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Predicting future probable values of model parameters, is an essential pre-requisite for assessing model decision reliability in an uncertain environment. Scenario Analysis is a methodology for modelling uncertainty in water resources…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-17 Seyed Hamed Alemohammad , Reza Ardakanian , Akbar Karimi

Ahead-of-time forecasting of the output power of power plants is essential for the stability of the electricity grid and ensuring uninterrupted service. However, forecasting renewable energy sources is difficult due to the chaotic behavior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Anas Al-lahham , Obaidah Theeb , Khaled Elalem , Tariq A. Alshawi , Saleh A. Alshebeili

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is becoming increasingly vital due to the rapid growth of time series data across various sectors. Anomalies in web service data, for example, can signal critical incidents such as system failures or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Jiaxin Zhuang , Leon Yan , Zhenwei Zhang , Ruiqi Wang , Jiawei Zhang , Yuantao Gu

Dealing with meteorological uncertainty poses a major challenge in air traffic management (ATM). Convective weather (commonly referred to as storms or thunderstorms) in particular represents a significant safety hazard that is responsible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Daniel Hentzen , Maryam Kamgarpour , Manuel Soler , Daniel González-Arribas

A reliable long-term time-series forecaster is highly demanded in practice but comes across many challenges such as low computational and memory footprints as well as robustness against dynamic learning environments. This paper proposes…

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

In this study, we leverage SCADA data from diverse wind turbines to predict power output, employing advanced time series methods, specifically Functional Neural Networks (FNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. A key innovation…

The objective of this paper is to employ machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to obtain from input data (storm features) available in or derived from the HURDAT2 database models capable of simulating important hurricane…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-16 Rikhi Bose , Adam L. Pintar , Emil Simiu

Decades of in-situ solar wind measurements have clearly established the variation of solar wind physical parameters. These variable parameters have been used to classify the solar wind magnetized plasma into different types leading to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-17 Tom Narock , Sanchita Pal , Aryana Arsham , Ayris Narock , Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla

Accurate precipitation forecasts are crucial for applications such as flood management, agricultural planning, water resource allocation, and weather warnings. Despite advances in numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, they still…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-02 Simone Monaco , Luca Monaco , Daniele Apiletti

Wind energy plays a critical role in the transition towards renewable energy sources. However, the uncertainty and variability of wind can impede its full potential and the necessary growth of wind power capacity. To mitigate these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Stefan Jonas , Kevin Winter , Bernhard Brodbeck , Angela Meyer

This work addresses the challenge of short-term precipitation forecasting by applying Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) neural networks to weather radar data from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Petros Demetrakopoulos

Short Term Load forecasting in this paper uses input data dependent on parameters such as load for current hour and previous two hours, temperature for current hour and previous two hours, wind for current hour and previous two hours, cloud…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2009-12-08 Mrs. J. P. Rothe , Dr. A. K. Wadhwani , Dr. Mrs. S. Wadhwani

With increasing urbanization, flooding is a major challenge for many cities today. Based on forecast precipitation, topography, and pipe networks, flood simulations can provide early warnings for areas and buildings at risk of flooding.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-03 Yu Feng , Qing Xiao , Claus Brenner , Aaron Peche , Juntao Yang , Udo Feuerhake , Monika Sester

In this paper, we introduce Masked Anomaly Detection (MAD), a general self-supervised learning task for multivariate time series anomaly detection. With the increasing availability of sensor data from industrial systems, being able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Yiwei Fu , Feng Xue

Lighthouses play a crucial role in ensuring maritime safety by signaling hazardous areas such as dangerous coastlines, shoals, reefs, and rocks, along with aiding harbor entries and aerial navigation. This is achieved through the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Michael Kampouridis , Nikolaos Vastardis , George Rayment

The rise of accurate machine learning methods for weather forecasting is creating radical new possibilities for modeling the atmosphere. In the time of climate change, having access to high-resolution forecasts from models like these is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Joel Oskarsson , Tomas Landelius , Fredrik Lindsten

Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-14 Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S B , Nachiketa Acharya , Aditya Grover , Suryachandra A Rao , Bipin Kumar , Zong-Liang Yang , Dev Niyogi

Short-term load forecasting is of paramount importance in the efficient operation and planning of power systems, given its inherent non-linear and dynamic nature. Recent strides in deep learning have shown promise in addressing this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Paapa Kwesi Quansah , Edwin Kwesi Ansah Tenkorang

Rainfall prediction at the kilometre-scale up to a few hours in the future is key for planning and safety. But it is challenging given the complex influence of climate change on cloud processes and the limited skill of weather models at…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-08 S. Moran , B. Demir , F. Serva , B. Le Saux
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