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We apply SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis using the TreeSHAP algorithm to a Random Forest model (RANDM) designed to predict thermospheric neutral density based on solar-terrestrial data. The analysis shows that RANDM identifies…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-10-01 C. Bard , K. Murphy , A. Halford

Forecasting Heavy Precipitation Events (HPE) in the Mediterranean is crucial but challenging due to the complexity of the processes involved. In this context, Artificial Intelligence methods have recently proven to be competitive with…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-01 Killian Pujol , Roberta Baggio , Dominique Lambert , Jean-François Muzy , Jean-Baptiste Filippi , Florian Pantillon

To advance automated detection of extreme weather events, which are increasing in frequency and intensity with climate change, we explore modifications to a novel light-weight Context Guided convolutional neural network architecture trained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Romain Lacombe , Hannah Grossman , Lucas Hendren , David Lüdeke

Accurate precipitation estimation is critical for flood forecasting, water resource management, and disaster preparedness. Satellite products provide global hourly coverage but contain systematic biases; ground-based gauges are accurate at…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Shunya Nagashima , Takumi Bannai , Shuitsu Koyama , Tomoya Mitsui , Shuntaro Suzuki

Machine learning models play a vital role in the prediction task in several fields of study. In this work, we utilize the ability of machine learning algorithms to predict the occurrence of extreme events in a nonlinear mechanical system.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 J. Meiyazhagan , S. Sudharsan , A. Venkatasen , M. Senthilvelan

Probabilistic security assessment and real-time dynamic security assessments (DSA) are promising to better handle the risks of system operations. The current methodologies of security assessments may require many time-domain simulations for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-06 Jochen L. Cremer , Goran Strbac

A survey of machine learning techniques trained to detect ransomware is presented. This work builds upon the efforts of Taylor et al. in using sensor-based methods that utilize data collected from built-in instruments like CPU power and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Erik Larsen , David Noever , Korey MacVittie

We consider the problem of predicting power outages in an electrical power grid due to hazards produced by convective storms. These storms produce extreme weather phenomena such as intense wind, tornadoes and lightning over a small area. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Roope Tervo , Joonas Karjalainen , Alexander Jung

Machine learning algorithms can effectively classify malware through dynamic behavior but are susceptible to adversarial attacks. Existing attacks, however, often fail to find an effective solution in both the feature and problem spaces.…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Gabriele Digregorio , Salvatore Maccarrone , Mario D'Onghia , Luigi Gallo , Michele Carminati , Mario Polino , Stefano Zanero

Accurately forecasting long-term atmospheric variables remains a defining challenge in meteorological science due to the chaotic nature of atmospheric systems. Temperature data represents a complex superposition of deterministic cyclical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Shreyas Rajeev , Karthik Mudenahalli Ashoka , Amit Mallappa Tiparaddi

In this study, a novel machine learning approach was used to classify three types of synoptic weather events in Taiwan area from 2001 to 2010. We used reanalysis data with three machine learning algorithms to recognize weather systems and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-05-22 Shih-Hao Su , Jung-Lien Chu , Ting-Shuo Yo , Lee-Yaw Lin

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models require ever-growing computing time/resources, but still, have difficulties with predicting weather extremes. Here we introduce a data-driven framework that is based on analog forecasting…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Extratropical storms shape midlatitude weather and vary due to the slowly evolving climate and the rapid changes in synoptic conditions. While the influence of each factor has been studied extensively, their relative importance remains…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-17 Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

Lightning casualties cause tremendous loss to life and property. However, very lately lightning has been considered as one of the major natural calamities which is now studied or monitored with proper instrumentation. The lightning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-04-30 Pradip Kumar Gautam , Deweshvar Singh

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) has proven to be computationally challenging due to its inherent multiscale nature. Currently, the highest resolution NWP models use a horizontal resolution of about 10km. In order to increase the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-09-09 Andreas Müller , Michal A. Kopera , Simone Marras , Lucas C. Wilcox , Tobin Isaac , Francis X. Giraldo

Accurate and reliable forecasting of total cloud cover (TCC) is vital for many areas such as astronomy, energy demand and production, or agriculture. Most meteorological centres issue ensemble forecasts of TCC, however, these forecasts are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-03 Ágnes Baran , Sebastian Lerch , Mehrez El Ayari , Sándor Baran

Solar based electricity generations have experienced strong and impactful growth in recent years. The regulation, scheduling, dispatching, and unit commitment of intermittent solar power is dependent on the accuracy of the forecasting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-30 Shaktinarayana Mishra , Lokanath Tripathy , Prachitara Satapathy , P. K. Dash , Nitasha Sahani

In this research paper, we study the capability of artificial neural network models to emulate storm surge based on the storm track/size/intensity history, leveraging a database of synthetic storm simulations. Traditionally, Computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Ehsan Adeli , Luning Sun , Jianxun Wang , Alexandros A. Taflanidis

The aim of this study is to compare two supervised classification methods on a crucial meteorological problem. The data consist of satellite measurements of cloud systems which are to be classified either in convective or non convective…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Anne Ruiz , Nathalie Villa

Lightning, a common feature of severe meteorological conditions, poses significant risks, from direct human injuries to substantial economic losses. These risks are further exacerbated by climate change. Early and accurate prediction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Md Sultanul Arifin , Abu Nowshed Sakib , Yeasir Rayhan , Tanzima Hashem
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