be understood in terms of a set of structural biases that act on an underlying reference distribution. This distribution determines many aspects of the behavior and interpretation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Carter T. Butts

We consider the long-time behavior of a diffusion process on $\mathbb{R}^d$ advected by a stationary random vector field which is assumed to be divergence-free, dihedrally symmetric in law and have a log-correlated potential. A special case…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-19 Scott Armstrong , Ahmed Bou-Rabee , Tuomo Kuusi

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Alexandre Lecestre

Recent studies have indicated that the coarse grained dynamics of a large class of traffic models and driven-diffusive systems may be described by urn models. We consider a class of one-dimensional urn models whereby particles hop from an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 E. Levine , D. Mukamel , G. Ziv

We study linear statistics of a class of determinantal processes which interpolate between Poisson and GUE/Ginibre statistics in dimension 1 or 2. These processes are obtained by performing an independent Bernoulli percolation on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Gaultier Lambert

Reinforced Galton--Watson processes describe the dynamics of a population where reproduction events are reinforced, in the sense that offspring numbers of forebears can be repeated randomly by descendants. More specifically, the evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein