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We develop a framework for studying and quantifying the risk of cascading failures in time-delay consensus networks, motivated by a team of agents attempting temporal rendezvous under stochastic disturbances and communication delays. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-08 Guangyi Liu , Vivek Pandey , Christoforos Somarakis , Nader Motee

We develop a framework to assess the risk of cascading collisions in a platoon of vehicles in the presence of exogenous noise and communication time-delay. The notion of Value-at-Risk (VaR) is adopted to quantify the risk of collision…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-08 Guangyi Liu , Christoforos Somarakis , Nader Motee

Achieving safety in autonomous multi-agent systems, particularly in time-critical tasks like rendezvous, is a critical challenge. In this paper, we propose a distributionally robust risk framework for analyzing cascading failures in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-01 Vivek Pandey , Nader Motee

Ensuring safety in autonomous multi-agent systems during time-critical tasks such as rendezvous is a fundamental challenge, particularly under communication delays and uncertainty in system parameters. In this paper, we develop a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-27 Vivek Pandey , Nader Motee

We develop a systemic risk framework to explore cascading systemic failures in networked control systems. A time-delayed version of the vehicle platooning problem is used as a benchmark to study the interplay among network connectivity,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Guangyi Liu , Christoforos Somarakis , Nader Motee

This paper establishes and explores a framework to analyze the risk of cascading failures in a platoon of autonomous vehicles, accounting for communication time-delays and input uncertainty. Our proposed framework yields closed-form…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-08 Guangyi Liu , Christoforos Somarakis , Nader Motee

Achieving safety is a critical aspect of attaining autonomy in a platoon of autonomous vehicles. In this paper, we propose a distributionally robust risk framework to investigate cascading failures in platoons. To examine the impact of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Vivek Pandey , Guangyi Liu , Arash Amini , Nader Motee

In real-world scenarios, risk-averse learning is valuable for mitigating potential adverse outcomes. However, the delayed feedback makes it challenging to assess and manage risk effectively. In this paper, we investigate risk-averse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Siyi Wang , Zifan Wang , Karl Henrik Johansson , Sandra Hirche

Two mobile agents, starting from different nodes of an unknown network, have to meet at the same node. Agents move in synchronous rounds using a deterministic algorithm. Each agent has a different label, which it can use in the execution of…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-12-10 Jérémie Chalopin , Yoann Dieudonné , Arnaud Labourel , Andrzej Pelc

In this paper we study time-consistent risk measures for returns that are given by a GARCH(1,1) model. We present a construction of risk measures based on their static counterparts that overcomes the lack of time-consistency. We then study…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-02 Claudia Klüppelberg , Jianing Zhang

Large Language model (LLM)-based Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) are prone to cascading risks, where early-stage interactions remain semantically fluent and policy-compliant, yet the underlying interaction dynamics begin to distort in ways that…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Zixun Luo , Yuhang Fan , Hengyu Lin , Yufei Li , Youzhi Zhang

Safe operation of connected vehicle platoons under stochastic disturbances and time-delayed dynamics requires accurate quantification of rare but dangerous events, such as inter-vehicle collisions. We propose a rigorous framework for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Vivek Pandey , Nader Motee

In economics, insurance and finance, value at risk (VaR) is a widely used measure of the risk of loss on a specific portfolio of financial assets. For a given portfolio, time horizon, and probability $\alpha$, the $100\alpha\%$ VaR is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-15 Raúl Torres , Rosa E. Lillo , Henry Laniado

We present the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) in the context of Markov chains and Markov decision processes with reachability and mean-payoff objectives. CVaR quantifies risk by means of the expectation of the worst p-quantile. As such it…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer

In safety-critical decision-making, the environment may evolve over time, and the learner adjusts its risk level accordingly. This work investigates risk-averse online optimization in dynamic environments with varying risk levels, employing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Siyi Wang , Zifan Wang , Karl H. Johansson

We develop a framework to quantify systemic risk measures in a class of Wide-Area-Control (WAC) laws in power networks in the presence of noisy and time-delayed sensory data. A closed-form calculation of the risk of phase incoherence in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-30 Christoforos Somarakis , Guangyi Liu , Nader Motee

We consider an online stochastic game with risk-averse agents whose goal is to learn optimal decisions that minimize the risk of incurring significantly high costs. Specifically, we use the Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) as a risk measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Zifan Wang , Yi Shen , Michael M. Zavlanos

Cascading failures constitute an important vulnerability of interconnected systems. Here we focus on the study of such failures on networks in which the connectivity of nodes is constrained by geographical distance. Specifically, we use…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-08 Andrea Asztalos , Sameet Sreenivasan , Boleslaw K. Szymanski , Gyorgy Korniss

Evolving AI systems increasingly deploy multi-agent architectures where autonomous agents collaborate, share information, and delegate tasks through developing protocols. This connectivity, while powerful, introduces novel security risks.…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Gauri Sharma , Vidhi Kulkarni , Miles King , Ken Huang

The fragility of financial systems was starkly demonstrated in early 2023 through a cascade of major bank failures in the United States, including the second, third, and fourth largest collapses in the US history. The highly interdependent…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-19 Kamil Fortuna , Janusz Szwabiński
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