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Gaussian Processes are widely used for regression tasks. A known limitation in the application of Gaussian Processes to regression tasks is that the computation of the solution requires performing a matrix inversion. The solution also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-22 Sourish Das , Sasanka Roy , Rajiv Sambasivan

Stochastic inverse problems are generally solved by some form of finite sampling of a space of uncertain parameters. For computationally expensive models, surrogate response surfaces are often employed to increase the number of samples used…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Steven Mattis , Barbara Wohlmuth

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems typically relies on posterior sampling approaches, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo, for which the generation of each sample requires one or more evaluations of the parameter-to-observable map or…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-23 Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

Decision-making in manufacturing often involves optimizing key process parameters using data collected from simulation experiments. Gaussian processes are widely used to surrogate the underlying system and guide optimization. Uncertainty…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-30 Yezhuo Li , Qiong Zhang , Madhura Limaye , Gang Li

Building surrogate models is one common approach when we attempt to learn unknown black-box functions. Bayesian optimization provides a framework which allows us to build surrogate models based on sequential samples drawn from the function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Hengrui Luo , James W. Demmel , Younghyun Cho , Xiaoye S. Li , Yang Liu

An important task of uncertainty quantification is to identify {the probability of} undesired events, in particular, system failures, caused by various sources of uncertainties. In this work we consider the construction of Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-20 Hongqiao Wang , Guang Lin , Jinglai Li

Approximation algorithms are widely used in many engineering problems. To obtain a data set for approximation a factorial design of experiments is often used. In such case the size of the data set can be very large. Therefore, one of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-04 Mikhail Belyaev , Evgeny Burnaev , Yermek Kapushev

Surrogate models based on machine learning methods have become an important part of modern engineering to replace costly computer simulations. The data used for creating a surrogate model are essential for the model accuracy and often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-03 Sven Lämmle , Can Bogoclu , Kevin Cremanns , Dirk Roos

Ensuring safety in industrial control systems usually involves imposing constraints at the design stage of the control algorithm. Enforcing constraints is challenging if the underlying functional form is unknown. The challenge can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-09 Marta Zagorowska , Efe C. Balta , Varsha Behrunani , Alisa Rupenyan , John Lygeros

A common challenge in computer experiments and related fields is to efficiently explore the input space using a small number of samples, i.e., the experimental design problem. Much of the recent focus in the computer experiment literature,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-01 Boya Zhang , D. Austin Cole , Robert B. Gramacy

Gaussian processes (GPs) are generally regarded as the gold standard surrogate model for emulating computationally expensive computer-based simulators. However, the problem of training GPs as accurately as possible with a minimum number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor

Engineering disciplines often rely on extensive simulations to ensure that structures are designed to withstand harsh conditions while avoiding over-engineering for unlikely scenarios. Assessments such as Serviceability Limit State (SLS)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Vegard Flovik , Sebastian Winter , Christian Agrell

Gaussian process regression is widely applied in computational science and engineering for surrogate modeling owning to its kernel-based and probabilistic nature. In this work, we propose a Bayesian approach that integrates the variability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Dongwei Ye , Weihao Yan , Christoph Brune , Mengwu Guo

By enabling constraint-aware online model adaptation, model predictive control using Gaussian process (GP) regression has exhibited impressive performance in real-world applications and received considerable attention in the learning-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Amon Lahr , Andrea Zanelli , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We consider a general class of regression models with normally distributed covariates, and the associated nonconvex problem of fitting these models from data. We develop a general recipe for analyzing the convergence of iterative algorithms…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-22 Kabir Aladin Chandrasekher , Ashwin Pananjady , Christos Thrampoulidis

Inverse problems are prevalent in both scientific research and engineering applications. In the context of Bayesian inverse problems, sampling from the posterior distribution can be particularly challenging when the forward models are…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-17 Zhihang Xu , Xiaoyu Zhu , Daoji Li , Qifeng Liao

This paper is concerned with the problem of how to speed up computation for Gaussian process models trained on autocorrelated data. The Gaussian process model is a powerful tool commonly used in nonlinear regression applications. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Ahmadreza Chokhachian , Matthias Katzfuss , Yu Ding

Surrogate models provide a quick-to-evaluate approximation to complex computational models and are essential for multi-query problems like design optimisation. The inputs of current deterministic computational models are usually…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-15 Thomas A. Archbold , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Fehmi Cirak

We tackle the problem of quantifying failure probabilities for expensive deterministic computer experiments with stochastic inputs under a fixed budget. The computational cost of the computer simulation prohibits direct Monte Carlo (MC) and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Annie S. Booth , S. Ashwin Renganathan