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Related papers: A Distributionally Robust Random Utility Model

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We study distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with uncertainty sets consisting of high-dimensional random vectors that are close in the multivariate Wasserstein distance to a reference random vector. We give conditions when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Brandon Tam , Silvana M. Pesenti

Off-policy evaluation and learning (OPE/L) use offline observational data to make better decisions, which is crucial in applications where online experimentation is limited. However, depending entirely on logged data, OPE/L is sensitive to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Kaiwen Wang , Zhengyuan Zhou

Rare events, and more general risk-sensitive quantities-of-interest (QoIs), are significantly impacted by uncertainty in the tail behavior of a distribution. Uncertainty in the tail can take many different forms, each of which leads to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-22 Jeremiah Birrell , Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet , Jie Wang

We consider a two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model with multimodal uncertainty, where both the mode probabilities and uncertainty distributions could be affected by the first-stage decisions. To address this setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Xian Yu , Beste Basciftci

This study introduces adaptive robust optimization (ARO) and adaptive robust stochastic optimization (ARSO) approaches to address long- and short-term uncertainties in the optimal sizing and placement of distributed energy resources in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Fernando García-Muñoz , Cristian Duran-Mateluna

A family of models of individual discrete choice are constructed by means of statistical averaging of choices made by a subject in a reinforcement learning process, where the subject has short, k-term memory span. The choice probabilities…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-20 Misha Perepelitsa

We investigate model risk and distributionally robust optimization (DRO) under marginal and martingale constraints. Building on our previous work, we address the previously open case of static hedging with second-period maturity vanilla…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Nathan Sauldubois

Many existing approaches for generating predictions in settings with distribution shift model distribution shifts as adversarial or low-rank in suitable representations. In various real-world settings, however, we might expect shifts to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Kirk Bansak , Elisabeth Paulson , Dominik Rothenhäusler

We consider the problem of preparing for a disaster season by determining where to open warehouses and how much relief item inventory to preposition in each. Then, after each disaster, prepositioned items are distributed to demand nodes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Karmel S. Shehadeh , Emily L. Tucker

The variability caused by the proliferation of distributed energy resources (DERs) and the significant growth in unbalanced three-phase loads pose unprecedented challenges to distribution network operations. This paper focuses on how a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-31 Zelong Lu , Jianxue Wang , Mohammad Shahidehpour , Linquan Bai , Zuyi Li , Lei Yan , Xianlong Chen

A distributed nonsmooth robust resource allocation problem with cardinality constrained uncertainty is investigated in this paper. The global objective is consisted of local objectives, which are convex but nonsmooth. Each agent is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Yue Wei , Shuxin Ding , Hao Fang , Xianlin Zeng , Qingkai Yang , Bin Xin

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is an effective approach for data-driven decision-making in the presence of uncertainty. Geometric uncertainty due to sampling or localized perturbations of data points is captured by Wasserstein…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-10 Sloan Nietert , Ziv Goldfeld , Soroosh Shafiee

When performing the resilience enhancement for distribution networks, there are two obstacles to reliably model the uncertain contingencies: 1) decision-dependent uncertainty (DDU) due to various line hardening decisions, and 2)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-12 Yujia Li , Shunbo Lei , Wei Sun , Chenxi Hu , Yunhe Hou

In distributionally robust optimization the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters is itself uncertain, and a fictitious adversary, e.g., nature, chooses the worst distribution from within a known ambiguity set. A…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-10 Etienne de Klerk , Daniel Kuhn , Krzysztof Postek

Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO), which aims to find an optimal decision that minimizes the worst case cost over the ambiguity set of probability distribution, has been widely applied in diverse applications, e.g., network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Yang Jiao , Kai Yang , Dongjin Song

At the core of most random utility models (RUMs) is an individual agent with a random utility component following a largest extreme value Type I (LEVI) distribution. What if, instead, the random component follows its mirror image -- the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-24 Richard T. Carson , Derrick H. Sun , Yixiao Sun

Statistical learning under distribution shift is challenging when neither prior knowledge nor fully accessible data from the target distribution is available. Distributionally robust learning (DRL) aims to control the worst-case statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-19 Yu Gui , Rina Foygel Barber , Cong Ma

We study the causal distributionally robust optimization (DRO) in both discrete- and continuous- time settings. The framework captures model uncertainty, with potential models penalized in function of their adapted Wasserstein distance to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Yifan Jiang , Jan Obloj

We consider the problem of optimizing locations of distribution centers (DCs) and plans for distributing resources such as test kits and vaccines, under spatiotemporal uncertainties of disease spread and demand for the resources. We aim to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Beste Basciftci , Xian Yu , Siqian Shen

This paper studies adaptive distributionally robust dispatch (DRD) of the multi-energy microgrid under supply and demand uncertainties. A Wasserstein ambiguity set is constructed to support data-driven decision-making. By fully leveraging…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Xunhang Sun , Xiaoyu Cao , Bo Zeng , Miaomiao Li , Xiaohong Guan , Tamer Başar
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