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The COVID-19 pandemic has devastated the world in an unprecedented way, causing enormous loss of life. Time and again, public health authorities have urged people to become vaccinated to protect themselves and mitigate the spread of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-30 C. H. Leung , María E. Gibbs , Philip E. Paré

The continuously growing number of COVID-19 cases pressures healthcare services worldwide. Accurate short-term forecasting is thus vital to support country-level policy making. The strategies adopted by countries to combat the pandemic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-07 Thiago de Paula Oliveira , Rafael de Andrade Moral

The impact of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is being felt in all spheres of our lives -- cutting across the boundaries of nation, wealth, religions or race. From the time of the first detection of infection among the public, the virus…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-12 Soumyajyoti Biswas , Amit Kr Mandal

The topic of finding effective strategy to halt virus in complex network is of current interest. We propose an immunization strategy for seasonal epidemics that occur periodically. Based on the local information of the infection status from…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shu Yan , Shaoting Tang , Sen Pei , Shijin Jiang , Zhiming Zheng

Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models have been used for decades to understand epidemic outbreak dynamics. We develop an SIR model specifically designed to study the effects of population behavior with respect to health and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-03 Jasmin Nunuvero , Angelique Santiago , Moshe Cohen , Anca Radulescu

The COVID-19 pandemic has presented unprecedented challenges worldwide, with its impact varying significantly across different geographic and socioeconomic contexts. This study employs a clustering analysis to examine the diversity of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Morteza Maleki

The outbreak of COVID-19 has highlighted the intricate interplay between public health and economic stability on a global scale. This study proposes a novel reinforcement learning framework designed to optimize health and economic outcomes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Maeghal Jain , Ziya Uddin , Wubshet Ibrahim

Vaccination games in higher-order settings remain underexplored, despite their importance in shaping opinions and collective decisions. Here, we introduce a parsimonious behavioral-epidemiological model to evaluate how peer reinforcement…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-21 Yikang Lu , Ying Wang , Alfonso de Miguel-Arribas , Lei Shi , Yamir Moreno

In this study, we present an immuno-epidemic model to understand mitigation options during an epidemic break. The model incorporates comorbidity and multiple-vaccine doses through a system of coupled integro-differential equations to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-28 Samiran Ghosh , Malay Banerjee , Amit K Chattopadhyay

This paper extends the canonical model of epidemiology, SIRD model, to allow for time varying parameters for real-time measurement of the stance of the COVID-19 pandemic. Time variation in model parameters is captured using the generalized…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-11 Cem Cakmakli , Yasin Simsek

We present a distributed resource allocation strategy to control an epidemic outbreak in a networked population based on a Distributed Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (D-ADMM) algorithm. We consider a linearized Susceptible-…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-01-09 Chinwendu Enyioha , Ali Jadbabaie , Victor Preciado , George J. Pappas

A pandemic, the worldwide spread of a disease, can threaten human beings from the social as well as biological perspectives and paralyze existing living habits. To stave off the more devastating disaster and return to a normal life, people…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-25 Gyeong Hwan Jang , Sung Jin Kim , Mi Jin Lee , Seung-Woo Son

The current COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent lockdowns have highlighted the close and delicate relationship between a country's public health and economic health. Macroeconomic models that use preexisting epidemic models to calculate the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-01 Erhan Bayraktar , Asaf Cohen , April Nellis

Vaccines have proven effective in mitigating the threat of severe infections and deaths during outbreaks of infectious diseases. However, vaccine hesitancy (VH) complicates disease spread prediction and healthcare resource assessment across…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-10 Hieu Bui , Sandra Eksioglu , Ruben Proano , Haoming Shen

During the COVID-19 pandemic, there were over three million infections in Los Angeles County (LAC). To facilitate distribution when vaccines first became available, LAC set up six mega-sites for dispensing a large number of vaccines to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Suyanpeng Zhang , Sze-chuan Suen , Han Yu , Maged Dessouky , Fernando Ordonez

Vaccination has played an important role in preventing the spread of infectious diseases. However, the limited availability of vaccines and personnel at the roll-out of a new vaccine and the costs of vaccination campaigns often limit how…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-27 Rowan Hoogervorst , Evelien van der Hurk , David Pisinger

The COVID19 pandemic has highlighted the lack of resilience in supply chains, as global networks fail from disruptions at single nodes and connections. Through an overview of the existing vaccine and pharmaceutical supply chain publications…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-01 Maureen S. Golan , Benjamin D. Trump , Jeffrey C. Cegan , Igor Linkov

We consider the bi-objective problem of allocating doses of a (perfect) vaccine to an infinite-dimensional metapopulation in order to minimize simultaneously the vaccination cost and the effective reproduction number $R_e$, which is defined…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-19 Jean-François Delmas , Dylan Dronnier , Pierre-André Zitt

Modeling human behavior is essential to accurately predict epidemic spread, with behaviors like vaccine hesitancy complicating control efforts. While epidemic spread is often treated as a simple contagion, vaccine uptake may follow complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-17 Alfonso de Miguel-Arribas , Alberto Aleta , Yamir Moreno

In this paper we investigate the asymptotic behavior of some SIR models incorporating demography, bounded random transmission coefficient and a time-dependent vaccination strategy targeting the susceptible population. In this setting, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-27 Javier López-de-la-Cruz , Susana Merchán , Felipe Rivero , Javier Rodrigo
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