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Fitting parametric models by optimizing frequency domain objective functions is an attractive approach of parameter estimation in time series analysis. Whittle estimators are a prominent example in this context. Under weak conditions and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Jens-Peter Kreiss , Efstathios Paparoditis

We consider penalized extremum estimation of a high-dimensional, possibly nonlinear model that is sparse in the sense that most of its parameters are zero but some are not. We use the SCAD penalty function, which provides model selection…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-23 Joel L. Horowitz , Ahnaf Rafi

Pooled logistic regression models are commonly applied in survival analysis. However, the standard implementation can be computationally demanding, which is further exacerbated when using the nonparametric bootstrap for inference. To ease…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Paul N Zivich , Stephen R Cole , Bonnie E Shook-Sa , Justin B DeMonte , Jessie K Edwards

Stochastic simulators are ubiquitous in many fields of applied sciences and engineering. In the context of uncertainty quantification and optimization, a large number of simulations is usually necessary, which becomes intractable for…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-09 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

The limiting distribution for M-estimates in a non-stationary autoregressive model with heavy-tailed error is computationally intractable. To make inferences based on the M-estimates, the bootstrap procedure can be used to approximate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Maryam Sohrabi , Mahmoud Zarepour

We present a new fitting technique based on the parametric bootstrap method, which relies on the idea to produce artificial measurements using the estimated probability distribution of the experimental data. In order to investigate the main…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-03-18 Paolo Pedroni , Stefano Sconfietti

Uncertainty of decisions in safety-critical engineering applications can be estimated on the basis of the Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique of averaging over decision models. The use of decision tree (DT) models assists…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-12-03 Vitaly Schetinin , Jonathan Fieldsend , Derek Partridge , Wojtek Krzanowski , Richard Everson , Trevor Bailey , Adolfo Hernandez

Finkelstein-Schoenfeld, Buyse, Pocock, and other authors have developed generalizations of the Mann-Whitney test that allow for pairwise patient comparisons to include a hierarchy of measurements. Various authors present either asymptotic…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-26 William N. Anderson , Johan Verbeeck

We present a provably safe sampling-based motion planning algorithm for robotic systems affected by random disturbances of unknown distribution. We consider systems with linear or linearizable dynamics evolving in workspace with…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Ibon Gracia , Qi Heng Ho , Luca Laurenti , Morteza Lahijanian

Uncertainty propagation in high-dimensional nonlinear dynamic structural systems is pivotal in state-of-the-art performance-based design and risk assessment, where uncertainties from both excitations and structures, i.e., the aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Manisha Sapkota , Min Li , Bowei Li

This paper develops a new approach to the estimation of the degree of boundedness or stability of multidimensional nonlinear systems with time-dependent nonperiodic coefficients-an essential task in various engineering and natural science…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Mark A. Pinsky

Autonomous systems with machine learning-based perception can exhibit unpredictable behaviors that are difficult to quantify, let alone verify. Such behaviors are convenient to capture in probabilistic models, but probabilistic model…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Matthew Cleaveland , Ivan Ruchkin , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

In this paper we revisit the weighted likelihood bootstrap, a method that generates samples from an approximate Bayesian posterior of a parametric model. We show that the same method can be derived, without approximation, under a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Simon Lyddon , Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

Approaches to Bayesian inference for problems with intractable likelihoods have become increasingly important in recent years. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) and "likelihood free" Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques are popular…

Computation · Statistics 2014-10-03 Jamie Owen , Darren J. Wilkinson , Colin S. Gillespie

We introduce a novel procedure to perform Bayesian non-parametric inference with right-censored data, the \emph{beta-Stacy bootstrap}. This approximates the posterior law of summaries of the survival distribution (e.g. the mean survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-17 Andrea Arfè , Pietro Muliere

Within the Solvency II framework the insurance industry requires a realistic modelling of the risk processes relevant for its business. Every insurance company should be capable of running a holistic risk management process to meet this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-23 Magda Schiegl

This paper is concerned with inference in threshold regression models when the practitioners do not know whether at the threshold point the true specification has a kink or a jump. We nest previous works that assume either continuity or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-15 Javier Hidalgo , Jungyoon Lee , Myung Hwan Seo

In general insurance companies, a correct estimation of liabilities plays a key role due to its impact on management and investing decisions. Since the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 and the strengthening of regulation, the focus is not only…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-17 Eduardo Ramos-Pérez , Pablo J. Alonso-González , José Javier Núñez-Velázquez

The use of non parametric hidden Markov models with finite state space is flourishing in practice while few theoretical guarantees are known in this framework. Here, we study asymptotic guarantees for these models in the Bayesian framework.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 Elodie Vernet

In the recent paper [5], a Bayesian approach for constructing confidence intervals in monotone regression problems is proposed, based on credible intervals. We view this method from a frequentist point of view, and show that it corresponds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed